Child welfare outcome measures and results, Oct. 2010

Data Analysis, Accountability, Research & Evaluation
Child Welfare
Outcome Measures & Results October 2010

Definitions and Data Sources
SAFETY 1 Children are first and foremost, protected from abuse and neglect.
Figure 1: Child Protective Services Cases ...........................................................1
Count of unique CPS Investigations or Family Preservation (Ongoing) stages open at any point during the month. Includes all cases active at some time during the month. Sources: Internal Data System, SHINES
Figure 2: Recurrence of Substantiated Child Maltreatment........................... 1
Of all the children who were victims of substantiated maltreatment in the first 6 months of the year, the percentage that had substantiated maltreatment within the following 6 months. National Standard: less than or equal to 5.40% Sources: Protective Services Data System, SHINES
Figure 3: Disposition of Child Abuse and Neglect Reports............................ 2
Chart reflects the disposition of reports received in a particular month. Data includes count of Family Support, Substantiated Investigations, Unsubstantiated Investigations and Screenouts. Source: SHINES
Figure 4: Disposition of Child Abuse and Neglect Reports............................ 2
Chart reflects the disposition of reports received in a particular month. Data includes count of Family Preservation (Substantiated and Unsubstantiated Open), Foster Care (Substantiated and Unsubstantiated Open), Substantiated and Unsubstantiated Closed. Source: SHINES

Definitions and Data Sources cont...
PERMANENCY 1 Children have permanency and stability in their living situations.
Figure 5: Child Placement Services Cases ................................................................3
Count of unique children in foster care or adoptions stages open at any point during the month and cases active at some time during the month. This population may include children not in DFCS custody. Sources: Internal Data System, SHINES
Figure 6: Children in the Legal Custody of DFCS .......................................... 3
Count of unique children who were in the legal custody of DFCS at some point during the month, including those 18 years of age and older. Excludes Aftercare, ICPC, Placement services to parents, and Boarding County. Source: SHINES
Figure 7: Children in the Legal Custody of DFCS Under the Age 18....................4
Count of unique children who were in the legal custody of DFCS at some point during the month under the age 18. Excludes Aftercare, ICPC, Placement services to parents, and Boarding County. Source: SHINES
Figure 8: Length of Time to Achieve Reunification.........................................4
Percentage of children who exited care during the month through reunification with their family that reunified in less than 12 months from the date of their removal. National Standard: greater than or equal to 76.20% Source: SHINES
Figure 9: Comparison of Foster Care Entries & Exits.......................................5
Number of children who have entered foster care and number of children who have exited foster care during the month. Source: SHINES
Figure 10: Foster Care Re-entries...............................................................5
Of all the children who entered foster care, the percentage that were discharged from a previous placement within 12 months of the current foster care placement. National Standard: less than or equal to 8.60% Source: SHINES
Figure 11: Children Placed with Relatives....................................................6
Of all children in DFCS custody, the percentage that are placed with a relative or a relative foster home. State Target: greater than or equal to 30.00% Source: SHINES
Figure 12: Adoptions Finalized................................................................6
The number of children whose adoption was finalized. Source: SHINES

SAFETY-RELATED OUTCOMES
Figure 1: Number of Child Protective Services Cases (includes Investigations and Family Preservation cases).
20,000

15,000

SFY 2008:
37.2%
decrease

10,000 5,000

SFY 2011:
4.2%
decrease

SFY 2010:
5.4%
decrease

SFY 2009:
8.6%
decrease

0

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Sources: IDS, SHINES Source: IDS
SFY Jul

Def: Count of unique CPS Investigations or Family Preservation (Ongoing) stages open at any point during the month. Percentages show increase/decrease during each SFY.
Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May

Jun
Jun

SFY 11 8,103 7,855 7,895 7,765

SFY 10 9,624 9,796 10,489 10,734 10,165 10,357 9,833 9,856 9,834 9,950 9,479 9,105

SFY 09 11,345 11,679 12,556 12,713 12,279 11,990 11,391 10,999 11,556 11,324 10,866 10,372

SFY 08 18,115 17,033 16,090 15,801 14,105 12,142 12,428 11,703 12,122 11,769 11,719 11,380

Figure 2: Recurrence of Substantiated Child Maltreatment October 2009 October 2010
Def: Of all children who were victims of substantiated maltreatment in the first 6 months of the year, the percentage that had a substan. report of maltreatment within the following 6 months. This is calculated with a two-month lag.

