Georgia
Workforce Trends
An Analysis of Long-term Employment Projections to 2024
Mark Butler, Commissioner
Georgia Workforce Trends
An Analysis of Long-term Employment Projections to 2024
Workforce Statistics & Economic Research Mark Butler, Commissioner
Equal Opportunity Employer/Program Auxiliary Aids and Services Available upon Request to Individuals with Disabilities
Georgia Workforce Trends An Analysis of Long-term Employment Projections to 2024 was produced by the Georgia Department of Labor's Workforce Statistics and Economic Research (WS&ER) Division, under the general direction of Mark Watson, Director. The publication's charts, graphs, and analyses were prepared by Corey Smith, Statistical Business Operations Chief. Kenneth King, Program Chief, along with Hans Friedrichsen and Sherri Lundy, worked to produce the underlying employment projections, the component upon which the analyses in this publication are based. Research and findings were also produced by numerous WS&ER staff with graphics and layout being provided by Helen Kim.
This workforce publication is one of several produced by WS&ER presenting labor market information. This product was funded by a grant from the U.S. Department of Labor's Employment and Training Administration. Other publications include: Georgia's HOT Careers to 2024, Georgia's STEM Careers to 2024, Georgia Jobs: 2016-2018 Short-term Employment Projections, Georgia Area Workforce Trends: Projections to 2024, Georgia Wage Survey, and Licensed and Certified Occupations in Georgia. This product was created by the Georgia Department of Labor and does not necessarily reflect the official position of the U.S. Department of Labor.
A d d i t i o n a l D a t a
For a complete set of industry or occupational employment projections for the state or any of its local workforce development areas, please contact the Workforce Statistics & Economic Research Division of the Georgia Department of Labor at (404) 232-3875 or at workforce_info@dol.state.ga.us.
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
2 Georgia Workforce 2024
Table of Contents
Introduction.......................................................................................................................... 5 A Note about the Economy in 2014.................................................................................. 6 Industry Employment Highlights................................................................................... 7 Occupational Employment Highlights ......................................................................... 8
Industry Employment
11
Industry Sectors Defined..................................................................................................12 Industry Employment By Supersector...........................................................................13 Change in Employment by Industry Sector.................................................................14 Percent Change in Employment by Industry Sector..................................................15 Industry Subsectors with the Most Job Growth........................................................16 High-Technology Industries with the Most Job Growth..........................................17 Fastest Growing Detailed Industries.............................................................................18 Most Job Growth by Detailed Industry........................................................................19 Most Job Losses by Detailed Industry..........................................................................20
Occupational Employment
21
Job Function Categories...................................................................................................22 Occupational Employment by Educational Catagory..............................................23 Employment Growth by Educational Catagory.........................................................24 Employment Growth by Occupational Group...........................................................25 Annual Openings by Educational Catagory...............................................................26 Annual Openings by Occupational Group.................................................................. 27 Fastest Growing Occupations........................................................................................28 Occupations with the Most Job Growth.....................................................................29 Occupations with the Most Annual Openings..........................................................30 Occupations with the Most Job Losses.........................................................................31 Most Job Growth in Occupations that Require
a Bachelor's Degree or More...................................................................................... 32
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
Continued
Georgia Department of Labor 3
Occupational Employment (Continued) Most Job Growth in Occupations that Require an Associate's
Degree or Postsecondary Award, or Some College.............................................. 33 Most Job Growth in Occupations that Require
a High School Diploma or Less................................................................................34 Most Job Growth in Healthcare Technical & Support Occupations.................. 35 Most Job Growth in Selected Science, Technology, Engineering,
& Mathematics (STEM) Occupations...................................................................36
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
4 Georgia Workforce 2024
Introduction
Deciding on a career is like anything else--a person is more likely to succeed if he or she has a solid plan. And if the planning involves education, training, or a career, it is imperative that good information about the job market is available. Concerns about things like the number of jobs that will exist in the future, their rate of pay, and the kind of education and training that will be required can be difficult to sort out. Fortunately for Georgians, this publication addresses some of these issues.
Georgia Workforce Trends An Analysis of Long-term Employment Projections to 2024 provides a graphic summary of the latest trends in employment growth (or decline) covering the decade from 2014 to 2024. These projections are a key to good decision- making for career counselors, education program planners, and policymakers. In a changing economy, they help to glimpse into the future--and to prepare for it.
The graphs depict trends in two key areas: industries and occupations. The projections were developed using models that incorporated the latest available assumptions about changes in technology, employers' staffing patterns, and business practices. As such, they replace all statewide long-term employment projections previously released by the Georgia Department of Labor.
To help understand these projections, it is important to understand the difference between an industry and an occupation. An occupation refers to a method of classifying jobs according to the type of work performed. People who supervise children are in the occupation of childcare worker, for example. An industry, on the other hand, refers to a way of classifying jobs and businesses according to the type of goods produced or services provided. For example, any job in a childcare center--from childcare worker to cook--is classified as part of the child daycare services industry.
All of the graphs in this report provide answers to some basic questions about employment in Georgia like: How many new jobs will there be? How fast are the number of jobs changing? and Which occupations are growing/declining the most? Graphs that show numeric employment change illustrate how many new jobs there will be (the actual number of jobs gained or lost over the projections decade). In general, occupations and industries with the greatest numeric increases are those that already have large numbers of workers. Graphs showing percent change in employment illustrate how fast the number of jobs are changing (the rate of job growth or decline during the decade). It is important to remember that fast growth does not always mean many new jobs. Graphs that show annual job openings include not only openings from growth in the number of jobs, but also openings from the need to replace workers who retire or permanently leave an occupation for some other reason.
