Child welfare outcome measures and results, 2014 May

Georgia Division of Family and Children Services
Director Bobby D. Cagle

Outcome Measures & Results May 2015
(Reflects Safety Outcomes as of March 31 2015 And Permanency Outcomes as of April 30 2015)
Division of Family and Children Services

Definitions and Data Sources
SAFETY Children are first and foremost protected from abuse and neglect.
Outcome I Child Protective Services Cases Count of unique CPS Investigations and Family Preservation (Ongoing) stages open at any point during the month. Includes all cases active at some time during the month. Outcome is calculated 45 days prior to the date of report.
Outcome IA Investigations Only Count of unique Investigation stages open at any point during the month.
Outcome IB Family Preservations Only Count of unique Family Preservation stages open at any point during the month.
Sources SHINES
Outcome II Recurrence of Substantiated Child Maltreatment Of all the children who were victims of substantiated maltreatment in the first 6 months of the year the percentage that had substantiated maltreatment within the following 6 months. Outcome is calculated 45 days prior to the date of report. Each month is calculated as a rolling calendar year. National Standard less than or equal to 5.40% Source SHINES
Outcome III Disposition of Child Abuse and Neglect Reports Chart reflects the disposition of reports received in a particular month. Data includes count of Family Support Substantiated Investigations Unsubstantiated Investigations and Screen-outs. Outcome is calculated 45 days prior to the date of report. Source SHINES
Outcome IV Disposition of Child Abuse and Neglect Reports Chart reflects the disposition of reports received in a particular month. Data includes count of Family Preservation (Substantiated and Unsubstantiated Open) Foster Care (Substantiated and Unsubstantiated Open) Substantiated and Unsubstantiated Closed. Outcome is calculated 45 days prior to the date of report. Source SHINES
Division of Family and Children Services

Definitions and Data Sources
PERMANENCY Children have permanency and stability in their living situations.
Outcome V Children in the Legal Custody of DFCS Under the Age of 18
Count of unique children who were in the legal custody of DFCS (17 years of age and under) at some point during the month and those 18 years of age and older (Extended Youth Services). Excludes Aftercare ICPC Placement services to parents and Boarding County. Source SHINES
Outcome VI Comparison of Foster Care Entries & Exits Number of children who have entered foster care and number of children who have exited foster care during the month. Total children at end of month show the number of children on the last day of the month. Source SHINES
Outcome VII Foster Care Re-entries Of all the children who entered foster care the percentage that were discharged from a prior episode of foster care within 12 months of the current foster care placement. National Standard less than or equal to 8.60%. Source SHINES
Outcome VIII Foster Care Length of Stay Percentage of children by number of months in foster care during each month. Source SHINES
Outcome IX Length of Time to Achieve Reunification Percentage of children who exited care during the month through reunification with their family that reunified in less than 12 months from the date of their removal. National Standard greater than or equal to 76.20% Source SHINES
Division of Family and Children Services

Definitions and Data Sources
PERMANENCY cont d Children have permanency and stability in their living situations.
Outcome X Children Placed with Relatives Of all children in DFCS custody the percentage that are placed with a relative or a relative foster home. State Target greater than or equal to 30.00% Source SHINES
Outcome XI Extended Youth Services Number of children ages 18 21 who remained in the custody of DFCS beyond their birth month. Source SHINES
Outcome XII Adoptions Finalized The number of children whose adoption was finalized within each month.. Source SHINES
Outcome XIII Stability Performance Coefficient (Number of Moves/Number of Days in Custody * 1000) A calculated value based upon the ACF CFSR Round 3 which is part of Program Improvement. It is calculated from a rolling 12 month population of the entry cohort where the child remained in custody for over 8 days and was not 18 on the date of removal. The ACF Target is 4.26 to avoid PIP. Source SHINES
**Note Data may vary from month to month due to 13 month data trends being re-run over the time span for the various outcomes in this report.
Division of Family and Children Services

20 000 15 000 10 000
5 000

Outcome I Child Protective Services Cases (March 2015)

2015 12% increase

2011 0.7% increase

2015 2014 2013 2012 2011

0

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

State FY Jul

2015 2014 2013 2012 2011

13 797 7 642 7 441 7 373 8 103

Aug
13 376 7 612 8 449 8 451 7 855

Sep
15 309 8 059 9 489 9 291 7 895

Oct
16 316 8 746 10 696 9 776 7 765

Nov
15 404 9 320 10 462 9 786 7 410

Dec
14 738 10 499 9 934 9 650 6 969

Jan
14 634 11 552 9 492 9 521 6 189

Feb
14 610 12 378 8 895 9 707 6 542

Mar
15 800 14 110 8 991 10 338 7 696

Apr
14 609 8 733 8 836 7 768

May
15 120 8 902 8 228 8 098

Jun
14 079 8 169 7 606 8 163

% Increase
12.0% 72.3% 7.4% -6.8% -9.9%

Division of Family and Children Services

12 000

Outcome IA Child Protective Services Cases
Investigations Only
(March 2015)

