POPULATION TRENDS AT A GLANCE 
A SUMMARY REPORT OF GEORGIA'S AREA PLANNING AND DEVELOPMENT COMMISSIONS 
prepared by 
GEORGIA DEPARTMENT OF COMMUNITY AFFAIRS 
Jim Higdon, Commissioner 
Government Information Division 40 Marietta Street, N.W. Atlanta, Georgia 30303 404-656-5526 
February, 1987 
An Equal Opportunity Employer 
 
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TABLE OF 'coNTENTS 
 
PAGE 
 
Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . 
 
1 
 
Population Trends and Projections, 
 
Comparing the APDCs - A Graphic Presentation 
 
2 
 
Population Trends of the APDCs: 
 
1960 - 2000 . . . . . . . . . 
 
2 
 
Population Increase by APDC: 1960 - 1980 and 1980 - 2000 . . . . . . . . . 
 
Percent Increase of Population by APDC: 1960 - 
 
1980 and 1980 - 2000 
 
........... 4 
 
The State's APDCs: Population Changes, Trends 
 
and Projections . . . . . . . . . . . . 
 
9 
 
Altamaha Georgia Southern 
 
11 
 
Atlanta Region  . . . 
 
15 
 
Central Savannah River 
 
17 
 
Chattahoochee-Flint . 
 
19 
 
Coastal . .  . . . 
 
21 
 
Coosa Valley 
 
23 
 
Georgia Mountains . 
 
25 
 
Heart of Georgia 
 
27 
 
Lower Chattahoochee 
 
29 
 
Mcintosh Trail 
 
31 
 
Middle Flint 
 
33 
 
Middle Georgia 
 
35 
 
North Georgia . 
 
37 
 
Northeast Georgia 
 
39 
 
Oconee  . . . . 
 
41 
 
South Georgia . . 
 
43 
 
Southeast Georgia 
 
45 
 
Southwest Georgia 
 
47 
 
Major Influences on Regional Change and 
 
Development and Major Trends Taking Place 
 
49 
 
Altamaha Georgia Southern . 
 
49 
 
Atlanta Region . . . . 
 
49 
 
Central Savannah River 
 
50 
 
Chattahoochee-Flint 
 
50 
 
Coastal  . . . . 
 
51 
 
Coosa Valley 
 
51 
 
Georgia Mountains 
 
52 
 
Heart of Georgia 
 
52 
 
Lower Chattahoochee 
 
52 
 
i 
 
 Mcintosh Trail . Middle Flint .  Middle Georgia . North Georgia Northeast Georgia Oconee .  .    South Georgia Southeast Georgia Southwest Georgia 
Appendix A: County Population Trends an Example    .  . . . 
Appendix B: Area Planning and Development Commissions - Addresses, Telephone Numbers and Map .  .      . 
Appendix C: Population Trends and Projections for Georgia's Area Planning and Development Commissions, 1960 - 2000 
Appendix D: Population Changes in Georgia's Area Planning and Development Commissions, 1960 - 2000  .  .   .  .     
 
PAGE 
53 53 54 54 55 56 56 57 58 
59 
63 
66 
67 
 
ii 
 
 f I LIST OF FIGURES 
PAGE 
 
Figure 1: Figure 2: Figure 3: 
 
Population Trends of the APDCs: 1960 - 2000 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . "3 
 
Population Increase by APDC: 
 
1960 - 1980 and 1980 - 2000 . 
 
5 
 
Percent Increase of Population by APDC: 1960 - 1980 and 1980 - 2000 . . . . . . . .  . . . . 6 
 
iii 
 
 INTRODUCTION 
Population Trends at a Glance: A Summary Report is a compilation of information contained in the 18 individual "Population Trends" reports, prepared by each of the 18 Area Planning and Development Commissions (APDCs) in the State. 
This Summary Report shows how the population of the State has changed since 1960 and how the population is expected to increase to the year 2000. The report presents where the changes have taken place, the amount and rate of change and significant trends that have occurred. The same is done for the projected future population increases: where the growth will likely take place, the amount of growth, and the major reasons why such growth will probably happen. 
This Summary Report is presented in three main parts. First, the population trends and projections, both numerically and by percent, from 1960 to the year 2000, are graphically shown for all of the APDCs, in a manner in which comparisons can easily be made. Next, the population changes and estimated increases are individually shown for each APDC in the form of maps and simple tables. Also, a brief analysis of these trends and projections are presented for each APDC. The information in this section is taken directly from the APDC "Population Trends" reports and is shown exactly as presented in those reports. The third part of this report summarizes the major influences on regional change and development as well as the major trends taking place in each of the 18 APDC areas of the State. The information presented in this part is a compilation of the key points contained in the summaries of, and, in a few cases, the introductions to each APDC's "Population Trends" report. 
In addition to the presentation of the area's changes and analysis of those changes contained in each APDC's "Population Trends" report, each of those reports also contains that same kind of information for each county in the area, including a map showing where probable future growth and development in the county is likely to take place. The maps, data and discussion by county are not presented in this report since the purpose here is to present a summary of population trends by APDC area and not for each county. However, an example of how the population trend information is presented for a typical county is shown in Appendix A. 
If a copy of a particular APDC's "Population Trends" report, which includes the county information, is desired, it can be requested directly from that APDC. A listing of the APDCs' addresses and telephone numbers, together with a map showing the APDC boundaries, can be found in Appendix B. 
1 
 