8%

Sources: SHINES

7%

National Standard:

less than or equal to

6%

5.40%

5%

4%

3% 2.77% 2.69% 2.53%

2.53%

2.77% 2.82%

2.32% 2.42%

2.32% 1.99% 2.05%

2.29% 2.29%

2%

1%

0% Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10
Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 2.77% 2.69% 2.53% 2.32% 2.42% 2.53% 2.32% 1.99% 2.05% 2.77% 2.82% 2.29% 2.29%

Data Analysis, Accountability, Research and Evaluation

1

CW-1

Figure 3: Disposition of Child Abuse and Neglect Reports (October 2010)

Family Support

Substantiated Investigations

Unsubstantiated Investigations

Screenouts

4,000 3,458
3,500
3,000
2,500

3,154 2,830 2,705

2,675

3,531

2,868

2,873

2,708 2,161

2,821 2,667

2,000

1,500 1,269

1,291

1,110

1,000 1,153

1,075

Source: IDS 1,047 500

1,139 1,216

1,214 1,010

901

976

1,034
1,014 966

1,020 1,008
995

1,186
1,185 1,179

1,219 1,163 1,028

1,064
1,024 1,017

1,897 1,416
1,004 1,200
970 788 807

1,186 954 832

1,066 1,004
839

0 SEP09 OCT09 NOV09 DEC09 JAN10 FEB10 MAR10 APR10 MAY10 JUN10 JUL10 AUG10 SEP10

Source: SHINES Oct 2010

Notes: Chart indicates total number of Family Support Cases, Substantiated Investigation Cases, Unsubstantiated Investigation Cases and Screenout Cases. Numbers show the results of intake calls through a investigation. Does not show number of Family Preservation and Foster Care Entries Cases. *Data reported on 1 month lag to allow investigations to be completed.

D.A.A.R.E

Figure 4: Disposition of Child Abuse and Neglect Reports (October 2010)

Family Preservation Substantiated Open
1,500

Family Preservation Unsubstantiated Open

Foster Care

Foster Care

Substantiated Open Unsubstantiated Open

Substantiated Closed
1,308

Unsubstantiated Closed

1,250 1,050
1,000

1,003

1,044

1,099

1,085

1,141

750
507 500
503

597 466

215

199

250

87

95

20

27

0

SEP09 OCT09

Source: SHINES Oct 2010

835

876

952 876

601

531

494

489

488 495 499

553 430

411 189
67 29

438

378

177 160

91 89

24

36

398
133 96
23

479 209
74 28

464

439

410

404

207

204

153

174

55 20 44 29 62 40 57 34

NOV09 DEC09 JAN10 FEB10 MAR10 APR10 MAY10 JUN10 JUL10
Note: Chart indicates total number of Family Preservation Substantiated Open Cases, Family Preservation Unsubstantiated Open Cases, Foster Care Substantiated Open Cases, Foster Care Unsubstantiated Open Cases, Substantiated Closed Cases and Unsubstantiated Closed Cases. * Data reported on 1 month lag to allow investigations to be completed.

759 756

399
385 170 63 24

432
429 182
43 37

AUG10 SEP10

D.A.A.R.E

Data Analysis, Accountability, Research Evaluation

2

CW-1

PERMANENCY- RELATED OUTCOMES

Figure 5: Number of Child Placement Services Cases

S

IDS SHINES

15,000

Sources: IDS, SHINES

14,000 13,000 12,000 11,000

SFY 2009: 13.4% decrease

SFY 2008: 3.8%
decrease
SFY 2010: 12.2% decrease

10,000 9,000

SFY 2011: 2.5%
increase

8,000

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Notes: Count of unique children in foster care or adoptions stages open at any point during the month and cases active at some time during the month. Total count

includes all cases active at some time during the month. Of the total number of placement cases: 7,413children are in legal custody of DFCS under the age of 18; 555

children are in care of DFCS age 18 and over; 2,266 were Relative Placements and ICPC Children in placement at any point in time during the month. Percentages

show increase/decrease during each SFY.

