Child welfare outcome measures and results, Sept. 2011

Data Analysis, Accountability, Research & Evaluation
Child Welfare
Outcome Measures & Results September 2011 Board Meeting
(Reflects data as of July 31, 2011)

Definitions and Data Sources
SAFETY 1 Children are first and foremost, protected from abuse and neglect.
Figure 1: Child Protective Services Cases ...........................................................1
Count of unique CPS Investigations or Family Preservation (Ongoing) stages open at any point during the month. Includes all cases active at some time during the month. Sources: Internal Data System, SHINES
Figure 2: Recurrence of Substantiated Child Maltreatment........................... 1
Of all the children who were victims of substantiated maltreatment in the first 6 months of the year, the percentage that had substantiated maltreatment within the following 6 months. National Standard: less than or equal to 5.40% Sources: Protective Services Data System, SHINES
Figure 3: Disposition of Child Abuse and Neglect Reports............................ 2
Chart reflects the disposition of reports received in a particular month. Data includes count of Family Support, Substantiated Investigations, Unsubstantiated Investigations and Screenouts. Source: SHINES
Figure 4: Disposition of Child Abuse and Neglect Reports............................ 2
Chart reflects the disposition of reports received in a particular month. Data includes count of Family Preservation (Substantiated and Unsubstantiated Open), Foster Care (Substantiated and Unsubstantiated Open), Substantiated and Unsubstantiated Closed. Source: SHINES

Definitions and Data Sources cont...
PERMANENCY 1 Children have permanency and stability in their living situations.
Figure 5: Child Placement Services Cases ................................................................3
Count of unique children in foster care or adoptions stages open at any point during the month and cases active at some time during the month. This population may include children not in DFCS custody. Sources: Internal Data System, SHINES
Figure 6: Children in the Legal Custody of DFCS .......................................... 3
Count of unique children who were in the legal custody of DFCS at some point during the month, including those 18 years of age and older. Excludes Aftercare, ICPC, Placement services to parents, and Boarding County. Source: SHINES
Figure 7: Children in the Legal Custody of DFCS Under the Age 18....................4
Count of unique children who were in the legal custody of DFCS at some point during the month under the age 18. Excludes Aftercare, ICPC, Placement services to parents, and Boarding County. Source: SHINES
Figure 8: Length of Time to Achieve Reunification.........................................4
Percentage of children who exited care during the month through reunification with their family that reunified in less than 12 months from the date of their removal. National Standard: greater than or equal to 76.20% Source: SHINES
Figure 9: Comparison of Foster Care Entries & Exits.......................................5
Number of children who have entered foster care and number of children who have exited foster care during the month. Source: SHINES
Figure 10: Foster Care Re-entries................................................................5
Of all the children who entered foster care, the percentage that were discharged from a previous placement within 12 months of the current foster care placement. National Standard: less than or equal to 8.60% Source: SHINES
Figure 11: Children Placed with Relatives.....................................................6
Of all children in DFCS custody, the percentage that are placed with a relative or a relative foster home. State Target: greater than or equal to 30.00% Source: SHINES
Figure 12: Adoptions Finalized..................................................................6
The number of children whose adoption was finalized. Source: SHINES

SAFETY-RELATED OUTCOMES

Number of Child Protective Services Cases (includes Investigations and Family Preservation cases)

20,000

15,000

SFY 2009:
8.6%
decrease

SFY 2010:
5.4%
decrease

10,000

5,000

SFY 2012:

0.0%

increase

SFY 2011:
0.7%
increase

0

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Sources: IDS, SHINES

Def: Count of unique CPS Investigations or Family Preservation (Ongoing) stages open at any point during the month. Percentages show increase/decrease during each SFY.

SFY Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun

SFY 12 7,373

SFY 11 8,103 7,855 7,895 7,765 7,410 6,969 6,189 6,542 7,696 7,768 8,098 8,163

SFY 10 9,624 9,796 10,489 10,734 10,165 10,357 9,833 9,856 9,834 9,950 9,479 9,105

SFY 09 11,345 11,679 12,556 12,713 12,279 11,990 11,391 10,999 11,556 11,324 10,866 10,372

Recurrence of Substantiated Child Maltreatment (July 2010 July 2011)
Def: Of all children who were victims of substantiated maltreatment in the first 6 months of the year, the percentage that had a substan. report of maltreatment within the following 6 months. This is calculated with a two-month lag.