 POPULATION TRENDS AND PROJECTIONS COMPARING THE APDCs 
A GRAPHIC PRESENTATION 
The following three figures show the population changes that have taken place in the APDCs since 1960 and the way in which future population changes are expected to occur to the year 2000. The data from which the figures were produced can be found in Appendices C and D of this report. 
The population data which was used in preparing these figures are from 
the u.s. Bureau of the Census for the 1960, 1970 and 1980 population counts 
and for the 1984 population estimates and from the Georgia Office of Planning and Budget (OPB) , State Data Center for the 1990 and 2000 population projections. Six of the APDCs, in addition to presenting the State Data Center projections, added their own population projections which are also included in the following graphic depictions of population change. 
Population Trends of the APDCs: 1960-2000 
In Figure 1, a number of interesting situations can readily be seen: 
o First, the population trends of the Atlanta Regional Commission (ARC) are not included in this figure because both the much larger number of people residing in the Atlanta Region and the much greater numerical increases which have occurred there preclude direct comparison between ARC and the other APDCs in a line chart format. However, this comparison can be and is made in bar chart format, as presented in Figures 2 and 3. 
o The Central Savannah River and Coastal areas lead the way in being the most populous regions of the State, outside the Atlanta area. They are also experiencing rapid population growth which is projected to continue into the figure. Remarkably, the population trend lines for these two areas are almost identical over the forty year period shown. 
o The trend line for the Mcintosh Trail area shows the very rapid rate of growth which has already occurred and which is expected to continue. The future growth of the North Georgia area, as projected by the APDC (but not by OPB), also shows a very rapid population increase from the present to the year 2000. According to these projections, the Mcintosh Trail area will jump from 12th in population in 1960 among the State's 18 APDCs to 6th in the year 2000, while North Georgia will move from 14th to 8th. 
o The past growth and the projected futu~e growth of the State's four least populous areas, Heart of Georgia, Middle Flint, Oconee and Southeast Georgia, are shown as being rather modest, with all four areas showing very similar population size and growth trends. 
2 
 
 475 450 
 
t~ 
 
POPULATI~~ ~~~~~~~~~ ~HE APD~~~~,:~~I 
 
t 425 
 
1960-2000 
 
400 
 
:;:--. ....................... .............t 
 
375 
 
::'.'.':.... .. 
 
. ......... )L.-. 
 
350 
 
325 
 
cezn 300 cent 
::1 275 
0 
:I: 1- 
~ 250 
 
ez n aa0ewn:. 
 
225 200 
 
LL 
 
0 
 
aw: 175 
 
Ol 
 
::!!: 
:z:1 
 
150 
 
125 
 
::;..:: :.:.:::::.:.::.::::::::...:::...::::::..:.::....::!:L.... :.....-::.. 
,,. ....  
 
...'' 
 
100 
 
75 
 
........................................................;!\ 
 
50 
 
:::. 
 
25 i 
0 
1960 
 
... ... ............... ... ... .... 
 
.:~ ................ 
 
: 
 
~ :. 
 
. 1..'.:1..:1..' ,:1,.::1:.:: 
 
. . . . ......... ............::-:.... . . . 
 
...........~..~..... . ................................. ....:=:= ........ . 
 
...................... .....-.~:-........ . 
 
1970 
 
1980 1984 
 
1990 
 
. ..................::-:.--:.;-:-:-:-:-:.;.:-:.<.0:.-:;jl 
2000 
 
APDC Abbreviations 
 
AG Altamaha Georgia Southern 
cs Central Savannah River 
CF Chattahoochee-Flint 
c Coastal 
cv Coosa Valley GM Georgia Mountains 
HG Heart of Georgia 
LC Lower Chattahoochee 
Me Mcintosh Trail 
 
MF Middle Flint M G Middle Georgia N G North Georgia NE Northeast Georgia 0 Oconee S G South Georgia S E Southeast Georgia SW Southwest Georgia 
 
Lighter lettering, in parentheses, indicates population projections for 1990 and 2000 made by the APDC. All other projections for 1990 and 2000 were prepared by the State Office of Planning and Budget (OPB). 
 
3 
 
 o The population trends of the Georgia Mountains and Northeast Georgia areas show great similarity, with both areas having experienced a high rate of growth in the past, with strong growth expected to continue into the future. 
o The Chattahoochee Flint and South Georgia areas have experienced very similar population levels and growth patterns in the past with somewhat similar growth trends projected into the future. 
o Four areas of the State are projected to have over twice the number of residents in the year 2000 as they had in 1960: Northeast Georgia (according to the APDC's projections), with about twice the number; the Atlanta Region, with about 2~ times the number in 2000 as in 1960; Mcintosh Trail, with almost three times the number; and North Georgia, where the APDC projects 3~ times the number of people residing in that area in the year 2000 as there were in 1960. 
Population Increase by APDC: 1960-1980 and 1980-2000 
Figure 2 shows the actual population growth that has taken place in the past (1960-1980) in the State's different areas compared with the future projected population growth (1980-2000). This figure shows that: 
o In almost all cases, it is projected that the various areas of the State will experience a greater increase in population between 1980 and 2000 than took place between 1960 and 1980. The only exceptions to this are Coosa Valley, Georgia Mountains and Middle Georgia (according to APDC, but not OPB, projections). 
o Between 1960 and 1980, the Atlanta region had, by far, the largest population increase followed by (2) Coosa Valley, (3) Central Savannah River, and (4) Mcintosh Trail. From 1980 to 2000, the Atlanta region is, again, projected to have, by a great margin, the biggest population increase, followed by (2) Mcintosh Trail, (3) Coastal, and (4) Central Savannah River. If the APDC projections are considered instead of OPE's, then the North Georgia area is projected to have the second greatest population increase between 1980 and 2000. 
o The population growth of the Atlanta region between 1960 and 1980 constituted 48 percent of the State's growth during that period. Between 1980 and 2000, the Atlanta region is projected to have 39 percent of the State's growth,according to OPB projections and 45 percent of that increase when APDC projections are taken into account. 
Percent Increase of Population by APDC: 1960-1980 and 1980-200.0 
Figure 3 shows the percent change which took place in the population of each area between 1960 and 1980 and the percent change expected to take place between 1980 and the year 2000. Figure 3 shows that: 
4 
 
