Data Analysis, Accountability, Research & Evaluation Child Welfare Outcome Measures & Results October 2010 Definitions and Data Sources SAFETY 1 Children are first and foremost, protected from abuse and neglect. Figure 1: Child Protective Services Cases ...........................................................1 Count of unique CPS Investigations or Family Preservation (Ongoing) stages open at any point during the month. Includes all cases active at some time during the month. Sources: Internal Data System, SHINES Figure 2: Recurrence of Substantiated Child Maltreatment........................... 1 Of all the children who were victims of substantiated maltreatment in the first 6 months of the year, the percentage that had substantiated maltreatment within the following 6 months. National Standard: less than or equal to 5.40% Sources: Protective Services Data System, SHINES Figure 3: Disposition of Child Abuse and Neglect Reports............................ 2 Chart reflects the disposition of reports received in a particular month. Data includes count of Family Support, Substantiated Investigations, Unsubstantiated Investigations and Screenouts. Source: SHINES Figure 4: Disposition of Child Abuse and Neglect Reports............................ 2 Chart reflects the disposition of reports received in a particular month. Data includes count of Family Preservation (Substantiated and Unsubstantiated Open), Foster Care (Substantiated and Unsubstantiated Open), Substantiated and Unsubstantiated Closed. Source: SHINES Definitions and Data Sources cont... PERMANENCY 1 Children have permanency and stability in their living situations. Figure 5: Child Placement Services Cases ................................................................3 Count of unique children in foster care or adoptions stages open at any point during the month and cases active at some time during the month. This population may include children not in DFCS custody. Sources: Internal Data System, SHINES Figure 6: Children in the Legal Custody of DFCS .......................................... 3 Count of unique children who were in the legal custody of DFCS at some point during the month, including those 18 years of age and older. Excludes Aftercare, ICPC, Placement services to parents, and Boarding County. Source: SHINES Figure 7: Children in the Legal Custody of DFCS Under the Age 18....................4 Count of unique children who were in the legal custody of DFCS at some point during the month under the age 18. Excludes Aftercare, ICPC, Placement services to parents, and Boarding County. Source: SHINES Figure 8: Length of Time to Achieve Reunification.........................................4 Percentage of children who exited care during the month through reunification with their family that reunified in less than 12 months from the date of their removal. National Standard: greater than or equal to 76.20% Source: SHINES Figure 9: Comparison of Foster Care Entries & Exits.......................................5 Number of children who have entered foster care and number of children who have exited foster care during the month. Source: SHINES Figure 10: Foster Care Re-entries...............................................................5 Of all the children who entered foster care, the percentage that were discharged from a previous placement within 12 months of the current foster care placement. National Standard: less than or equal to 8.60% Source: SHINES Figure 11: Children Placed with Relatives....................................................6 Of all children in DFCS custody, the percentage that are placed with a relative or a relative foster home. State Target: greater than or equal to 30.00% Source: SHINES Figure 12: Adoptions Finalized................................................................6 The number of children whose adoption was finalized. Source: SHINES SAFETY-RELATED OUTCOMES Figure 1: Number of Child Protective Services Cases (includes Investigations and Family Preservation cases). 20,000 15,000 SFY 2008: 37.2% decrease 10,000 5,000 SFY 2011: 4.2% decrease SFY 2010: 5.4% decrease SFY 2009: 8.6% decrease 0 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Sources: IDS, SHINES Source: IDS SFY Jul Def: Count of unique CPS Investigations or Family Preservation (Ongoing) stages open at any point during the month. Percentages show increase/decrease during each SFY. Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jun SFY 11 8,103 7,855 7,895 7,765 SFY 10 9,624 9,796 10,489 10,734 10,165 10,357 9,833 9,856 9,834 9,950 9,479 9,105 SFY 09 11,345 11,679 12,556 12,713 12,279 11,990 11,391 10,999 11,556 11,324 10,866 10,372 SFY 08 18,115 17,033 16,090 15,801 14,105 12,142 12,428 11,703 12,122 11,769 11,719 11,380 Figure 2: Recurrence of Substantiated Child Maltreatment October 2009 October 2010 Def: Of all children who were victims of substantiated maltreatment in the first 6 months of the year, the percentage that had a substan. report of maltreatment within the following 6 months. This is calculated with a two-month lag. 8% Sources: SHINES 7% National Standard: less than or equal to 6% 5.40% 5% 4% 3% 2.77% 2.69% 2.53% 2.53% 2.77% 2.82% 2.32% 2.42% 2.32% 1.99% 2.05% 2.29% 2.29% 2% 1% 0% Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 2.77% 2.69% 2.53% 2.32% 2.42% 2.53% 2.32% 1.99% 2.05% 2.77% 2.82% 2.29% 2.29% Data Analysis, Accountability, Research and Evaluation 1 CW-1 Figure 3: Disposition of Child Abuse and Neglect Reports (October 2010) Family Support Substantiated Investigations Unsubstantiated Investigations Screenouts 4,000 3,458 3,500 3,000 2,500 3,154 2,830 2,705 2,675 3,531 2,868 2,873 2,708 2,161 2,821 2,667 2,000 1,500 1,269 1,291 1,110 1,000 1,153 1,075 Source: IDS 1,047 500 1,139 1,216 1,214 1,010 901 976 1,034 1,014 966 1,020 1,008 995 1,186 1,185 1,179 1,219 1,163 1,028 1,064 1,024 1,017 1,897 1,416 1,004 1,200 970 788 807 1,186 954 832 1,066 1,004 839 0 SEP09 OCT09 NOV09 DEC09 JAN10 FEB10 MAR10 APR10 MAY10 JUN10 JUL10 AUG10 SEP10 Source: SHINES Oct 2010 Notes: Chart indicates total number of Family Support Cases, Substantiated Investigation Cases, Unsubstantiated Investigation Cases and Screenout Cases. Numbers show the results of intake calls through a investigation. Does not show number of Family Preservation and Foster Care Entries Cases. *Data reported on 1 month lag to allow investigations to be completed. D.A.A.R.E Figure 4: Disposition of Child Abuse and Neglect Reports (October 2010) Family Preservation Substantiated Open 1,500 Family Preservation Unsubstantiated Open Foster Care Foster Care Substantiated Open Unsubstantiated Open Substantiated Closed 1,308 Unsubstantiated Closed 1,250 1,050 1,000 1,003 1,044 1,099 1,085 1,141 750 507 500 503 597 466 215 199 250 87 95 20 27 0 SEP09 OCT09 Source: SHINES Oct 2010 835 876 952 876 601 531 494 489 488 495 499 553 430 411 189 67 29 438 378 177 160 91 89 24 36 398 133 96 23 479 209 74 28 464 439 410 404 207 204 153 174 55 20 44 29 62 40 57 34 NOV09 DEC09 JAN10 FEB10 MAR10 APR10 MAY10 JUN10 JUL10 Note: Chart indicates total number of Family Preservation Substantiated Open Cases, Family Preservation Unsubstantiated Open Cases, Foster Care Substantiated Open Cases, Foster Care Unsubstantiated Open Cases, Substantiated Closed Cases and Unsubstantiated Closed Cases. * Data reported on 1 month lag to allow investigations to be completed. 759 756 399 385 170 63 24 432 429 182 43 37 AUG10 SEP10 D.A.A.R.E Data Analysis, Accountability, Research Evaluation 2 CW-1 PERMANENCY- RELATED OUTCOMES Figure 5: Number of Child Placement Services Cases S IDS SHINES 15,000 Sources: IDS, SHINES 14,000 13,000 12,000 11,000 SFY 2009: 13.4% decrease SFY 2008: 3.8% decrease SFY 2010: 12.2% decrease 10,000 9,000 SFY 2011: 2.5% increase 8,000 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Notes: Count of unique children in foster care or adoptions stages open at any point during the month and cases active at some time during the month. Total count includes all cases active at some time during the month. Of the total number of placement cases: 7,413children are in legal custody of DFCS under the age of 18; 555 children are in care of DFCS age 18 and over; 2,266 were Relative Placements and ICPC Children in placement at any point in time during the month. Percentages show increase/decrease during each SFY. SFY Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun SFY 11 9,985 9,853 10,215 10,234 SFY 10 11,437 11,362 11,260 11,676 10,708 10,625 10,552 10,462 10,446 10,687 9,997 10,041 SFY 09 13,739 13,479 14,417 14,499 13,292 13,198 13,014 