8%

Sources: SHINES

7%

National Standard:

less than or equal to

6%

5.40%

5%

4%

2.77% 2.82% 3%

2.50%

2.29% 2.29% 1.96% 2.00% 1.94%

2.22% 2.42%

2.26% 2.20%

2%

1.44%

1%

0% Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11
Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 2.77% 2.82% 2.29% 2.29% 1.96% 2.00% 1.94% 2.50% 2.22% 2.42% 1.44% 2.26% 2.20%

Data Analysis, Accountability, Research and Evaluation

1

CW-1

Disposition of Child Abuse and Neglect Reports (July 2011)

4,000

Family Support

Substantiated Investigations Unsubstantiated Investigations

Screenouts

3,500

3,209

3,165

3,000
2,500 2,161

2,821

2,667

2,604

2,341

2,831

2,694 2,554

2,000 1,416
1,500

1,897

1,000

1,200

1,004

970

Source: IDS788

807

500

1,186 954
832

1,077

1,066

1,028

1,004

839

874

977 1,004 895
804

801

816

2,147

953
728 687
728

520

488

1,249
1,105 794

1,154 859
857

1,092
941 940

1,878
1,295 1,186
756

JUN10 JUL10
Source: SHINES July 2011

AUG10 SEP10 OCT10 NOV10 DEC10 JAN11 FEB11 MAR11 APR11 MAY11 JUN11

Notes: Chart indicates total number of Family Support Cases, Substantiated Investigation Cases, Unsubstantiated Investigation Cases and Screenout Cases. Numbers show the results of intake calls through a investigation. Does not show number of Family Preservation and Foster Care Entries Cases.
*Data reported on 1 month lag to allow investigations to be completed.

D.A.A.R.E

Disposition of Child Abuse and Neglect Reports (July 2011)

Family Preservation Family Preservation

Foster Care

Foster Care

Substantiated Open Unsubstantiated Open Substantiated Open Unsubstantiated Open

1,500

1,308

1,250

Substantiated Closed

Unsubstantiated Closed
1,074

1,000 890

876
750 756
553

740

759

793

728

789 701
592

500 439
250 204

430

432

467

464 437

434

449 435

397

397

415

404

385

403

428 182

395

398

288

195 191 288

279 240

419 247

448 257

422 235

466 237

174

170

173

152 168

62 40

34 57

63 24

64 24

37 44

30 49

23 53

22 34

14 37

41 52

43 25

34 47

76 36

-

JUN10 JUL10 AUG10 SEP10 OCT10 NOV10 DEC10 JAN11 FEB11 MAR11 APR11 MAY11 JUN11

Source: SHINES

July 2011

Note: Chart indicates total number of Family Preservation Substantiated Open Cases, Family Preservation Unsubstantiated Open Cases, Foster Care Substantiated Open Cases, Foster Care Unsubstantiated Open Cases, Substantiated Closed Cases and Unsubstantiated Closed Cases. * Data reported on 1 month lag to allow investigations to be completed.

D.A.A.R.E

Data Analysis, Accountability, Research Evaluation

2

CW-1

PERMANENCY- RELATED OUTCOMES

Number of Child Placement Services Cases

15,000 14,000 13,000 12,000 11,000

SFY 2010: 12.2% decrease

SFY 2009: 13.4% decrease
SFY 2011: 4.3%
increase

Sources: IDS, SHINES

10,000 9,000

SFY 2012: 0.0%
increase

8,000

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Notes: Count of unique children in foster care or adoptions stages open at any point during the month and cases active at some time during the month. Total

count includes all cases active at some time during the month. Of the total number of placement cases: 7,852 children are in legal custody of DFCS under the age

of 18; 509 children are in care of DFCS age 18 and over; 2,096 were Relative Placements and ICPC Children in placement at any point in time during the

month. Percentages show increase/decrease during each SFY.