 _. 
~ 
U1 
 
 Figure 3 
 
120 
 
PERCENT INCREASE OF POPULATION BY APDC 
 
1960-1980 & 1980-2000 
 
100 
 
80 % 
60 
 
40 
0'1 
20 
 
0 
 
cs N3S /JPC 
 
CF Coas CV Ga H rt LC Me MF Mid No NE Q:o So SE SW 
 
RA 
 
tal 
 
Mtn <?a 
 
Trl 
 
Ga Ga Ga nee <?a Ga Ga 
 
' 
 
* OPB Projection ** APDC Projection 
 
' 
 
I 
 
 T 
 
o Eleven areas of the State are expected to grow at a faster rate between 1980 and 2000 than they did between 1960 and 1980 while five areas are expected to grow at a slower rate. The two remaining areas are expected to increase at a faster rate if APDC projections are used but at a slower rate if the OPB projections are utilized. 
o From 1960 to 1980, the Atlanta Region experienced the greatest rate of growth (70%), with North Georgia second (63%) and Mcintosh Trail third (58%). No other area had over a 50% population increase during that period. 
o The areas with the slowest rates of growth between 1960 and 1980 were Oconee, Middle Flint, Heart of Georgia and Lower Chattahoochee, all with population increases ranging from 6 to 9 percent. 
o From 1980 to 2000, the Mcintosh Trail area is projected to have the greatest population growth rate (82%) with North Georgia second (47%) and the Atlanta region third (43%). If the APDCs' projections are used instead of OPB's, North Georgia would have the greatest expected increase (112%), with Mcintosh Trail next, and with the Atlanta Region still third, but with a 60 percent projected increase. 
o The three areas projected to have the slowest rates of growth between 1980 and 2000 are Heart of Georgia, Coosa Valley and Middle Flint, all with growth rates at between 16 and 19 percent. 
 
7 
 
 8 
 
 1 
THE STATE'S APDCs: POPULATION CHANGES, TRENDS AND PROJECTIONS The following pages provide a concise portrayal of the population, past, present and future, of each of the 18 areas of the State. The information is presented exactly as it appears in each APDCs' "Population Trends" report for its area. 
9 
 
 --------~-----.-~....,..~~------------ 
 
,......-, 
\. 
 
Plate 1 
POPULATION CHANGE BY CENSUS COUNTY DIVISION IN THE ALTAMAHA GEORGIA 
SOUTHERN AREA, 1970 TO 1980 
Population Change, 1970 to 1980 0 to 799 '-----------~ 
800 to 1,599 D.S"'-"'-S"'-"'-"'-"'-"'-:sl 
1,600 to 2,399 111111111111111111 2,400 to 3,199 V////////J 3,200 to 3,999 IXJVVVVOOOOI Sources: U.S. Bureau of the Census, censuses of population, Georgia, 1970 and 1980; Altamaha Georgia Southern APDC staff calculations. 
 
Plate 2 
PROJECTED POPULATION CHANGE BY COUNTY IN THE ALTAMAHA GEORGIA SOOTIIERN ARPA, 
1980 TO 2000 
Projected Population Change t 1980 to 20.00 
0 to 1,599 c==J 
1,600 to 3,1991111111 
3, 200 to 4, 799 VZZII 
4,800 to 6,399 ~ Sources: U.S. Bureau of the Census, "Census of Population, Georgia, 1980"; State Data Center, Georgia Office of Planning and Budget, "Population Projections for Georgia Counties: 1990 and 2000"; Altarnaha Georgia Southern APDC staff calculations. 
10 
 
 ~T 
I 
 
Table 1 
ACTUAL, ESTIMATED, AND PROJECTED POPULATION FIGURES, 1960 THROUGH 2000 
ALTAMAH A GEORGIA SOUTHERN AREA AND GEORGIA 
 
AREA 
Georgia 
 
1960 
 
Census 1970 
 
110,642 
 
121,004 
 
3,943,116 4,587,930 
 
1980 140,245 5,463,105 
 
Estimates and Projections 
 
1984l/ 
 
1990 y 
 
2000 y 
 
144,600 
 
156,610 
 
170,800 
 
5,837,000 6,462,313 7,422,594 
 
Time Interval 
 
From - To 
 
Years 
 
1960 to 1970 
 
10 
 
1970 to 1980 
 
10 
 
PoQulation Change 
 
AREA 
 
Georgia 
 
Absolute Percent 
 
Absolute Percent 
 
+ 10,362 
 
+ 9.4 
 
4 644,814 + 16.4 
 
+ 19,241 
 
+ 15.9 
 
+ 875,175 + 19.1 
 
1980 to 1984 
 
4 
 
+ 4,355 
 
+ 3.1 
 
+ 373,895 + 6.8 
 
1980 to 1990 
 
10 
 
1990 to 2000 
 
10 
 
+ 16,365 + 14,190 
 
+ 11.7 + 9.1 
 
+ 999,208 + 18.3 + 960,281 + 14.9 
 
1980 to 2000 
 
20 
 
+ 30,555 
 
+ 21.8 
 
+ 1,959,489 + 35.9 
 
1/ U.S. Bureau of the Census, "Provisional Estimates of the Population of Counties: 
July 1, 1984", Series P-26, No. 84-52-C, issued March 1985. 
2/ State Data Center, Georgia Office of Planning and Budget, "Population Projections for Georgia Counties 1990 and 2000", March 1983. 
Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, censuses of population, Georgia, 1960, 1970, and 1980, except as noted above; Altamaha Georgia Southern APDC staff calculations. 
 