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
Georgia Department of Labor 5
A Note about the Economy in 2014
For this set of employment projections, the base year, 2014, happened to be well past the most significant downturn in Georgia's and the nation's economic history. The Great Recession, which lasted from December 2007 to June 2009, greatly affected the number of jobs in the economy. By 2014, we were squarely out of the recession and better economic times were afoot. In Georgia, we were in the fourth consecutive year of annual average job growth and had decently shaken off many of the adverse effects of a previously stymied economic climate. The unemployment rate was down to 7.1 percent in 2014, its fourth straight year of improvement, after topping out at 10.5 percent a few years earlier. Employment in Georgia's construction and manufacturing sectors were back on stable footing and professional and business services, wholesale and retail trade, leisure and hospitality, and education and health services were adding a strong number of jobs as job growth in the state was widespread in 2014. When developing long-term projections, however, our focus is on long-term employment trends. Georgia's population and labor force have been aging over the last several years. These types of long-term trends are expected to continue, regardless of the variations in the economy. Projected notes in employment between 2014 and 2024 include a continued uptick in health care and social assistance related jobs, construction positions growing at a good rate, and more occupations generally requiring education beyond high school.
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
6 Georgia Workforce 2024
In 2024
Industry Employment Highlights
Total employment in Georgia is projected to grow to over 4.7 million in 2024, an increase of 11.1 percent from the 2014 employment level. The growth amounts to over 476,000 new jobs for the state.
Industry employment growth will be concentrated in the service-providing sectors of the economy. About 92 percent of the job growth in Georgia will be in the service providing sectors and about 8 percent will be in the goodsproducing sectors. This amounts to about 439,000 new jobs in the serviceproviding sectors and about 38,000 more jobs in goods-producing sectors.
Health care and social assistance will lead all industry sectors both in terms of new job growth and rate of growth. It will account for about onefourth of the 476,000 new jobs created in the state through 2024.
The construction industry will grow at the second fastest rate of all industry sectors through 2024. Growing by just over 20 percent over the projection period, the growth in construction jobs are going to be a result of road, bridge and other infrastructure improvements across the state as well as continued residential and commercial building.
Manufacturing jobs will grow at a modest rate over the projection period. Georgia will see manufacturing grow by 1.6 percent from 2014 to 2024. Manufacturing employment in the state peaked in 1997 with about 555,000 jobs in the sector, in 2014 there were about 364,000 manufacturing jobs and there will be around 370,000 through 2024.
Educational services is projected to show significant strong growth through 2024. The sub-sector will grow by 53,000 jobs and employ over 421,000 over the ten-year period.
Professional and business services will add over 107,000 jobs in the state by 2024. Employment in the industry sector will grow from about 588,000 in 2014 to over 695,000 by 2024.
The leisure and hospitality sector is poised for strong employment gains through 2024. The accommodation and food services sub-sector will grow by over 45,000 workers as employment will reach 426,000. The arts, entertainment, and recreation sub-sector will grow by about 5,000 over the projection period as employment tops 48,000.
Government jobs are expected to increase over the ten-year projection period. Through 2024 government positions (not including education) in Georgia will grow by 8,700 statewide to just under 300,000.
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
Georgia Department of Labor 7
In 2024
Occupational Employment Highlights
30.0 percent of new occupations in Georgia will generally require a bachelor's degree or more through 2024.
Workers in occupations generally requiring a bachelor's degree or more will comprise 25.6 percent of all jobs through 2024, up from 25.1 percent in 2014. Workers in occupations generally requiring some formal postsecondary education but less than a bachelor's degree will comprise 11.0 percent of all jobs through 2024, up from 10.8 percent in 2014; while workers in occupations that generally require a high school diploma or less will comprise 63.4 percent of all occupations through 2024, down from 64.1 percent in 2014.
Employment will grow in occupations at every educational level through 2024 in Georgia. Nearly 142,000 new jobs will be created in occupations that require a high school diploma or equivalent; over 130,000 new jobs will be created in occupations generally requiring no formal educational credential; just over 116,000 new jobs will be added in occupations generally requiring a bachelor's degree; nearly 48,000 new jobs will be in occupations requiring some college or postsecondary award; nearly 16,000 new jobs will be created in occupations that generally require a doctoral/professional degree; over 13,000 new jobs will be in occupations that generally require an associate's degree; and nearly 11,000 new jobs will be in occupations generally requiring a master's degree.
In terms of employment level, most jobs in Georgia will be in the office and administration support occupational group, followed by sales and related occupations, food preparation and serving related occupations, transportation and material moving occupations, production occupations, and management occupations by 2024.
All major occupational groups will experience job growth over the projection period. Office and administrative support occupations will have the largest gains almost 48,700 new jobs through 2024; followed closely by healthcare practitioners & technical occupations adding 48,600 new jobs; food preparation and serving occupations adding over 46,000 new jobs; and sales and related occupations growing by about 43,500 new jobs.
Occupational groups growing at the fastest annual average growth rate through 2024 include healthcare support occupations growing by 2.3 percent per year to almost 120,000 jobs by 2024; healthcare practitioners & technical occupations growing by 2.0 percent per year to nearly 275,000 total jobs; and education, training and library occupations growing by 1.5 percent per year reaching nearly 300,000 jobs in Georgia.
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
8 Georgia Workforce 2024
In 2024
Occupational Employment Highlights Continued
Production occupations will grow by 0.4 percent in Georgia and add 12,200 jobs while farming, fishing, and forestry occupations will grow by 0.3 percent and add 1,100 jobs in Georgia; both growth rates are the slowest among the major occupational groups in the state.
Occupations generally requiring a high school diploma or equivalent accounts for 33.9 percent of all job openings in Georgia. The openings will come from both employment growth (the creation of new jobs) and from replacements (filling positions of workers who retire or leave an occupation permanently for some other reason).
Several of the twenty fastest growing occupations in Georgia will be healthcare related through 2024 and include occupations such as nurse practitioners, physical therapist assistants, and physician assistants; however, the list also includes CNC programmers, film and video editors, and bus drivers.
Combined food prep workers (17,300), retail salespersons (15,300), laborers and freight, stock, and material movers, hand (14,700), registered nurses (13,700), and customer service representatives (12,300) will gain the most jobs through 2024.