12,632 13,201 13,086 12,081 11,898 SFY 08 13,935 13,839 13,568 13,398 13,595 12,985 12,793 12,891 12,886 13,230 13,315 13,409 Figure 6: Number of Children in the Legal Custody of DFCS 15,000 14,000 13,000 12,000 11,000 10,000 9,000 8,000 SFY 2007 / SFY 2008 / SFY 2009 / SFY 2010 / SFY 2011 -2.3% -11.8% - 18.0% - 11.1% - 2.2% ytd 13,858 13,944 13,333 13,342 11,671 11,580 Percentages show increase/decrease during each SFY 13,682 13,531 13,588 13,286 13,180 12,975 12,859 13,210 13,270 12,530 12,199 12,101 12,123 11,463 11,267 11,129 11,955 10,837 10,608 10,349 10,211 13,554 13,645 13,542 11,766 11,766 11,675 9,928 9,788 9,569 9,316 8,147 9,239 9,071 8,963 8,114 8,012 7,968 8,736 8,636 SFY 2011 8,422 8,384 8,427 8,383 8,311 8,284 7,000 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Note: Count of unique children who were in the legal custody of DFCS at some point during the month, including Source: Shines Oct - 2010 those 18 years of age and older. Excludes Aftercare, ICPC, Placement services to parents, and Boarding County. Jun DAARE Data Analysis, Accountability, Research and Evaluation 3 CW-1 Figure 7: Children in the Legal Custody of DFCS Under the Age of 18 (October 2009 - October 2010) Def: Count of unique children who were in the legal custody of DFCS at some point during the month under the age 18. Excludes Aftercare, ICPC, Placement services to parents, and Boarding County. 15,000 12,500 10,000 8,854 7,500 8,812 8,594 8,462 8,240 8,140 7,917 7,864 7,908 7,864 7,803 7,471 7,413 5,000 2,500 0 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 8,462 8,240 8,140 7,917 7,864 7,908 7,864 7,803 7,735 7,594 7,561 7,471 7,413 Figure 8: Length of Time to Reunification (October 2009 - October 2010) Def: Percentage of children who exited care during the month through reunification with their family that reunified in less than 12 months from the date of their last removal. 100% 80% National Standard: greater than or equal to 76.20% Sources: AFCARS, IDS, SHINES 60% 67.90% 64.29% 63.85% 61.31% 72.19% 67.04% 72.97% 69.97% 68.60% 60.50% 72.87% 67.21% 69.11% 40% 20% Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 67.90% 64.29% 63.85% 61.31% 72.19% 67.04% 72.97% 60.50% 68.60% 69.97% 72.87% 67.21% 69.11% Data Analysis, Accountability, Research and Evaluation 4 CW-1 Figure 9: Comparison of Foster Care Entries and Exits October 2009 - October 2010 Def: Number of children who entered foster care and exited foster care during the month. Includes children who turn age 18 during the month. 1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Entries Exits Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 495 386 432 397 419 492 439 366 448 520 448 589 383 380 464 468 419 588 Figure 10: Foster Care Re-Entry Rate October 2009 - October 2010 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 423 451 479 414 510 540 398 353 15% 12% percent Def: Of all the children who entered foster care, the percentage that were discharged from a previous placement within 12 months of the current placement. National Standard: less than or equal to 8.60% 9% 8.24% 6% 5.04% 3% 4.64% 6.25% 6.58% 5.97% 5.79% 7.38% 5.08% 3.32% 7.35% 6.13% 5.23% 0% Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 5.04% 8.24% 4.64% 6.25% 6.58% 5.97% 5.79% 5.08% 7.38% 3.32% 7.35% 6.13% 5.23% Data Analysis Accountability Research and Evaluation 5 CW-1 Figure 11: Percent of Children Placed with Relatives October 2009 October 2010 Def: Of all children in DFCS custody, the percentage that are placed with a relative or relative foster home. 25% Sources: SHINES D f Th 20% b f hild h d ti fi li d T t l f th t t th dtd S S i l S i Ad ti U it 15% 13.09% 13.62% 13.27% 13.64% 13.02% 12.66% 12.52% 12.49% 12.33% 12.13% 12.38% 12.38% 12.25% 10% 5% 0% Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 13.09% 13.27% 13.62% 13.64% 13.02% 12.66% 12.52% 12.49% 12.33% 12.13% 12.38% 12.38% 12.25% Figure 12: Number of Finalized Adoptions October 2009 October 2010 Def: The number of children whose adoption was finalized. Totals for all months are updated. 175 160 150 Sources: SHINES 125 115 95 100 75 112 112 103 104 96 78 85 83 67 77 50 25 0 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 95 115 160 67 78 85 112 83 112 77 103 104 96 Data Analysis, Accountability, Research and Evaluation 6 CW-1