11 
 
 Analysis 
CCD Changes, 1970 to 1980. As may be seem from inspection of Plate 1, within each Area county the greatest population change between 1970 and 1980 (in all cases an increase) occurred within the CCD which contained the largest municipality. The Statesboro CCD in Bulloch County showed the greatest absolute increase (3,621 persons, about 17 percent), followed by the Vidalia-Lyons CCD in Toombs County (2,918 persons, also about 17 percent), the Jesup CCD in Wayne County (2,132 persons, about 16 percent), the Hazlehurst CCD in Jeff Davis County (2,035 persons, about 26 percent), the Baxley CCD in Appling County (1,976 persons, about 30 percent), the Glennville CCD in Tattnall County (l ,327 persons, about 20 percent), the Claxton CCD in Evans County (835 persons, about 13 percent), and the Metter CCD in Candler County (814 persons, about 19 percent). The three CCDs with the greatest absolute population gain contain (in the same order) the Area cities with the greatest population, and are located in the Area counties with the greatest population. 
For the most part the indicated population growth between 1970 and 1980 occurred in the unincorporated portion of the CCDs listed above. Only the population growth for the City of Metter over this period represented more than half (about 76 percent) of the increase in its corresponding CCD. The cities of Lyons, Santa Claus, and Vidalia together represent about 48 percent of the indicated population growth over this period in the Vidalia-Lyons CCD; the City of Glennville represents about 45 percent of the indicated growth in its corresponding CCD; and the cities of Bellville, Claxton, Daisy, and Hagan together represent about 35 percent of the growth in the Claxton CCD. For all the other listed CCDs the growth in the incorporated area represented less than 20 percent of the indicated increase in the corresponding CCD over the period from 1970 to 1980. 
Only 3 CCDs within the Area exhibited an indicated decline in population between 1970 and 1980, and in none of these was the decline by as many as 90 persons. In Bulloch County the Brooklet CCD declined by 28 persons (about 1 percent) and the Register CCD declined by 84 persons (about 5 percent}; in Tattnall County the Reidsville CCD declined by 18 persons (less than 1 percent). 
Projected County Changes, 1980 to 2000. As may be seen by inspection of Plate 2, all counties within the Area are projected to grow in population during the 20 year period from 1980 through 2000. Toombs County is projected to have the greatest absolute growth (5,949 persons, about 26 percent), followed by Tattnall County (5,287 persons, about 29 percent), Wayne County (4,847 persons, about 23 percent), Appling County (4,310 persons, about 28 percent), Bulloch County (3,806 persons, about 11 percent), Jeff Davis County (3, 189 persons, about 28 percent), Evans County (1 ,771 persons, about 21 percent), and Candler County (1 ,396 persons, about 19 percent). 
Actual and Projected Areawide Change. As shown in Table 1, population growth in the Area "peaked" at about 16 percent (19,241 persons) during the decade between 1970 and ! 980, with continuing growth but at a declining rate projected through 2000. This same pattern is shown for Georgia, although the declining rate for the continuing growth projected for the state does not drop off as rapidly as that for the Area. This likely reflects the influence of the Atlanta metropolitan area on the state figures; it is generally accepted that the growth rates for the Atlanta area and the remainder of the state are substantially different, and unless an appropriate adjustment is made attempts at direct comparison with the overall state figure can be misleading. 
12 
 
 1 
 
If the "absolute" population change figures for the Area for the 10-year periods from 1960 to 1970, 1970 to 1980, 1980 to 1990, and 1990 to 2000 are averaged, an increase of about 15,000 persons ~decade is indicated. The projected "absolute" increase in population for the 20-year period from 1980 to 2000 corresponds to an increase of about 15,300 persons ~decade. If the "percent" population change figures for the Area over the four 10-year periods identified above are averaged, an increase of about 12 percent ~decade is indicated. The projected "percent" increase in population for the 20-year period from 1980 to 2000 corresponds to an increase of about 11 percent ~ decade. 
 
13 
 
 Superdlstrlcts In The Atlanta Region 
Population Change 1970-1980 Ell Over 40,000 persons Cl 25,000-39,000 persons rnJ 15,000-24,999 persons 
EE 5,000-14,999 persons al 04,999 persons 0 Population loss 
Estimated Population Change 19802000 
r13 Over 100,000 persons 
~ 50,000-99,999 persons 
rnJ 30,000-49,999 persons ffi 10,000-29,999 persons 
rn 0-9,999 persons 
0 Population loss 
14 
 
 T I 
ATLANTA REGION POPULATION TRENDS AND PROJECTIONS 
 
1960 
 
1970 
 
1980 
 
1984 
 
1990 
 
2000 
 
1,044,401 1,434,676 1 '779' 131 1,955,000 2,228,528* 2,846,483* 2,191,053+ 2,548,632+ 
 
SOURCES: U.S. Bureau of the Census for 1960, 1970 and 1980 population counts. 1984 estimate by the Atlanta Regional Commission. *Population projections prepared by the Atlanta Regional Commission. +Population projections prepared by the State Office of Planning and Budget. 
 