Retail salespersons, cashiers, combined food prep workers, laborers and freight, stock, and material movers, hand, and customer services representatives will top the list of most annual job openings. Included in the top twenty list of most job openings in Georgia through 2024 also are waiters and waitresses, customer service representatives, registered nurses, general and operations managers, stock clerks and order filers, and general office clerks.
Textile winding, twisting, and drawing out machine setters, operators, and tenders in Georgia will experience the most job losses through 2024; followed by fast food cooks; textile knitting and weaving machine setters, operators, and tenders; postal service mail carriers; and bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks. Although declining, there will still be some job openings in these occupations due to job replacements.
Job growth in Georgia in occupations that generally require a master's degree or a doctoral/professional degree include physicians and surgeons, physical therapists, nurse practitioners, lawyers, and physician assistants.
The majority of job growth by 2024 in occupations that generally require a bachelor's degree will be in nursing, accounting, k-12 education, manage-
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
Georgia Department of Labor 9
In 2024
Occupational Employment Highlights Continued
ment, and computer technology. Almost all will be Hot for the projection period because of their rapid growth, high wages, and plentiful job openings.
Job growth through 2024 in occupations generally requiring some college, postsecondary non-degree award, or an associate's degree are concentrated in healthcare. The group includes medical assistants, nursing assistants, and licensed practical/vocational nurses but also includes occupations such as heavy and tractor-trailer truck drivers, preschool teachers and computer user support specialists.
Job growth in occupations that require a high school diploma or less will be heavily influenced by several large-employment service occupations. Combined food preparation and serving workers; retail salespersons; laborers and freight, stock, and material movers, hand; customer service reps; and team assemblers will all add substantial new jobs over the decade.
Transportation and material-moving occupations are expected to add nearly 40,000 jobs in the state through 2024 and grow at a rate of 1.1 percent per year. Construction and extraction occupations are expected to grow at a rate of 1.4 percent per year and add over 23,000 jobs. Both transportation and construction related occupations are expected to grow as a result of road, bridge, highway, and waterway upgrades and improvements expected in Georgia through 2024.
Healthcare and healthcare support occupations are expected to drive job growth over the projection period in Georgia. Nurse practitioners and physician assistants top the list in rate of growth of health related occupations while registered nurses, medical assistants, nursing assistants, and physician and surgeons will lead healthcare in terms number of new jobs.
Careers in science, technology, engineering, and mathematics, commonly referred to as STEM occupations, will grow by nearly 78,000 new jobs in Georgia over the projection period ending in 2024.
STEM occupations with the most growth through 2024 will include registered nurses, computer systems analysts, physicians and surgeons, and software developers.
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
10 Georgia Workforce 2024
Industry Employment
With over 476,000 jobs projected to be added in Georgia from 2014-2024, employment in the state will surpass 4.7 million by 2024. Over the ten-year projection period, the job growth equates to an average of nearly 48,000 additional jobs per year and an average growth rate of 1.1 percent.
4,762,840
4,238,130
4,286,110
2004
2014
2024
Note: Employment data includes workers from the Current Employment Statistics survey and also includes self-employed, unpaid family workers, and agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting workers.
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
Georgia Department of Labor 11
Industry Sectors Defined
Industries shown in the following graphs are defined primarily according to the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS), a system used by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics to classify establishments into industry categories. Industries fall into either goods-producing or services-providing sectors.
Goods-producing Sectors
Natural Resources and Mining. Examples include animal and crop production, logging, support activities for agriculture, and oil and gas extraction companies.
Construction. Examples include bridgebuilding and home construction companies.
Manufacturing. Examples include establishments that make computer chips, breakfast cereals, and other goods.
Services-providing sectors
Wholesale & Retail Trade. Examples include wholesale merchants of durable goods like automobiles and furniture, non-durable goods like drugs and groceries, department stores, and gas stations.
Transportation and Utilities. Examples include airports, warehousing and storage facilities, and power plants.
Information. This includes print, software, and database publishing firms; broadcasting and telecommunications providers; and internet service providers.
Financial Activities. Industries include finance, insurance, real estate, and rental services.
Professional and Business Services. Examples include temporary help firms, consulting services, scientific and technical services, and waste management establishments.
Educational Services. This sector includes local, state, and private schools, and other providers of education.
Health Care and Social Assistance. Includes physicians' offices, dentists' offices, public and private hospitals, and privately run social services.
Leisure and Hospitality. Examples include hotels, restaurants, sports teams, theme parks, performing arts companies and arcades.
Other Services. Examples include automotive repair shops, funeral homes, and drycleaners.
Government. This sector consists of the federal, state, and local governments, except for the postal service and government-run hospitals and schools.
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
12 Georgia Workforce 2024
Industry Employment By Supersector
Both the service-providing and goods-producing sectors will add jobs through 2024. Employment in the service-providing sector will increase slightly from 86.5 percent of total employment in 2014 to 87.1 percent by 2024. Goods-producing employment will decrease slightly as it moves from 13.5 percent of total employment in 2014 to 12.9 percent in 2024. Employment in Georgia's service-providing sector will grow by nearly 439,000 over the projection period while the goods-producing sector will add nearly 38,000 jobs.
Goodsproducing
Serviceproviding
577,790 615,690
2014
Goods-producing 13.5%
Service-providing 86.5%
3,708,320 4,147,150
2014
2024
Projected 2024
Goods-producing, 12.9%
Service-providing 87.1%
Goods-producing Service-providing
Goods-producing Service-providing
Industry Supersector Employment Shares, 2014-2024
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
Georgia Department of Labor 13
Change in Employment by Industry Sector
The health care and social assistance industry will add the most jobs through 2024 as it is projected to increase employment by over 121,000. The job growth in health care and social assistance is driven by the increased demand to care for an aging population. The only other industry expected to add more than 100,000 jobs over the projection period is professional and business services. Wholesale and retail trade, educational services, and leisure and hospitality will also grow significantly as sales rise, the demand to improve and expand educational opportunities for Georgians continue to increase, and a growing population continues to look for entertaining activities.
