Child welfare outcome measures and results, 2011 July

Data Analysis, Accountability, Research & Evaluation
Child Welfare
Outcome Measures & Results July 2011 Board Meeting
(Reflects data as of May 31, 2011)

Definitions and Data Sources
SAFETY 1 Children are first and foremost, protected from abuse and neglect.
Figure 1: Child Protective Services Cases ...........................................................1
Count of unique CPS Investigations or Family Preservation (Ongoing) stages open at any point during the month. Includes all cases active at some time during the month. Sources: Internal Data System, SHINES
Figure 2: Recurrence of Substantiated Child Maltreatment........................... 1
Of all the children who were victims of substantiated maltreatment in the first 6 months of the year, the percentage that had substantiated maltreatment within the following 6 months. National Standard: less than or equal to 5.40% Sources: Protective Services Data System, SHINES
Figure 3: Disposition of Child Abuse and Neglect Reports............................ 2
Chart reflects the disposition of reports received in a particular month. Data includes count of Family Support, Substantiated Investigations, Unsubstantiated Investigations and Screenouts. Source: SHINES
Figure 4: Disposition of Child Abuse and Neglect Reports............................ 2
Chart reflects the disposition of reports received in a particular month. Data includes count of Family Preservation (Substantiated and Unsubstantiated Open), Foster Care (Substantiated and Unsubstantiated Open), Substantiated and Unsubstantiated Closed. Source: SHINES

Definitions and Data Sources cont...
PERMANENCY 1 Children have permanency and stability in their living situations.
Figure 5: Child Placement Services Cases ................................................................3
Count of unique children in foster care or adoptions stages open at any point during the month and cases active at some time during the month. This population may include children not in DFCS custody. Sources: Internal Data System, SHINES
Figure 6: Children in the Legal Custody of DFCS .......................................... 3
Count of unique children who were in the legal custody of DFCS at some point during the month, including those 18 years of age and older. Excludes Aftercare, ICPC, Placement services to parents, and Boarding County. Source: SHINES
Figure 7: Children in the Legal Custody of DFCS Under the Age 18....................4
Count of unique children who were in the legal custody of DFCS at some point during the month under the age 18. Excludes Aftercare, ICPC, Placement services to parents, and Boarding County. Source: SHINES
Figure 8: Length of Time to Achieve Reunification.........................................4
Percentage of children who exited care during the month through reunification with their family that reunified in less than 12 months from the date of their removal. National Standard: greater than or equal to 76.20% Source: SHINES
Figure 9: Comparison of Foster Care Entries & Exits.......................................5
Number of children who have entered foster care and number of children who have exited foster care during the month. Source: SHINES
Figure 10: Foster Care Re-entries................................................................5
Of all the children who entered foster care, the percentage that were discharged from a previous placement within 12 months of the current foster care placement. National Standard: less than or equal to 8.60% Source: SHINES
Figure 11: Children Placed with Relatives.....................................................6
Of all children in DFCS custody, the percentage that are placed with a relative or a relative foster home. State Target: greater than or equal to 30.00% Source: SHINES
Figure 12: Adoptions Finalized..................................................................6
The number of children whose adoption was finalized. Source: SHINES

SAFETY-RELATED OUTCOMES

Number of Child Protective Services Cases (includes Investigations and Family Preservation cases)

20,000

15,000

SFY 2008:
37.2%
decrease

SFY 2009:
8.6%
decrease

10,000

5,000

SFY 2011:

0.1%

decrease

SFY 2010:
5.4%
decrease

0

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Sources: IDS, SHINES

Def: Count of unique CPS Investigations or Family Preservation (Ongoing) stages open at any point during the month. Percentages show increase/decrease during each SFY.

SFY Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun

SFY 11 8,103 7,855 7,895 7,765 7,410 6,969 6,189 6,542 7,696 7,768 8,098

SFY 10 9,624 9,796 10,489 10,734 10,165 10,357 9,833 9,856 9,834 9,950 9,479 9,105

SFY 09 11,345 11,679 12,556 12,713 12,279 11,990 11,391 10,999 11,556 11,324 10,866 10,372

SFY 08 18,115 17,033 16,090 15,801 14,105 12,142 12,428 11,703 12,122 11,769 11,719 11,380

Recurrence of Substantiated Child Maltreatment (May 2010 May 2011)
Def: Of all children who were victims of substantiated maltreatment in the first 6 months of the year, the percentage that had a substan. report of maltreatment within the following 6 months. This is calculated with a two-month lag.