POPULATION CHANGES 
 
Persons 
 
Percent 
 
1960-:1970 1970-1980 1980-1984 1980-1990 
1980-2000 
 
390,275 344,455 175,869 449,397* 411,922+ 1,067,352* 769,501+ 
 
37.4% 24.0% 
9.9% 25.3%* 23.2%+ 60.0%* 43.3%+ 
 
Analysis: 
 
The Atlanta Region has been experiencing rapid population and employment growth since the early 1950s. Forecasts by both ARC and Georgia OPB anticipate that the Region's rapid growth will continue through the beginning of the next century. In recent years, the northern counties of the Region have have been the site of most new jobs and residents. ARC forecasts that this trend will continue, but that growth will shift slowly to the south. 
 
The economy of the Atlanta Region is broadly based. Its strategic location astride the main transportation corridors in the southeastern United States has drawn many regional sales and distribution operations here. In recent years the Region as become a center of business services (e.g. consulting and computer software development). This diversified economy is less sensitive to the business cycle than that of many urban areas since it is less vulnerable to problems in any single industry. 
 
15 
 
 -c;etr81 S8\'811D811 river area, teertla- 
JPopMTia11t1ioll1l Ch~Inl$<6 
1l9>7(Q) 0 1l9)(Q) 
10,000 to 19,999 Persons 1,000 to 9,999 Persons 500 to 999 Persons 100 to 499 Persons 9 to 99 Persons Net Loss 
 
i i 
 
to 
 
. 
 
I 
 
I 
 
" 
 
lEtli matedllPoputTital1t1i(Q)ll1l 
llll1lcme~ 
10,000 or more Persons 5,000 to 9,999 Persons 1,000 to 4 , 999 Persons under 1,000 Persons Net Loss 
16 
 
 T 
 
Central Savannah River Area Population Trends and Projections 
 
1960 
 
1970 
 
1980 
 
1984 
 
1990 
 
2000 
 
271,866 302,200 350,388 368,800 412,940* 482,418* 
 
Sources: 
 
U.S. Bureau of the Census for 1960, 1970 and 1980 Population Counts and 1984 Population Estimates *Population Projections Prepared by the State Office of Planning and Budget 
 
1960-1970 1970-1980 1980-1984 1980-1990 1980-2000 
 
Population Changes 
 
Persons 
 
Percent 
 
30,334 
 
11.2% 
 
48,188 
 
15.9% 
 
18,412 
 
5.3% 
 
62,552* 
 
17.9%* 
 
132,030* 
 
37.7%* 
 
*Based on State Office of Planning and Budget Projections 
 
Analysis 
 
With the metropolitan Augusta area serving as its hub, the Central Savannah River Area has shown consistent, steady growth since the 1960's. In fact, the statistical rate of increase has been slowly rising since the 1960's. Although the CSRA has demonstrated positive area-wide growth trends, this positive growth has not occurred evenly throughout the CSRA. Furthermore, available population projections suggest that this trend of uneven growth will continue during the next two decades. 
 
The largest percentage increase in population occurred between 1970-1980 in urban Columbia County. The urban counties of Richmond and McDuffie have also shown moderate population growth. Other areas with population growth of 1,000 - 9,999 include the cities of Sylvania and Swainsboro. 
 
Between 1970 - 1980, thirteen county census divisions lost population. With the exception of Fort Gordon, the other 12 areas are rural farming areas. 
 
Despite the population decline in some rural areas, several areas of rural character have demonstrated moderate population increases. These census divisions include the City of Wrens in Jefferson County, Washington in Wilkes County, and the area near Plant Vogtle in Burke County. 
 
Through the year 2000, the majority of the population growth will center in the urban areas. Also, those areas just outside the urban areas will see moderate population growth. In the rural areas, those counties with moderate-sized towns will also see moderate population growth. In contrast, those rural areas that are dominated by agriculture or have no moderate-sized towns will experience little or no growth. 
17 
 
 CHATTAHOOCHEE-FLINT AREA POPULATION CHANGE 1970-1980 
{by county census division) 
 Over 3,000 persons ~1,000 - 2,999 persons llilll\l\ffi600 - 999 persons [ ] 0 - 599 persons 
 
ESTIMATED POPULATION INCREASES 
1980-2000 {by county) 
 
N 
[B\\\\1\\\\\gOver 10,000 persons 
U\IIIIII!IJ4 ,500 - 9, 999 persons 
( ]o - 4,499 persons 
 
fre nUtn 
\ 
 
18 
 
MERIWETHER 
*-\loodbury 
\lu Sptlna  ttanc.htlter 
 
 r 
 
CHATTAHOOCHEE-FLINT AREA POPULATION TRENDS AND PRO.lECTIONS 
 
1960 137,622 
 
1970 146,995 
 
1980 173,366 
 
1984 184,900 
 
1990 207,307* 207,649+ 
 
2000 248,647* 235,676+ 
 
Sources: U.S. Bureau of the Census for 1960, 1970 and 1980 population counts and 1984 population estimates. 
 
* Population projections prepared by Chatt-Flint APDC. + Population projections prepared by State Office of Planning and 
Budget. 
 