10 000

2015 -13% decrease

8 000 6 000

2015 2014 2013 2012 2011

4 000

2011 17.9% increase

2 000

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

State FY
2015 2014 2013 2012 2011

Jul
9 755 4 680 4 336 3 732 3 744

Aug
9 093 4 721 5 396 4 742 3 624

Sep
10 735 5 278 6 460 5 563 3 878

Oct
11 344 6 035 7 509 5 949 3 780

Nov
10 105 6 669 7 216 6 027 3 443

Dec
9 021 7 751 6 635 5 832 3 055

Jan
8 669 8 738 6 133 5 709 2 531

Feb
8 540 9 499 5 552 6 047 3 010

Mar
9 640 11 106 5 689 6 579 4 165

Apr
11 578 5 525 5 276 4 264

May
11 896 5 753 4 829 4 483

Jun
10 578 5 089 4 394 4 414

% Increase -13.2%
51.9% 15.8% 0.5% -1.4%

Division of Family and Children Services

Outcome IB Child Protective Services Cases
Family Preservation Cases Only
(March 2015)
7 000

6 000

2015 105.1% increase

5 000 4 000 3 000

2015 2014 2013 2012 2011

2 000

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

State FY Jul

2015 2014 2013 2012 2011

4 042 2 960 3 037 3 586 4 327

Aug
4 283 2 889 2 980 3 641 4 190

Sep
4 574 2 779 2 931 3 640 3 977

Oct
4 972 2 709 3 053 3 709 3 948

Nov
5 299 2 649 3 150 3 665 3 918

Dec
5 717 2 746 3 200 3 747 3 864

Jan
5 965 2 813 3 266 3 726 3 612

Feb
6 070 2 879 3 244 3 586 3 487

Mar
6 160 3 004 3 203 3 658 3 475

Apr
3 031 3 122 3 476 3 449

May
3 224 3 040 3 323 3 550

Jun
3 501 3 001 3 148 3 673

% Increase
105.1% 16.7% -4.7% -14.3% -19.9%

Division of Family and Children Services

Outcome II Recurrence of Substantiated Child Maltreatment (March 2014 March 2015)

8%

National

7%

Standard less

than or equal to

5.40%

6%

5%

4%

3%

2%

1%

0% Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15

Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 5.35% 5.28% 5.27% 5.63%

Jul-14 5.98%

Aug-14 Sep-14 6.12% 5.81%

Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 5.90% 6.04% 5.97%

Jan-15 5.62%

Feb-15 Mar-15 5.62% 5.55%

Division of Family and Children Services

Outcome III Disposition of Child Abuse and Neglect Reports (March 2014 - March 2015)

Substantiated Investigations

Unsubstantiated Investigations

Family Support

Investigations

Screenouts

5 000

4 500

4 000

3 500

3 000

2 500

2 000

1 500

1 000

500

0 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15

Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15

Family Support

2 887 2 682 2 666 2 328 2 525 3 537 3 426 3 634 2 866 2 531 3 092 2 535 3 204

Screenouts

2 087 1 952 2 087 2 009 1 898 2 286 2 143 2 246 1 979 1 859 2 166 1 932 2 435

Investigations
Substantiated Investigations Unsubstantiated Investigations

3 660 1 260 2 400

3 205 1 149 2 056

3 108 1 193 1 915

2 550 972 1 578

2 761 1 112 1 649

3 793 1 355 2 438

4 463 1 458 3 005

4 134 1 353 2 781

3 124 1 081 2 043

2 948 1 123 1 825

3 755 1 305 2 450

3 314 1 203 2 111

3 982 1 383 2 599

Division of Family and Children Services

Outcome IV Subsequent Case-Type of Investigations by Disposition (March 2014 - March 2015)

3 000 2 000 1 000
0

1 988

2 358 2 002

2 901

1 875

2 392 1 515

1 620

2 670

2 332

1 963 1 746

1 870

559

679

577

562 421 510

667

735 660 509

539

596

537

Unsubst Closed

Subst Closed 40 34 29 39 37 31 34 41 39 18 30 29 23 FostCare UnsubOpen

265 327 292 297 239 305 323 314 298255235 312 289 FostCare SubOpen

57 80 74 54 73 57 89 128 145 117 99 116 83

FamPres UnsubOpen

381 407 417 465 431 468 539 601 589 480534 566

410 FamPres SubOpen

Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14

FamPres SubOpen 381

FamPres UnsubOpen 57

FostCare SubOpen
FostCare UnsubOpen Subst Closed
Unsubst Closed

265 40 559 1 988

407
80
327 34 679 2 358

417
74
292 29 577 2 002

465
54
297 39 562 1 875

Jul-14
431 73
239 37 421 1 515

Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14

468
57
305 31 510 1 620

539
89
323 34 667 2 392

601
128
314 41 735 2 901

Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15

589
145
298 39 660 2 670

480
117
255 18 509 1 963

534
99
235 30 539 1 746

Feb-15 Mar-15

566
116
312 29 596 2 332

410
83
289 23 537 1 870

Division of Family and Children Services

11 000

Outcome V Children in DFCS Custody Under the Age of 18 (April 2014 April 2015)