8%

Sources: SHINES

7%

National Standard:

less than or equal to

6%

5.40%

5%

4%

3%

1.99%

2.05%

2.77% 2.82%

2.29% 2.29% 1.96% 2.00%

1.94%

2.50%

2.22%

2.42%

2%

1.44%

1%

0% May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11
May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 1.99% 2.05% 2.77% 2.82% 2.29% 2.29% 1.96% 2.00% 1.94% 2.50% 2.22% 2.42% 1.44%

Data Analysis, Accountability, Research and Evaluation

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Disposition of Child Abuse and Neglect Reports (May 2011)

4,000

Family Support

Substantiated Investigations

Unsubstantiated Investigations

Screenouts

3,500

3,209

2,873 3,000

2,708

2,821

2,500 2,000

2,161

2,667

2,604

2,341

1,500

1,219 1,163

1,000

1,028

Source: IDS

500

1,064 1,024
1,017

1,897 1,416

1,200

1,004

970

788

807

1,186 954
832

1,066

1,077 1,028

1,004

839

874

1,004 977
895
801 816 804

3,165

2,831 2,147

2,554

953

728

687

728

520 488

1,249 1,105

1,154 859

794

857

-

APR10 MAY10 JUN10 JUL10 AUG10 SEP10 OCT10 NOV10 DEC10 JAN11 FEB11 MAR11 APR11

Source: SHINES

May 2011

Notes: Chart indicates total number of Family Support Cases, Substantiated Investigation Cases, Unsubstantiated Investigation Cases and Screenout Cases. Numbers show the results of intake calls through a investigation. Does not show number of Family Preservation and Foster Care Entries Cases. *Data reported on 1 month lag to allow
investigations to be completed.

D.A.A.R.E

Disposition of Child Abuse and Neglect Reports (May 2011)

Family Preservation Family Preservation Substantiated Open Unsubstantiated Open
1,500
1,308

Foster Care Substantiated Open

Foster Care Unsubstantiated Open

1,250 1,141

Substantiated Closed

Unsubstantiated Closed

1,000

750
495 500
464 250 207
55 20 -

952
499
410 153 29 44

793 876

553
439 204
62 40

756

430 397

404 174
57 34

385 170 24 63

759 432
403 173 24 64

467
428 182
44 37

728
397 395 195
49 30

740

701

464 437

434

415

398

288 279

419

191 288

240

152 168

247

23 53 22 34 14 37 41 52

789
448 449 257
43 25

APR10 MAY10 JUN10 JUL10 AUG10 SEP10 OCT10 NOV10 DEC10 JAN11 FEB11 MAR11 APR11

Source: SHINES May 2011

Note: Chart indicates total number of Family Preservation Substantiated Open Cases, Family Preservation Unsubstantiated Open Cases, Foster Care Substantiated Open Cases, Foster Care Unsubstantiated Open Cases, Substantiated Closed Cases and Unsubstantiated Closed Cases. * Data reported on 1 month lag to allow investigations to be completed.

D.A.A.R.E

Data Analysis, Accountability, Research Evaluation

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PERMANENCY- RELATED OUTCOMES

Number of Child Placement Services Cases

15,000 14,000 13,000 12,000 11,000

SFY 2009: 13.4% decrease

SFY 2008: 3.8%
decrease
SFY 2010: 12.2% decrease

Sources: IDS, SHINES

10,000 9,000

SFY 2011: 3.7%
increase

8,000

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Notes: Count of unique children in foster care or adoptions stages open at any point during the month and cases active at some time during the month. Total

count includes all cases active at some time during the month. Of the total number of placement cases: 7,813 children are in legal custody of DFCS under the age

of 18; 522 children are in care of DFCS age 18 and over; 2,020 were Relative Placements and ICPC Children in placement at any point in time during the

month. Percentages show increase/decrease during each SFY.