POPULATION CHANGES 
 
Persons 
 
Percent 
 
1960 - 1970 
 
9,373 
 
1970 - 1980 
 
26,371 
 
1980 - 1984 
 
11,534 
 
1980 - 1990 
 
33,941* 
 
34,283+ 
 
1980 - 2000 
 
75,281* 
 
62,310+ 
*Based on Chatt-Flint APDC projections. 
 
+ Based on State Office of Planning and Budget projections. 
 
Analysis: 
 
6.8 17.9 
6.6 19.6* 19.8+ 43.4* 35.9+ 
 
The Chattahoochee-Flint area has experienced a definite positive trend in population change since 1960. Change or increase prior to 1970 was limited, however, to Carroll, Coweta and Heard counties, while Meriwether and Troup experienced little change and some decrease in population. A 17.9% increase between 1970 and 1980 signifies an overall reversal of a historical trend of out-migration in the area. Noted change in Carroll and Coweta counties can be attributed to the close proximity of metropolitan Atlanta and the growth occurring along Interstates 20 and 85. 
The major municipalities of Carrollton and Newnan are benefiting most from this growth, experiencing population changes between 1970 and 1980 of over 20 percent. This growth continues to spread into surrounding areas of the two counties. 
The population growth projected for the Chattahoochee-Flint aren (43%) by year 2000 suggests steady growth, overall, as economic opportunities continue to afford themselves. These increases will be confined within and around the three major municipalities mentioned -Carrollton, Newnan and LaGrange. The counties lying closer to metro Atlanta will reap the most benefit. Industry will direct this growth as it continues to develop along major thoroughfares. Ultimately, this trend will stifle much of the out-migration and commuting as job opportunities are more available locally. 
 
19 
 
 COASTAL APDC AREA Population Change 
1970-1980 (by census county division) 
II Over 5,000 persons II 1,000 - 4,999 persons lllillJ 250 - 999 persons 
lillQ 0 - 249 persons 
0 population loss 
0 not included 
Estimated Population Increases 1980-2000 (by county) 
II Over 40,000 persons II 10,000 - 39,999 persons 
tm] 3, 000 - 9, 999 persons 
Effil 0 - 2, 999 persons 
20 
 
 T 
 
COASTAL AREA POPULATION TRENDS AND PROJECTIONS 
 
1960 281,323 
 
1970 298,846 
 
1980 349,233 
 
1984 375,200 
 
1990 417,544* 
 
2000 485,896* 
 
Source: U. S. Bureau of the Census for 1960, 1970 and 1980 population counts and 1984 population estimates. 
 
* State Office of Planning and Budget 1983. 
 
POPULATION CHANGES 
 
1960-1970 1970-1980 1980-1984 1980-1990 1980-2000 
 
Persons 17,523 50,387 25,967 68,311* 136,663* 
 
Percent 6.2 
16.8 7.4 
19.5* 39.1* 
 
* State Office of Planning and Budget 1983. 
 
Analysis: 
The total regional population of coastal Georgia increased 24% from 1960-1980. The 1980-2000 rate is expected to increase 39%. The 1960-1980 primary growth centers were located in the Hinesville census division of Liberty County and, the Tybee Island-Wilmington census divison of Chatham County. Hinesville's development is directly associated with the military build-up at Fort Stewart. The Tybee Island-Wilmington increase is characteristic of suburban growth near Savannah and a national trend of increased coastal resort development. 
The region's two most populous cities, Savannah and Brunswick, each experienced population losses from 1970-1980. However, increases in the population in adjacant unincorporated areas more than offset these losses and additional growth in surrounding counties account for suburban commuter growth. The St. Marys and Kingsland areas of Camden County have more recently reflected a healthy population increase as a result of the location of the U. S. Navy Submarine Base Kings Bay. This growth will 1ncrease throughout the remainder of the 1980s. 
During 1980-2000 these growth centers are expected to continue their steady increase. However, new areas of increased growth will likely be located 1n Rincon (Effingham County) as a result of spin-off development associated with the Fort Howard Paper Mill and, Richmond Hill (Bryan County) due to its proximity to Savannah and an abundance of developable waterfront property. 
21 
 
 COOSA VALLEY AREA 
POPULATION CHANGE 1970- 1980 
BY 
CENSUS COUNTY DIVISION 
m Over 3,000 Persons 
0 1,000 to 2,999 Persons 
[8] 0 to 999 Persons 
D -1 to -700 Persons 
ESTIMATED POPULATION INCREASES 1980 - 2000 By COUNTY 
mOver 10,000 Persons 
0 4,000 9,999 Persons 
~ 1,000 - 3,999 Persons 
0 0 - 999 Persons 
22 
 
 r 
 
COOSA VALLEY AREA POPULATION TRENDS AND PROJECTIONS 
 
1960 267,269 
 
1970 302,739 
 
1980 355,183 
 
1984 362,800 
 
1990 394,035 
 
2000 421,292 
 
POPULATION CHANGES 
 
Persons 
 
Percent 
 
1960 - 1970 1970 - 1980 1980 - 1984 1980 - 1990 1980 - 2000 
 
35,470 52,444 
7,617 38,852 66,109 
 
13.3 17.3 
2.1 10.9 18.6 
 
Analysis: 
 
The 1984 population of the Coosa Valley Area was estimated to be 
 
362,800 persons which represents a 36% increase since 1960. During the 
 
1970-1980 period, the region recorded a 17% growth rate. The largest 
 
numerical growth from 1970-1980 was found in three census county 
 
divisions: Rome (4,041 persons). 
 