SFY

Jul

Aug Sep

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar

Apr May Jun

SFY 12 10,457

SFY 11 9,985 9,853 10,215 10,234 9,758 9,660 9,572 9,698 10,047 10,526 10,355 10,419

SFY 10 11,437 11,362 11,260 11,676 10,708 10,625 10,552 10,462 10,446 10,687 9,997 10,041

SFY 09 13,739 13,479 14,417 14,499 13,292 13,198 13,014 12,632 13,201 13,086 12,081 11,898

Number of Children in the Legal Custody of DFCS

SFY 2008 / SFY 2009 / SFY 2010 / SFY 2011 / SFY 2012

15,000

-11.8%

-18.0%

- 11.1%

2.4%

0.0% ytd

Percentages show increase/decrease during each SFY

14,000 13,000 12,000 11,000 10,000
9,000

13,333 13,342 11,671
11,580

9,316 8,361

9,239

12,975 11,463 9,071

12,859 12,530 12,199
11,267 11,129 10,837

8,963 8,736

8,636

12,101 11,955 12,123

10,608

10,211

8,422

10,349 8,384 8,427

11,766 9,928 8,383

11,675 11,766 9,788 9,569 8,311 8,346

8,000 7,000

8,147 8,114 8,012 7,968

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

7,891 Nov

7,808 Dec

7,769 7,966 8,300

Jan

Feb

Mar

8,275 8,335 Apr May

8,284 Jun

Source: Shines Jul - 2011 Note: Count of unique children who were in the legal custody of DFCS at some point during the month, including those 18 years of age and older. Excludes Aftercare, ICPC, Placement services to parents, and Boarding County.

DAARE

Data Analysis, Accountability, Research and Evaluation

3

CW-1

Children in the Legal Custody of DFCS Under the Age of 18 (July 2010 - July 2011)
Def: Count of unique children who were in the legal custody of DFCS at some point during the month under the age 18. Excludes Aftercare, ICPC, Placement services to parents, and Boarding County.
15,000

12,500

10,000 7,500

7,594

7,561 7,471

7,413 7,351 7,268 7,216 7,425 7,740 7,749

7,813 7,844 7,852

5,000

2,500

0 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11

Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 7,594 7,561 7,471 7,413 7,351 7,268 7,216 7,425 7,740 7,749 7,813 7,844 7,852

Length of Time to Reunification (July 2010 - July 2011)
Def: Percentage of children who exited care during the month through reunification with their family that reunified in less than 12 months from the date of their last removal.

100% 80% 60%

National Standard: greater than or equal to
76.20%

Sources: AFCARS, IDS, SHINES

79.13%

72.87% 69.97%

67.21%

74.40% 69.11%

71.68%

72.39%

74.55%

73.48% 74.96%

74.81% 71.06%

40%

20% Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11
Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 69.97% 72.87% 67.21% 69.11% 74.40% 71.68% 72.39% 74.55% 73.48% 74.96% 71.06% 74.81% 79.13%

Data Analysis, Accountability, Research and Evaluation

4

CW-1

Comparison of Foster Care Entries and Exits (July 2010 - July 2011)

Def: Number of children who entered foster care and exited foster care during the month. Includes children who turn age 18 during the month.
1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Entries Exits

Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11

423

451

479 414 392

392

373 547

723

547

478

547

496

510

540

398 353 507

469

473 389

458

430

458

433

394

Foster Care Re-Entry Rate (July 2010 - July 2011)

15% 12%

percent

Def: Of all the children who entered foster care, the percentage that were discharged from a previous placement within 12 months of the current placement.
National Standard: less than or equal to
8.60%

9%

6%

7.35%

7.14%

7.82%

8.41%

3% 3.32%

6.13% 5.23%

4.34%

4.39% 4.29% 4.94% 5.44%

4.44%

0% Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11
Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 3.32% 7.35% 6.13% 5.23% 7.14% 4.34% 7.82% 4.39% 4.29% 4.94% 5.44% 8.41% 4.44%

Data Analysis Accountability Research and Evaluation

5

CW-1

Percent of Children Placed with Relatives (July 2010 July 2011)
Def: Of all children in DFCS custody, the percentage that are placed with a relative or relative foster home.
25%

Sources: SHINES

D f Th

b f hild h d ti

20%

fi li d

T t l f th t t

th

dtd

S

S i l S i Ad ti U it

15%

12.13%

13.71% 12.38% 12.38% 12.25%

14.42% 14.19% 13.79% 13.39% 13.46%

13.59% 14.28% 14.17%

10%

5%

0% Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11
Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 12.13% 12.38% 12.38% 12.25% 13.71% 14.42% 14.19% 13.79% 13.39% 13.46% 13.59% 14.28% 14.17%

Number of Finalized Adoptions (July 2010 July 2011)
Def: The number of children whose adoption was finalized. Totals for all months are updated.
175

Sources: SHINES

150

125

110

103

97

100

77 75

109 96

107 99

68

83

78

76

48 50

25

0 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11

Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11

77

103 110

97

96

109

48

68

107

83

78

99

76

Data Analysis, Accountability, Research and Evaluation

6

CW-1