Health Care & Soc'l Asst Prof & Bus Services
Whlsale & Retail Trade Educational Services Leisure & Hospitality Construction Financial Activities Government Transportn & Utilities Information Manufacturing
Nat Res, Mining & Logg'g Other Services
65,930 53,230 50,220 30,360 24,590 8,740 7,930 7,790 5,690 1,850 -2,070
121,410 107,220
Goods-producing
Service-providing
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
14 Georgia Workforce 2024
Percent Change in Employment by Industry Sector
Health care and social assistance is projected to have the highest rate of employment growth over the projection period. Through 2024, employment in the industry will grow by 26.8 percent in Georgia. Employment in construction will grow by 20.2 percent as home building persists and infrastructure repairs continue in Georgia. Professional and business services, educational services, and leisure and hospitality, will also lead in job growth. Other services will endure negative employment growth from 2014 to 2024 in Georgia.
Health Care & Soc'l Asst Construction
Prof & Bus Services Educational Services Leisure & Hospitality
Financial Activities Whlsale & Retail Trade
Information Transportn & Utilities
Government Nat Res, Mining & Logg'g
Manufacturing Other Services -1.2%
20.2% 18.2% 14.5% 11.8% 11.6% 9.9% 7.6% 3.8% 3.0% 2.9% 1.6%
Goods-producing
Service-providing
26.8%
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
Georgia Department of Labor 15
Industry Subsectors with the Most Job Growth
Listed are the top twenty industry subsectors for projected growth from 2014 to 2024. Of the nearly ninety industry subsectors (components of industry sectors) analyzed, health services is projected to grow the most and add over 99,000 jobs over the projection period. Employment in administrative and support services, educational services, professional and technical services, and food services and drinking places, round out the top five in terms of job growth.
Health Services Admin & Support Services
Educational Services Prof, Scientific, & Tech Services Food Services & Drinking Places
General Merchandise Stores Social Assistance
Specialty Trade Contractors Local Gov't, Excl Ed & Hospitals Whlsale Electr Markets/Agents Transportation Equipment Mfg Motor Vehicle & Parts Dealers
Real Estate Construction of Buildings Bldg Material & Garden Equip Insurance Carriers & Rel Activities Food and Beverage Stores
Food Manufacturing Securities & Other Fin Invstmnts Mercht Whlslrs, Nondurable Goods
64,280 53,230 45,710 43,860 23,050 21,640 21,030 15,700 11,800 11,340 9,570 9,120 8,750 8,550 7,220 6,010 4,960 4,940 4,760
99,770
Goods-producing
Service-providing
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
16 Georgia Workforce 2024
High-Technology Industries with the Most Job Growth
The high technology industry includes firms that design, develop, and introduce new products, processes and innovations by applying scientific and technical knowledge. High technology receives a good bit of attention due to its potential to create well-paying jobs. High-tech includes such industries as computer system design & related services which will add over 10,000 jobs by 2024; management, scientific, and technical services which will grow by over 8,000 jobs; and architectural and engineering services which will add nearly 5,300 new jobs to Georgia's economy over the projections period.
Computer Sys Design & Rel Svcs Mgt, Scientific, & Tech Consult Svcs Architectural, Engineerg, & Rel Svcs
Aerospace Product & Parts Mfg Wireless Telecom Carriers Other Telecommunications Software Publishers
Office Administrative Services Facilities Support Services
Communications Equip Manufacturing Scientific Research & Development Svcs
Computer & Peripheral Equip Mfg Other Chemical Product & Prep Mfg Data Processing, Hosting, & Rel Svcs Navigat'l, Measurg, Electro, Ctrl Instr Mfg Electrical Equipment Manufacturing Other Transportation Equipment Mfg
5,290 4,140 3,830 3,820 2,940 2,480 1,430 920 820 800 360 360 290 230 220
10,290 8,080
Goods-producing
Service-providing
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
Georgia Department of Labor 17
Fastest Growing Detailed Industries
Detailed industries growing at the fastest annual rate from 2014 to 2024 are highly focused in health care and social assistance. Seven of the top twenty fastest growing industries in the state are in health care and social assistance mainly due to an aging of Georgia's population and continued advances in medical care. With Georgia's ports expanding and increasing cargo and shipping related activities, the top fastest growing detailed industry in the state is in water transportation. Three of the twenty fastest growing detailed industries in Georgia are manufacturing related.
Deep Sea, Coastal, and Great Lakes Water Transportation Other General Merchandise Stores
Agents & Mgrs for Artists/Athlts/Entertnrs/Pub Figures Satellite Telecommunications
Water, Sewage & Other Systems Outpatient Care Centers
Home Health Care Services Glass & Glass Product Mfg Care Retire't & Living Facilities for Elderly Electronic Shopping & Mail Order Houses Other Telecommunications Museums, Historical Sites, & Similar Cutlery & Handtool Manufacturing Other Financial Investment Activities Individual & Family Services Drinking Places (Alcoholic Beverages)
Offices of Physicians Offices of Other Health Practitioners Res & Disability, Mental Health, & Abuse Facilities Communications Equipment Manufacturing
Goods-producing
6.7% 5.8% 5.5% 5.4% 5.3% 4.9% 4.8% 4.7% 4.7% 4.6% 4.6% 4.4% 4.0% 3.9% 3.9% 3.9% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 3.6%
Service-providing
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
18 Georgia Workforce 2024
Most Job Growth by Detailed Industry
At the detailed industry level, health care and social assistance dominate the top twenty list of most growing in the state. Other general merchandise stores will lead in employment growth in Georgia from 2014 to 2024 with over 49,000 new jobs projected to be created in the detailed industry. Employment services along with elementary and secondary schools round out the top three with over 47,400 and nearly 43,000 jobs added, respectively, by 2024. Of the top twenty detailed industries in job growth, ten are in health care and social assistance while four are in professional and technical services.