10 500

10 000

9 500

9 000

8 500

8 000 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15

Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 8 881 9 065 9 124

Jul-14 9 322

Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 9 428 9 600 9 777 9 764 9 935 10 050 10 221 10 599 10 748

Division of Family and Children Services

Outcome VI Comparison of Foster Care Entries and Exits (April 2014 April 2015)

1200
1000 8 370
800

8 525

Entries

Exits

End-Of-Month

8 552

8 676 8 851

9 226 9 036

9 269

9 280 9 513

9 755

9 998

10 325

12000

10000

8000

600

6000

400

4000

200

2000

0

0

Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15

Apr-14 618 511

May-14 695 540

Jun-14 599 572

Jul-14 770 646

Aug-14 752 577

Sep-14 749 564

Oct-14 741 551

Nov-14 538 495

Dec-14 666 655

Jan-15 770 537

Feb-15 708 466

Mar-15 844 601

Apr-15 750 423

Division of Family and Children Services

Outcome VII Foster Care Re-Entry Rate (April 2014 April 2015)

100 11.0%
90
80

Reentries

National Standard less than or equal to
8.60%

10.5%

Reentry Rate

12.0% 10.8% 9.6%

70

60

6.5% 8.0%

6.6%

6.3%

6.5% 50

7.2%

7.1%

6.5% 5.4%

6.4%

8.4% 7.2% 6.0%

40

3.9% 4.8%

30

3.6%

20

2.4%

10

1.2%

0

0.0%

Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15

Apr-14 11.0%

May-14 6.5%

Jun-14 8.0%

Jul-14 6.5%

Aug-14 6.6%

Sep-14 6.3%

Oct-14 10.5%

Nov-14 7.2%

Dec-14 7.1%

Jan-15 6.5%

Feb-15 5.4%

Mar-15 6.4%

Apr-15 3.9%

Division of Family and Children Services

Outcome VIII Foster Care Length of Stay (April 2014 April 2015)

100%

90%

80%

70% 60% 50% 40% 30%

4 Years 3-4 Years 2-3 Years 1-2 Years 1 Year

20%

10%

0% Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15

1 Year 1-2 Years 2-3 Years 3-4 Years 4 Years

Apr-14 53.8% 24.9% 11.6% 4.7% 4.9%

May-14 53.9% 25.4% 11.6% 4.7% 4.8%

Jun-14 53.7% 25.1% 11.2% 5.2% 4.6%

Jul-14 54.9% 24.4% 11.4% 5.2% 4.5%

Aug-14 55.2% 23.9% 11.0% 5.3% 4.5%

Sep-14 55.7% 23.1% 11.1% 5.6% 4.4%

Oct-14 55.9% 22.9% 11.2% 5.7% 4.3%

Nov-14 55.4% 23.4% 11.2% 6.0% 4.3%

Dec-14 55.1% 24.1% 10.8% 5.8% 4.4%

Jan-15 56.2% 23.4% 10.6% 5.6% 4.4%

Feb-15 55.5% 23.9% 10.3% 5.7% 4.3%

Mar-15 55.6% 23.6% 10.5% 5.4% 4.4%

Apr-15 55.4% 24.0% 10.9% 5.2% 4.6%

Division of Family and Children Services

Outcome IX Length of Time to Reunification (April 2014 April 2015)
85%

80%

National Standard
76.20%

75%

70% Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15

Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 81.4% 79.1% 75.1%

Jul-14 75.2%

Aug-14 77.8%

Sep-14 80.6%

Oct-14 78.1%

Nov-14 Dec-14 81.0% 78.4%

Jan-15 78.6%

Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 76.2% 79.2% 79.9%

Division of Family and Children Services

Outcome X Percent of Children Placed with Relatives (April 2014 April 2015)
25%

20%

15%

10%

5%

0% Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15

Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 17.6% 17.7% 17.8%

Jul-14 18.3%

Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 18.6% 18.6% 18.9% 18.9% 19.5% 18.9% 19.2% 19.3% 19.9%

Division of Family and Children Services

Outcome XI Extended Youth Services (April 2014 April 2015)
500

400

300

200

100

0 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15

Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15

407

410

401

399

410

416

415

429

439

447

449

456

461

Division of Family and Children Services

Outcome XII Number of Finalized Adoptions (April 2014 April 2015)
150

125

100

75

50

25

0 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15

Apr-14 89

May-14 54

Jun-14 83

Jul-14 59

Aug-14 Sep-14

57

55

Oct-14 58

Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15

64

135

46

Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15

49

60

60

Division of Family and Children Services

Outcome XIII Placement Stability Performance Coefficient (April 2014 - April 2015)

7.00

6.75

6.50

6.25

6.00

5.75

5.50

5.25

5.00

4.75

4.50 National Standard 4.26
4.25

4.00 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15

Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14

5.40

5.81

5.92

Jul-14 6.05

Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15

6.19

6.24

6.26

6.22

6.13

6.12

6.13

6.17

6.05

Division of Family and Children Services