SFY Jul Aug Sep

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun

SFY 11 9,985 9,853 10,215 10,234

SFY 10 11,437 11,362 11,260 11,676 10,708 10,625 10,552 10,462 10,446 10,687 9,997 10,041

SFY 09 13,739 13,479 14,417 14,499 13,292 13,198 13,014 12,632 13,201 13,086 12,081 11,898

SFY 08 13,935 13,839 13,568 13,398 13,595 12,985 12,793 12,891 12,886 13,230 13,315 13,409

Figure 6: Number of Children in the Legal Custody of DFCS

15,000 14,000 13,000 12,000 11,000 10,000
9,000 8,000

SFY 2007 / SFY 2008 / SFY 2009 / SFY 2010 / SFY 2011

-2.3%

-11.8%

- 18.0%

- 11.1% - 2.2% ytd

13,858 13,944 13,333 13,342
11,671 11,580

Percentages show increase/decrease during each SFY

13,682

13,531

13,588 13,286 13,180 12,975 12,859

13,210 13,270

12,530 12,199 12,101

12,123

11,463 11,267 11,129

11,955 10,837 10,608

10,349 10,211

13,554 13,645 13,542

11,766

11,766

11,675

9,928 9,788 9,569

9,316 8,147

9,239 9,071 8,963 8,114 8,012 7,968

8,736 8,636
SFY 2011

8,422 8,384

8,427

8,383 8,311

8,284

7,000

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar Apr May

Note: Count of unique children who were in the legal custody of DFCS at some point during the month, including Source: Shines Oct - 2010 those 18 years of age and older. Excludes Aftercare, ICPC, Placement services to parents, and Boarding County.

Jun
DAARE

Data Analysis, Accountability, Research and Evaluation

3

CW-1

Figure 7: Children in the Legal Custody of DFCS Under the Age of 18 (October 2009 - October 2010)
Def: Count of unique children who were in the legal custody of DFCS at some point during the month under the age 18. Excludes Aftercare, ICPC, Placement services to parents, and Boarding County.
15,000

12,500

10,000 8,854 7,500

8,812 8,594

8,462 8,240 8,140 7,917 7,864 7,908 7,864

7,803 7,471 7,413

5,000

2,500

0 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10

Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 8,462 8,240 8,140 7,917 7,864 7,908 7,864 7,803 7,735 7,594 7,561 7,471 7,413

Figure 8: Length of Time to Reunification (October 2009 - October 2010)
Def: Percentage of children who exited care during the month through reunification with their family that reunified in less than 12 months from the date of their last removal.

100% 80%

National Standard: greater than or equal to
76.20%

Sources: AFCARS, IDS, SHINES

60%

67.90%

64.29% 63.85%

61.31%

72.19% 67.04%

72.97% 69.97%
68.60%
60.50%

72.87%

67.21% 69.11%

40%

20% Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10
Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 67.90% 64.29% 63.85% 61.31% 72.19% 67.04% 72.97% 60.50% 68.60% 69.97% 72.87% 67.21% 69.11%

Data Analysis, Accountability, Research and Evaluation

4

CW-1

Figure 9: Comparison of Foster Care Entries and Exits October 2009 - October 2010

Def: Number of children who entered foster care and exited foster care during the month. Includes children who turn age 18 during the month.
1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Entries Exits

Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10

495 386 432 397 419 492 439

366

448

520 448 589 383 380 464 468 419

588

Figure 10: Foster Care Re-Entry Rate October 2009 - October 2010

Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 423 451 479 414 510 540 398 353

15% 12%

percent

Def: Of all the children who entered foster care, the percentage that were discharged from a previous placement within 12 months of the current placement.
National Standard: less than or equal to
8.60%

9%

8.24%

6%
5.04% 3%

4.64%

6.25%

6.58% 5.97%

5.79%

7.38% 5.08%

3.32%

7.35%

6.13%

5.23%

0% Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10
Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 5.04% 8.24% 4.64% 6.25% 6.58% 5.97% 5.79% 5.08% 7.38% 3.32% 7.35% 6.13% 5.23%

Data Analysis Accountability Research and Evaluation

5

CW-1

Figure 11: Percent of Children Placed with Relatives October 2009 October 2010
Def: Of all children in DFCS custody, the percentage that are placed with a relative or relative foster home.

25%

Sources: SHINES

D f Th
20%

b f hild

h d ti

fi li d

T t l f th t t

th

dtd

S

S i l S i Ad ti U it

15%

13.09%

13.62% 13.27%

13.64% 13.02%

12.66% 12.52%

12.49%

12.33% 12.13%

12.38% 12.38%

12.25%

10%

5%

0%
Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10

Feb-10 Mar-10

Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10

Jul-10

Aug-10 Sep-10

Oct-10

Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 13.09% 13.27% 13.62% 13.64% 13.02% 12.66% 12.52% 12.49% 12.33% 12.13% 12.38% 12.38% 12.25%

Figure 12: Number of Finalized Adoptions October 2009 October 2010
Def: The number of children whose adoption was finalized. Totals for all months are updated.
175 160
150

Sources: SHINES

125

115

95 100

75

112

112

103

104

96

78

85

83

67

77

50

25

0 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10

Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10

95

115 160

67

78

85

112

83

112

77

103 104

96

Data Analysis, Accountability, Research and Evaluation

6

CW-1