4 
 
(4,620 Three 
 
perso other 
 
ns); Ringgold census county 
 
(4,157 persons); divisions grew by 
 
and Hiram more than 
 
3,000 persons from 1970-1980: Cartersville (3,940); Calhoun (3,605) and 
 
Chickamauga (3,096). Several census county divisions grew by less than 
 
100 persons from 1970-1980: Villanow (96); Chattanooga Valley (14) and 
 
Cave Spring (6). Rossville-Beverly Hills division in Walker County 
 
recorded a population loss during the 1970's of 694 persons. A look at 
 
future population growth in the Coosa Valley Area is appropriate. 
 
Projections for the period 1980-2000 indicate that the Coosa Valley Area will grow by 66,109 persons to a total of 421,292 (19%). Catoosa, Bartow and Paulding Counties will be the fastest growth areas from 1980-2000. Catoosa and Bartow Counties are expected to add just over 10,000 persons during this twenty year period while Paulding County will add over 17,000 persons. Gordon, Floyd and Walker Counties are projected to compose the second fastest growing group of counties from 1980-2000. Gordon County will add 8,600 persons while Floyd will add 5, 012 and Walker will see an additional 4, 659 persons during this period. Dade, Polk and Haralson Counties are expected to record somewhat slower population growth while Chattooga County will experience the slowest growth rate among the ten counties in the Coosa Valley Area. It will be interesting to see if improved transportation corridors serving these slower growing communities can encourage economic expansion and consequently population growth. 
 
23 
 
 GEORiiA MJUNI'AINS AREA EOPULATION OIAN;ES i9 -7o-1~80 
(BY .CENSUS .<X>UNI'Y DIVISION) 
OVer 3 1 000 persons 2 1000 to 2 1999 persons 1 1 000 to 1 1 999 persons 0 to 999 persons 
Decrease 
 
EsriMATED POFUIATICN mCREASES 
1980-2000 
(BY <X>UNl'Y) 
L 
 
mmmm OVer 6 I 000 persons 
II I II I ~ 41ooo to 5 1999 persons I I I I 21000 to 31999 persons 
0 to 1 1 999 persons 
 
-. ' 
 
- 
 
~ 
 
<,' 
 
tl  .._.... , : o.. I 
 
I :~ "-1/ 
 
:WY' ,.. ....  !Y' "":-~t--Il1/\ '.~! 
 
""' 
-- 
 
. / 
 
'.-u~ 
 
'"'" 
u"' 
 
y .. JACIC I OU C O. 
 
AOIION CO. I 
 
"-' 
 
I 
 
~ 
lL81ft T ;: : . 
 
24 
 
 r 
 
GEORGIA MOUNTAINS AREA POPULATION TRENDS AND PROJECTIONS 
 
1960 169,686 
 
1970 192,598 
 
1980 244,012 
 
1984 263,600 
 
1990 284,262* 
 
2000 316,794* 
 
Sources: U.S. Bureau of the Census for 1960, 1970 and 1980 population counts and 1984 population estimates. 
* Population projections prepared by State of Georgia, Office of Planning and Budget, Atlanta, Georgia, lg83. 
 
POPULATION CHANGES 
 
1960 - 1970 1970 - 1980 
1980 - 1984 
1980 - 1990 1990 - 2000 
 
Persons 
22,912 51,414 19,588 40,250* 32,532* 
 
Percent 
13.5 26.7 
7.4 16.5* 11.4* 
 
* Based on State Office of Planning and Budget projections. 
 
Analysis; During the period 1970-1980, the population of the Georgia Mountains area increased by 26.7 percent, over 7 percent faster than the state as a whole. Aside from natural increase, population growth has resulted from such factors as resort and recreational development near the mountains and lakes, extensions of State Routes 365 and 400, the trend from urban to rural migration, and the expanding metropolitan Atlanta area. 
Hall County experienced the largest numerical increase in the region,. with Forsyth and Habersham Counties being second and third, respectively. These counties are expected to continue to grow at similar rates for the next fifteen years as large-scale resort development continues, additional transportation improvements are realized, and the economy of the region diversifies. It is expected that the remaining counties in the area will likewise benefit from these conditions and their populations will continue to expand significantly into the next century. 
 
25 
 
 Heart o f Georgia Ar Population Changeea 
1970 - 1980 
 
CJ 
.. .... .... 
//// // 
///// / ////// ///// / 
 
600 or more 0 - 599 Decrease 
 
Estimated p1o98p0ul-ati2o0n00 I ncreases 
 
D 
 
0 - 999 
 
- 
 I 
-== 
 
1000 - 1999 2000 - 4999 5000 - 9000 
 
"-.---- - ../ 
 
26 
 
 T 
 
HEART OF GEORGIA AREA POPULATION TRENDS AND PROJECTIONS 
 
1960 103,762 
 
1970 101,474 
 
1980 111,042 
 
1984 111,300 
 
1990 120,608* 
 
2000 129,147* 
 
Sources: U.S. Bureau of the Census 1960, 1970 and 1980 population counts and 1984 population estimates. 
Population projections prepared by State Office of Planning and Budget. 
 
1960 - 1970 1970 - 1980 1980 - 1984 1980 - 1990 1980 - 2000 
 
POPULATION CHANGES 
Persons 
-2,288 9,568 258 9,566* 
18,105* 
 
Percent 
-2.2% 9.4% 
-0.2% 8.6%* 
16.3%* 
 
*Based on State Office of Planning and Budget projections. 
 