Other General Merchandise Stores Employment Services
Elem & Secondary Schools Restaurants & Other Eating Places
Offices of Physicians Local Gov't, Excl Ed & Hospitals General Medical & Surgical Hospitals Accounting, Tax Prep, & Payroll Svcs
Home Health Care Services Whlsale Electr Markets/Agents
Building Equip Contractors Child Day Care Services
Computer Sys Design & Rel Svcs Individual & Family Services
Care Retire't & Living Facilities for Elderly Bldg Material & Supplies Dealers
Offices of Other Health Practitioners Mgt, Scientific, & Tech Consult Svcs
Outpatient Care Centers Colleges, Universities, & Prof Schools
15,700 15,350 13,650 13,160 11,800 10,860 10,390 10,290 9,540 9,370 8,640 8,370 8,080 7,820 6,940
49,130 47,430 42,800 39,950 35,190
Goods-producing
Service-providing
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
Georgia Department of Labor 19
Most Job Losses by Detailed Industry
Several industries will endure employment loss over the ten-year projection period. With shoppers more willing to purchase goods over the internet, department stores are slated to lose the most jobs by 2024 in the state. Federal government, clothing stores, private households, and newspapers, periodicals, and book publishers round out the top five industries with the most job cuts. Six of the twenty industries slated to lose the most jobs in Georgia by 2024 are in manufacturing.
Department Stores Federal Gov't, Excl Post Office
Clothing Stores Private Households Newspaper, Periodical, & Book Publishers Wired Telecommunications Carriers Textile Furnishings Mills
Fabric Mills Fiber, Yarn, & Thread Mills Psychiatric & Substance Abuse Hospitals Management of Companies & Enterprises Electric Power Generation, Transm & Distr Prof & Comm Equip & Supplies Mercht Whlslrs
Cut & Sew Apparel Mfg Misc Nondurable Goods Mercht Wholesalers
Drycleaning & Laundry Services Other Electrical Equip & Component Mfg Office Supplies, Stationery, & Gift Stores
Technical & Trade Schools Pulp, Paper, & Paperboard Mills
Goods-producing
-26,090
-6,870 -6,500 -6,170
-4,730 -4,560 -4,320 -4,200
-3,120 -2,870 -2,160
-1,710 -1,690 -1,580 -1,510 -1,480 -1,460 -1,330 -1,320 -1,290
Service-providing
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
20 Georgia Workforce 2024
Occupational Employment
The previous section analyzed projected growth and decline in industry employment. This section examines projected changes in a closely related area--that of occupational employment. The Georgia Department of Labor has analyzed several factors affecting employment growth for nearly 800 detailed occupations. Occupations in this publication are defined according to the Standard Occupational Classification (SOC) system, which is prescribed by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Graphs of occupational trends are displayed by the educational level usually required for employment and by the kinds of tasks that workers typically perform. Educational levels include eight categories that range from a doctoral or professional degree to no formal educational credential.
Subsequent pages present graphical displays of occupational trends by percentage change, numerical change, and annual openings. Each of these is a useful measure of job growth and/or decline. Occupations with fast growth, many new positions, or many job openings generally offer more favorable conditions for mobility and advancement. Hot jobs combine all of these attributes with high wages to produce the most attractive job opportunities in Georgia. Each occupation designated as Hot in this report meets all three of the following criteria:
Annual job growth greater than the statewide average of 1.1 percent
Annual wage greater than the statewide average of $46,200 per year as listed in the 2016 edition of the Georgia Wage Survey
At least 100 projected job openings per year to the year 2024
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
Georgia Department of Labor 21
Job Function Categories
Job function categories are grouped by occupation. A description of each occupational group in presented below.
Management, business, and financial operations occupations workers in these jobs direct the activities of business, government, and other organizations and perform tasks related to finance and business.
Professional and related occupations workers in these occupations are in education, healthcare, science, information technology, the arts, and a variety of other jobs.
Sales and related occupations workers in this group are involved in the sale of goods and services, both to businesses and to consumers.
Office and administrative support occupations workers in this group prepare and file documents, interact with the public, and gather and distribute goods and information.
Healthcare Support Occupations workers in these occupations are involved with supporting technical healthcare workers.
Protective Service Occupations this group of workers is entrusted with protecting the public.
Food Preparation & Serving Related Occupations these workers prepare and serve food.
Building & Grounds Cleaning & Maintenance Occupations workers in this group of occupations are involved with cleaning and maintaining buildings and grounds.
Personal Care & Service Occupations involved with providing care and service to the public.
Farming, fishing, and forestry occupations workers in this group tend and harvest renewable resources.
Construction and extraction occupations This group includes workers in construction and building trades and in oil and gas extraction and mining.
Installation, maintenance, and repair occupations workers in this group install and maintain all types of equipment.
Production occupations most people in these occupations work as assemblers or machine operators, primarily in manufacturing industries.
Transportation and material-moving occupations workers in these occupations move people or materials.
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
22 Georgia Workforce 2024
Occupational Employment by Educational Category
In 2014 there were nearly 4.3 million workers in various occupations throughout Georgia. In 2024, projected employment in the state will grow to nearly 4.8 million. Over 2.7 million jobs in 2014 were in occupations typically requiring a high school diploma or less. By 2024, this category is projected to grow to over 3.1 million. While the group is expected to grow over the projections period and add over 270,000 jobs, its share of total jobs is expected to decline from 64.1 percent in 2014 to 63.4 percent in 2024.
Occupations typically requiring an associate's degree or some form of postsecondary education less than a bachelor's degree will grow by about 61,000 jobs through 2024. This category will grow from about 464,000 in 2014 when the group made up 10.8 percent of all workers, to 525,000 in 2024 when it is projected to make up 11.0 percent of workers.
In 2014, occupations that usually require a bachelor's degree or higher were held by 25.1 percent of Georgians, or about 1,075,000 people. This group will grow to 25.6 percent, to just under 1,220,000 workers, by 2024. Occupations requiring a bachelor's degree or higher will add about 143,000 jobs over the projection period.
