- Collection:
- Georgia Government Publications
- Serial:
- Wild turkey program ... population monitoring.
- Title:
- Wild turkey program FY-2019: population monitoring
- Creator:
- Georgia. Department of Natural Resources. Wildlife Resources Division
- Contributor to Resource:
- Georgia. Wildlife Resources Division, issuing body.
- Publisher:
- Atlanta, Ga. : Georgia. Department of Natural Resources. Wildlife Resources Division
- Date of Original:
- 2019
- Subject:
- Wild turkey--Monitoring--Georgia--Statistics--Periodicals
Bird populations--Georgia--Statistics--Periodicals - Location:
- United States, Georgia, 32.75042, -83.50018
- Medium:
- state government records
- Type:
- Text
- Format:
- application/pdf
- Description:
- Wild turkey program population monitoring.
- External Identifiers:
- Call Number GA N200.G2 S1 T87 2019
- Metadata URL:
- https://dlg.galileo.usg.edu/id:dlg_ggpd_y-ga-bn200-pg2-bs1-bt87-b2019-belec-p-btext
- Digital Object URL:
- https://dlg.galileo.usg.edu/do:dlg_ggpd_y-ga-bn200-pg2-bs1-bt87-b2019-belec-p-btext
- Language:
- eng
- Holding Institution:
- University of Georgia. Map and Government Information Library
- Rights:
-
Georgia's Wild Turkey Program
Wild Turkey Program FY-2019:
Population Monitoring
Turkey Production Index Survey DNR personnel recorded observations while performing field duties during June, July and August.
Hens/observer is an index that tracks the female segment of the population, while poults/hen is used as a measure of relative quality of the reproductive season and is tracked long-term. Hens/observer values have fluctuated around 3.1 since 1999. The hens/observer value for 2018 was 2.7 which was 18% less than the previous 5-year average (3.3) and 11% less than 2017 (3.0). Poults/hen values have fluctuated around 1.5 since 2003. In 2018, 1.6 poults/hen were observed, representing a 45% increase over 2017 (1.1), and a 23% increase over the previous 5-year average of 1.3 poults per hen.
Grant Opportunity
Georgia's Wild Turkey Program
Wild Turkey Program FY-2019:
Population Monitoring
Turkey Hunting Population Index Survey The turkey hunting population is indexed through cooperators reporting their daily hunting statistics
throughout the turkey hunting season. Turkeys seen/hour is a statewide hunting population index and gobblers heard/hour is an index that tracks the male segment of the population. The turkeys seen/hour value for 2019 was 0.47, which was 4% lower than the previous 4-year average of 0.49 but 3% higher than 2018 (0.45). The gobblers heard/hour value for 2019 was 0.36, slightly lower than the previous 4-year average of 0.38 and 10% lower than 2018 (0.4). The past 4-year averages of turkeys seen/hour and gobblers heard/hour were the lowest observed since 1990 and 1996, respectively.
Grant Opportunity
Georgia's Wild Turkey Program
Wild Turkey Program FY-2019:
Population Monitoring
Turkey Hunting Population Index Prediction Model This model uses predictors from the 2018 Production Index Survey (poults/observer) and the 2018
Turkey Hunting Population Index survey (turkeys seen/hour) to predict the turkeys/hour seen for the 2019 hunting season. The 2019 turkeys seen/hour prediction is then compared with the 2019 observed reality, and correlation is measured. A high correlation indicates that data from these surveys are an accurate predictor of the following year's hunting season quality, via the index of turkeys seen/hour. The predictor model (1980-2018) is:
1/(Constant + (Slope X 2018 Poults/Observer) + (Slope X 2018 Turkeys Seen/Hour))
= 2019 Turkeys Seen/Hour Therefore:
1/(0.09937 + (0.01067*12.9) + (0.52529*0.4545)) = 0.48 Turkeys Seen/Hour in 2019
After the reproduction + population data from 2018 was entered in the model, the prediction for the 2019 harvest season was 0.48 turkey seen/hour hunted. In reality, hunters observed an average of 0.47 turkeys per hour which was 1.7% fewer than what was predicted. A relatively high correlation r = 0.68 was obtained from this analysis indicating this model was a good predictor of the following years turkey season based on data obtained from the surveys.
Grant Opportunity