SFY Jul Aug Sep

Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar

Apr May Jun

SFY 11 9,985 9,853 10,215 10,234 9,758 9,660 9,572 9,698 10,047 10,526 10,355

SFY 10 11,437 11,362 11,260 11,676 10,708 10,625 10,552 10,462 10,446 10,687 9,997 10,041

SFY 09 13,739 13,479 14,417 14,499 13,292 13,198 13,014 12,632 13,201 13,086 12,081 11,898

SFY 08 13,935 13,839 13,568 13,398 13,595 12,985 12,793 12,891 12,886 13,230 13,315 13,409

Number of Children in the Legal Custody of DFCS

15,000 14,000 13,000 12,000 11,000 10,000
9,000 8,000 7,000

SFY 2007 / SFY 2008 / SFY 2009 / SFY 2010 / SFY 2011

-2.3%

-11.8%

- 18.0%

- 11.1%

2.3% ytd

13,858 13,944 13,333 13,342 11,671 11,580
9,316 9,239 8,147 8,114

Percentages show increase/decrease during each SFY

13,682

12,975

13,588 12,859

13,286

13,180

13,210 13,270

13,531

12,530 12,199 12,101 11,955 12,123

11,463 11,267 11,129

10,837 10,608 10,349 10,211

9,071 8,963 8,012 7,968

8,736 8,636 7,891 7,808

8,422 7,769

8,384 7,966

8,427 8,300

13,554 13,645 13,542

11,766

11,766

9,928

11,675 9,788

9,569

8,383 8,275

8,335 8,311 8,284

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Source: Shines May - 2011

Note: Count of unique children who were in the legal custody of DFCS at some point during the month, including those 18 years of age and older. Excludes Aftercare, ICPC, Placement services to parents, and Boarding County.

Data Analysis, Accountability, Research and Evaluation

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Children in the Legal Custody of DFCS Under the Age of 18 (May 2010 - May 2011)
Def: Count of unique children who were in the legal custody of DFCS at some point during the month under the age 18. Excludes Aftercare, ICPC, Placement services to parents, and Boarding County.
15,000

12,500

10,000 7,500

7,803

7,735 7,594

7,561 7,471 7,413 7,351 7,268 7,216 7,425

7,740 7,749 7,813

5,000

2,500

0 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11

May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 7,803 7,735 7,594 7,561 7,471 7,413 7,351 7,268 7,216 7,425 7,740 7,749 7,813

Length of Time to Reunification (May 2010 - May 2011)
Def: Percentage of children who exited care during the month through reunification with their family that reunified in less than 12 months from the date of their last removal.

100% 80%

National Standard: greater than or equal to
76.20%

Sources: AFCARS, IDS, SHINES

60%

68.60% 69.97%

72.87% 67.21%

69.11%

74.40%

71.68%

72.39% 74.55%

73.48% 74.96%

71.06%

60.50%

40%

20% May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11
May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 60.50% 68.60% 69.97% 72.87% 67.21% 69.11% 74.40% 71.68% 72.39% 74.55% 73.48% 74.96% 71.06%

Data Analysis, Accountability, Research and Evaluation

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Comparison of Foster Care Entries and Exits (May 2010 - May 2011)

Def: Number of children who entered foster care and exited foster care during the month. Includes children who turn age 18 during the month.
1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Entries Exits

May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11

366

448 423 451 479 414

392

392

373

547

723

547

478

419

588 510 540 398 353

507

469

473

389

458

430

458

Foster Care Re-Entry Rate (May 2010 - May 2011)

15% 12%

percent

Def: Of all the children who entered foster care, the percentage that were discharged from a previous placement within 12 months of the current placement.
National Standard: less than or equal to
8.60%

9%

6%

7.38%

5.08% 3%

7.35%

6.13% 5.23%

7.14%

4.34%

7.82%

4.39%

4.29%

4.94%

5.44%

3.32%

0% May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11
May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 5.08% 7.38% 3.32% 7.35% 6.13% 5.23% 7.14% 4.34% 7.82% 4.39% 4.29% 4.94% 5.44%

Data Analysis Accountability Research and Evaluation

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Percent of Children Placed with Relatives (May 2010 May 2011)
Def: Of all children in DFCS custody, the percentage that are placed with a relative or relative foster home.
25%

Sources: SHINES

D f Th

b f hild h d ti

20%

fi li d

T t l f th t t

th

dtd

S

S i l S i Ad ti U it

15%

12.49%

12.33% 12.13% 12.38% 12.38%

12.25%

13.71%

14.42%

14.19% 13.79%

13.39% 13.46% 13.59%

10%

5%

0% May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11
May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 12.49% 12.33% 12.13% 12.38% 12.38% 12.25% 13.71% 14.42% 14.19% 13.79% 13.39% 13.46% 13.59%

Number of Finalized Adoptions (May 2010 May 2011)
Def: The number of children whose adoption was finalized. Totals for all months are updated.
175

Sources: SHINES

150

125

112

100 83
75

110 103
97
77

109 96

107

81

68

74

48 50

25

0 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11

May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11

83

112

77

103 110

97

96

109

48

68

107

81

74

Data Analysis, Accountability, Research and Evaluation

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