2014
Bachelor's Degree or More
25.1% High School Diploma/Equivalent or Less
64.1%
Assoc/Post Sec Ed/Some College
10.8%
Projected 2024
Bachelor's Degree or More
25.6% High School Diploma/Equivalent or Less
63.4%
Assoc/Post Sec Ed/Some College
11.0%
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
Georgia Department of Labor 23
Employment Growth by Educational Category
Employment in all education categories will see job growth through 2024. Occupations requiring a high school diploma or equivalent will see the most growth with the group adding nearly 142,000 new positions, comprising 29.8 percent of the 477,000 jobs to be added in Georgia over the projection period. Occupations typically requiring no formal educational credential are projected to grow by over 130,000 by 2024.
As the need for a more educated workforce continues to grow, the occupational groups that generally require education beyond high school are projected to increase. From 2014-2024, occupations in Georgia that generally require a bachelor's degree will grow by over 116,000 (24.4 percent) to nearly 1,043,000. Occupations typically requiring postsecondary non-degree awards will see employment levels rise by over 40,000 to nearly 311,000 by 2024. Positions requiring a doctoral or professional degree, which have the highest average wage in the state at $112,600 per year, are projected to add nearly 16,000 jobs in the state through 2024.
High School Diploma or Equivalent
No formal educational credential
Bachelor's Degree
Postsecondary NonDegree Award
Doctoral or Professional Degree
Associate's Degree
Master's Degree
Some College, No Degree
40,310 15,980 13,190 10,860 7,680
141,990 130,510 116,380
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
24 Georgia Workforce 2024
Employment Growth by Occupational Group
All major occupational groups will see job growth in Georgia over the 2014 to 2024 projection period. Employment growth in the state will be highest in office and administrative occupations which will grow by nearly 48,700 jobs to 695,700 by 2024. Healthcare practitioners and technical occupations will follow in terms of total job growth in the state over the projection period, and will add over 48,500 new jobs through 2024.
Food preparation and service related occupations along with sales and related occupations are also atop the job growth rankings over the projection period. Respectively, they will grow by over 46,000 and nearly 43,500 by 2024. Many specific occupations in these two large volume occupational groups do not generally require education beyond high school.
Office & Admin Support Healthcare Pract & Tech Food Prep & Serv Related
Sales & Related Educ, Training, & Library Transp & Material Moving
Bus & Financial Oper Healthcare Support Management
Construction & Extraction Computer & Math
Personal Care & Serv Install, Maint, & Repair
Production Blding & Grounds Cleang & Maint
Protective Service Community & Social Serv Architecture & Engineering Art, Design, Ent't, Sports, & Media
Legal Life, Phys, & Soc Sci Farmg, Fishg, & Forestry
29,280 24,440 23,740 23,250 18,230 17,850 16,510 12,230 11,240 9,890 6,170 4,730 4,260 2,640 1,830 1,100
48,660 48,580 46,140 43,480 42,630 39,890
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
Georgia Department of Labor 25
Annual Openings by Educational Category
Job openings occur when new positions are added to the economy through business expansions or replacements due to workers that may have retired or who leave an occupation for some other reason. Of the nearly 152,500 annual openings projected in Georgia through 2024, nearly 102,000 or 66.7 percent of them will be due to the need to replace workers that have left an occupation. The other nearly 51,000 or 33.3 percent will be due to businesses expanding.
Occupations that will have the most job openings through 2024 in the state will generally require a high school diploma or equivalent.
High School Diploma or Equivalent
No formal educational credential
Bachelor's Degree
Postsecondary Non-Degree Award
Doctoral or Professional Degree
Associate's Degree
9,930 3,520 3,290
31,660
Some College, No Degree
2,500
Master's Degree
2,300
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
26 Georgia Workforce 2024
50,050 49,300
Annual Openings by Occupational Group
The top three occupational groups with the most annual job openings in Georgia through 2024 are office & administrative support, food preparation & serving related occupations, and sales & related occupations. All three will have over 15,000 openings per year. Only healthcare support occupations and computer & mathematical occupations will see annual openings due to new job creation exceed openings due to the need to replace workers while the remaining occupational groups will see more job openings from replacements than from job growth.
Office & Admin Support Food Prep & Serv Related
Sales & Related Transp & Material Moving
Healthcare Pract & Tech Educ, Training, & Library
Production Management Bus & Financial Oper Install, Maint, & Repair Personal Care & Serv Construction & Extraction Healthcare Support Blding & Grounds Cleang & Maint Computer & Math Protective Service Community & Social Serv Architecture & Engineering Art, Design, Ent't, Sports, & Media Farmg, Fishg, & Forestry Life, Phys, & Soc Sci
Legal
12,270 9,820 9,770 8,880 8,780 7,540 5,880 4,800 4,730 4,540 3,930 3,660 3,540 2,220 1,910 1,890 1,140 820 820
19,310 18,280 17,940
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
Georgia Department of Labor 27
Fastest Growing Occupations
The 20 fastest growing occupations, in terms of average annual growth, through 2024 in Georgia are dominated by healthcare and health related professions. Fifteen of the 20 are in the health field and nine of the occupations generally require a bachelor's degree or higher.
Though all the jobs listed are fast-growing in Georgia, that does not always mean they will create a large number of jobs. Hearing aid specialists, CNC machine programmers, nurse midwives, and curators are all fast growing occupations but will struggle to each produce 150 new jobs through 2024. Whereas medical assistants and home health aides will produce nearly 8,000 and 4,000 jobs, respectively, over the projection period.
Hot Nurse Practitioners Hot Physical Therapist Assistants
Hot Physician Assistants Occupational Therapy Assistants
Hearing Aid Specialists Home Health Aides
Comptr Numerically Controlled Mach Progr Physical Therapist Aides Nurse Midwives Hot Physical Therapists
Comptr-Controlled Machine Operators Surgeons
Opticians, Dispensing Film & Video Editors Ophthalmic Medical Technicians
Medical Assistants Curators
Bus Drivers, Transit & Intercity Interpreters & Translators
Hot Occupational Therapists
4.3% 4.3% 4.2% 4.1% 3.9% 3.7% 3.7% 3.6% 3.6% 3.4% 3.4% 3.4% 3.3% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2%
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
28 Georgia Workforce 2024
Occupations with the Most Job Growth
The 20 occupations with the most job growth through 2024 represent 39.1 percent of all the projected growth in Georgia. These occupations combine to create over 186,000 new jobs in the state over the projection period. Five of the occupations are Hot careers, seven generally require some form of education above high school, and 13 generally require a high school diploma or less.
Comb Food Prep & Serv Wkrs, Incl Fast Food Retail Salespersons
Laborers & Freight, Stock, & Mat'l Movers, Hand
Hot Registered Nurses
Customer Service Representatives
Hot General & Operations Managers Hot Accountants & Auditors
Hot Elem School Teachers, Exc Special Ed
Team Assemblers Stock Clerks & Order Fillers
Medical Assistants Receptionists & Information Clerks
Waiters & Waitresses Janitors & Cleaners, Exc Maids & Housekeeping Cleaners
Nursing Assistants Construction Laborers
Cashiers Cooks, Restaurant
Hot Sales Reps, Wholesale & Mfg, Exc Tech & Sci Products
Teacher Assistants
17,310 15,320 14,670 13,720 12,270 9,640 9,210 8,510 8,190 8,120 7,910 7,690 7,300 7,020 7,020 6,870 6,630 6,550 6,410 5,970
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
Georgia Department of Labor 29
Occupations with the Most Annual Openings
The occupations with the most annual openings will be the ones most in demand over the projection period. The 20 occupations listed are projected to produce over 56,000 annual job openings and account for 37.1 percent of all annual openings in Georgia through 2024. For all of the occupations listed, the need to replace workers leaving an occupation is projected to create more openings than through business expansion. Eight of the occupations generally require a high school diploma, seven require no formal educational credential, and four require an associate's or bachelor's degree.
Retail Salespersons Cashiers
Comb Food Prep & Serv Wkrs, Incl Fast Food Laborers & Freight, Stock, & Mat'l Movers, Hand
Waiters & Waitresses Customer Service Representatives
Hot Registered Nurses Hot General & Operations Managers
Stock Clerks & Order Fillers Office Clerks, General
Hot Accountants & Auditors Hot Elem School Teachers, Exc Special Ed
Team Assemblers Hot Sales Reps, Wholesale & Mfg, Exc Tech & Sci Products
Maintenance & Repair Workers, General Janitors & Cleaners, Exc Maids & Housekeeping Cleaners
Childcare Workers Receptionists & Information Clerks
Nursing Assistants Supvsrs of Retail Sales Workers
4,890 4,860 4,470 4,390 3,470 2,980 2,980 2,600 2,320 1,990 1,880 1,820 1,730 1,730 1,720 1,690 1,670 1,530 1,480
6,400
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
30 Georgia Workforce 2024
Occupations with the Most Job Losses
The 20 occupations projected to have the largest job losses by 2024 in Georgia combine to cut over 21,000 jobs from the economy. These occupations have several similarities: Most of the occupations generally require a high school diploma or less, many are obsolete clerical/office and administrative support occupations, and most associated salaries are well below the statewide average. The occupations that will lose jobs over the projection period do, however, present some modest employment opportunities as the need to replace some existing workers who leave positions come about.
Textile Winding/Twisting/Drawing Out Machine Ops/Tenders Cooks, Fast Food
Textile Knitting/Weave Machine Setters/Ops/Tenders Postal Service Mail Carriers
Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks Sewing Machine Operators Tellers
Farmers, Ranchers, & Other Agricultural Managers Switchboard Operators, Incl Answering Svc
Postal Serv Mail Sorters, Processors, & Processing Mach Ops Textile Bleaching/Dyeing Machine Ops/Tenders
Extruding/Forming Machine/Ops/Tenders, Synthetic & Glass Fibers Computer Operators
Mail Clerks & Mail Machine Ops, Exc Postal Svc Laundry and Dry-Cleaning Workers Postal Service Clerks
Molding/Coremaking/Casting Mach Sttrs/Ops/Tndrs, Metal/Plastic Telecom Equip Installers/Repairers, Exc Line Installers Textile Cutting Machine Setters/Operators/Tenders Exec Secretaries & Exec Admin Assistants
-2,390 -2,210 -2,020 -1,980 -1,510 -1,480 -1,300 -1,150 -1,080 -940 -790 -720 -570 -500 -470 -440 -400 -390 -390 -380
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
Georgia Department of Labor 31
Most Job Growth in Occupations that Require a Bachelor's Degree or More
Occupations with the most job growth in Georgia that generally require a bachelor's degree or more are concentrated in business and finance, health, and education. With the need for health care for a continually growing population and the priority to properly educate students in grades k-12, the need for health related workers and educators will rise. Georgia will also likely continue to be a magnet for corporations looking for a friendly business environment thus spurring job growth in business and financial related occupations.
Almost all of these occupations have earned the distinction of being Hot for the projection period. Their rapid job growth, relatively high wages, and plentiful job openings through 2024 make them extremely attractive job prospects.
Hot Registered Nurses Hot General & Operations Managers
Hot Accountants & Auditors Hot Elem School Teachers, Exc Special Ed
Hot Computer Systems Analysts Hot Physicians & Surgeons, All Other
Hot Managem ent Analysts Hot Middle School Teachers, Exc Spec & Career/Tech Ed
Substitute Teachers Hot Softw are Developers, Applications Hot Secondary School Teachers, Exc Spec & Career/Tech Ed Hot Market Research Analysts & Marketing Specialists
Hot Personal Financial Advisors Hot Computer & Information Systems Managers
Hot Physical Therapists Hot Softw are Developers, Systems Software
Hot Nurse Practitioners Business Operations Specialists, All Other
Financial Managers Human Resources Specialists
4,320 4,260 4,210 4,210 4,100 4,020 4,020 3,410 2,420 2,040 1,940 1,890 1,850 1,830 1,620 1,610
9,640 9,210 8,510
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
32 Georgia Workforce 2024
13,720
Most Job Growth in Occupations that Require an Associate's Degree, Postsecondary Award, or Some College
Healthcare related occupations account for half of the 20 occupations with the most projected job growth that generally require an associate's degree, postsecondary award, or some college in Georgia. Medical assistants and nursing assistants lead this group and together are projected to add nearly 15,000 jobs by 2024. Rounding out the top five occupations are teacher assistants, heavy and tractor trailer truck drivers, and licensed practical/vocational nurses, respectively, adding nearly 6,000, 5,000, and 4,000 jobs over the projection period.
Medical Assistants Nursing Assistants Teacher Assistants Heavy & Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers Licen Prac & Licen Voc Nurses Hot Computer User Support Specialists Preschool Teachers, Exc Spec Ed Emergency Medical Techs & Paramedics Automotive Service Techs & Mechanics Dental Assistants Heating/AC/Refrig Mechanics/Installers Hairdressers/Hairstylists/Cosmetologists
Firefighters Medical & Clinical Lab Technicians
Hot Dental Hygienists Phlebotomists
Hot Web Developers Hot Paralegals & Legal Assistants Med Records & Health Information Techs
Hot Radiologic Technologists
7,910 7,020 5,970 4,760 3,970 3,150 2,610 2,500 2,250 1,890 1,780 1,420 1,310 1,220 1,060 1,010 980 980 940 760
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
Georgia Department of Labor 33
Most Job Growth in Occupations that Require a High School Diploma or Less
The occupations typically requiring a high school diploma\equivalence or less that are projected to have the largest job growth by 2024 listed below represent nearly 34 percent of all job gains in the state. Thirteen of these occupations are also on the list of overall projected job growth in Georgia.
The occupations at the top of this list are generally high volume, relatively low-skilled, entry level jobs. Many of these occupations are also projected to add jobs at a fast rate through 2024 including personal care aides, restaurant cooks, receptionists and information clerks, and construction laborers.
Comb Food Prep & Serv Wkrs, Incl Fast Food Retail Salespersons
Laborers & Freight, Stock, & Mat'l Movers, Hand Customer Service Representatives Team Assemblers Stock Clerks & Order Fillers Receptionists & Information Clerks Waiters & Waitresses
Janitors & Cleaners, Exc Maids & Housekeeping Cleaners Construction Laborers Cashiers Cooks, Restaurant
Hot Sales Reps, Wholesale & Mfg, Exc Tech & Sci Products Hot Supvsrs of Office & Admin Support Workers
Personal Care Aides Office Clerks, General Maintenance & Repair Workers, General Supvsrs of Food Prep & Serving Workers
Childcare Workers Supvsrs of Retail Sales Workers
8,190 8,120 7,690 7,300 7,020 6,870 6,630 6,550 6,410 5,900 5,890 5,870 5,590 4,640 4,490 4,240
17,310 15,320 14,670 12,270
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
34 Georgia Workforce 2024
Most Job Growth in Healthcare Technical & Support Occupations
More than three of every four new healthcare jobs in Georgia through 2024 are projected to be in one of the 20 occupations listed below. Registered nurses, the largest healthcare occupation, leads the list in job growth and will add nearly 14,000 new jobs over the projection period and the total number of registered nurses will top 80,000 by 2024. All healthcare occupations listed are expected to grow faster than the state average, reflecting a push toward making healthcare more affordable and more accessible to Georgians.
Hot Registered Nurses Medical Assistants Nursing Assistants
Hot Physicians & Surgeons, All Other Licen Prac & Licen Voc Nurses Home Health Aides
Emergency Medical Techs & Paramedics Hot Physical Therapists Dental Assistants Hot Nurse Practitioners Pharmacy Technicians Hot Physician Assistants
Medical & Clinical Lab Technicians Hot Dental Hygienists Phlebotomists
Hot Occupational Therapists Hot Medical & Clinical Lab Technologists Med Records & Health Information Techs
Hot Radiologic Technologists Health Technologists & Technicians, All Other
4,260 3,970 3,720 2,500 1,940 1,890 1,850 1,780 1,290 1,220 1,060 1,010 980 950 940 760 750
7,910 7,020
13,720
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
Georgia Department of Labor 35
Job Growth in Selected Science, Technology, Engineering, & Mathematics (STEM) Occupations
Growth in Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics (STEM) occupations are imperative in an innovative economy and Georgia is positioning itself to be a leader in producing a workforce well skilled in STEM capabilities. Twenty STEM occupations are listed below and over the projection period accounts for nearly 54,000 new jobs in the state. STEM occupations are popular because of their high salaries and usually require at least a bachelor's degree. Topping the list is registered nurses who will add nearly 14,000 jobs and computer systems analysts where over 4,300 jobs will be added by 2024.
Hot Registered Nurses Hot Computer Systems Analysts Hot Physicians & Surgeons, All Other Hot Software Developers, Applications
Licen Prac & Licen Voc Nurses Hot Computer User Support Specialists Emergency Medical Techs & Paramedics Hot Computer & Information Systems Managers
Hot Physical Therapists Hot Software Developers, Systems Software
Hot Nurse Practitioners Pharmacy Technicians
Hot Physician Assistants Medical & Clinical Lab Technicians Network & Computer Systems Admins
Hot Dental Hygienists Hot Web Developers Hot Occupational Therapists Hot Medical & Clinical Lab Technologists Med Records & Health Information Techs
4,320 4,260 4,020 3,970 3,150 2,500 2,040 1,940 1,890 1,850 1,780 1,290 1,220 1,120 1,060 980 980 950 940
Source: Georgia Department of Labor, Workforce Statistics & Economic Research
36 Georgia Workforce 2024
13,720
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Georgia Department of Labor 37
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38 Georgia Workforce 2024
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Georgia Department of Labor 39