Analysis: The Heart of Georgia nine (9) county area decreased in population between 1960 and 1970, but from 1970 to 2000 shows a steady increase in population. 
As indicated on the map, the population change for the period 1970 - 1980 generally reflects a population increase for all the Census Districts, with the exception of six (6) which experienced a decrease. 
As can be seen on the Estimated Population Increase Map, 1980 - 2000, Laurens County will have by for the largest population increase in the area, while the other eight (8) counties will have significantly lower ranges 0f population increase. 
 
 POPULATION CHANGE 1970-1980 
(BY CENSUS COUNTY DIVISION) 
 
ESTIMATED POPULATION INCREASES 1980-2000 
(BY COUNTY) 
 
over 2,000 person gain 
[Ji!j!i!J 0 - 1,999 person gain ~ 0 - 499 person loss ~ over 500 person loss 
28 
 
over 20,000 person gain 5,000 - 20,000 person gai n 1,000 - 4,999 person gain 0 - 999 person gain 0 - 500 person loss 
 
 r 
 
LOWER CHATTAHOOCHEE APDC POPULATION TRENDS AND PROJECTIONS 
 
1960 
 
1970 
 
1980 
 
1984 
 
1990 
 
2000 
 
215,360 
 
232,396 235,242 241,100 257,180 + 282,021+ 
 
284,961* 
 
Sources: U. S. Bureau of the Census for 1960, 1970 and 1980 
 
population counts and 1934 population estimates. 
 
*Population projections prepared by Lower Chattahoochee APDC +Population projections prepared by State Office of Planning and Budget 
 
POPULATION CHANGES 
 
1960 - 1970 
1970 - 1980 1980 - 1984 1980 - 1990 1980 - 2000 
 
Persons 
11,036 2,846 5,858 21,938 46 '779+ 49, 719* 
 
Percent 
7.91 1.22 2.50 9.33 19.89 21.14 
 
Analysis: Over the last decade the Lower Chattahoochee has had a small increase in population which has concentrated in Muscogee an& Harris Counties. As shown 
on the graphic, Fort Benning has experienced substantial population changes but 
this is due to troop strength and is not reflective of real growth or loss. Most of the other rural counties have either experienced very small gains or lost 
population. The southern rural counties have had particularly bad economic conditions with the exception of the Cuthbert area in Randolph County. It is pro- 
jected that the greatest growth area will be in metropolitan Columbus which will directly affect Harris County's growth. These areas should see significant residential, commercial and industrial growth. Randolph County, with Cuthbert as the contributing factor, should experience substantial growth by the year 2000. 
 
29 
 
 MciNTOSH TRAIL AREA POPULATION CHANGE 
1970-1980 More than 4000 2501 to 4000 1001 to 2500 1 to 1000 Lose Population 
N 
ESTIMATED POPULATION INCREASES 1980-2000 
Over 40,000 20,001 to 40,000 10,000 to 20,000 5,001 to 10,000 0 to 5000 
30 
 
 Mcintosh Trai I Area Population Trends and Projections 
 
1960 
 
1970 
 
1980 
 
1984 
 
1990 
 
2000 
 
132,375 
 
152,953 
 
208,555 
 
233,000 
 
281,824 
 
380,017 
 
Sources: U.S. Bureau of the Census for 1960, 1970, and 1980 population counts and 1984 population estimates. 
 
* Population projection prepared by State Data Center, Office of Planning 
and Budget, Population Projections for Georgia Counties, 1990 and 2000, March 1983; U.S. Census Bureau, Local Population Estimates, Georgia, Series P-26, No. 84-52-C, March 1985. 
 
Population Changes 
 
1960-1970 1970-1980 1980-1984 1980-1990 
1980-2000 
 
Persons 
20,578 56,602 24,445 73,269 171,462 
 
Percent 
16 37 12 35 82 
 
Analysis: 
 
The most remarkable population growth took place in Fayette and Henry Counties. A major factor in this growth is the proximity of each county to the Atlanta area. Residents of these counties took advantage of the larger job market and higher wages of the metropo I i tan area by uti I i zing major highways avai !able in the region. A major portion of the work force apparent Iy preferred working in the Iarger city, but returning to a Iess urban area to reside. 
 
Conversely, Upson County showed significant internal shifts in 
 
popu Iat ion, with on Iy a 1O% over a I I increase from 1970 to 1980. Dependence 
 
on textile industries perhaps attributed to this slow growth. The uneven 
 
trend in growth and development in the region is expected to continue. By 
 
the turn of the century, for example, Fayette County wi I I most I ikely show 
 
a 308% population increase, while Henry County wil I probably increase 108 
 
. 
 
percent. During this period, Upson County is expected to experience a population increase of only 9%  
 
31 
 
 MIDDLE FLINT AREA 
POPULATION CHANGES 1970 - 1980 
(by census county division) 
 
0 Over 1,000 
~ 500 - 999 ~/ 0 499 increase 
0 500 decrease 
 
e e l es li e 
 
DeSoto 
 
ESTIMATED POPULATION INCREASE 1980 - 2000 (by county) 
J'.IIAf/ltJ N 
 Bu e no V isla 
 
Over 4,000 2,000- 3,999 0-1,999 
 
~VN"/'EJI 
A..lcet 
 
Byromville 
 
 
 
e Pinehurst 
 
[/t) 1) L'l 
 
e Lilly 
 
e Vienna 
 
/////////////// 
 
/// ////L.t'..t'/// // 
 
/ / / //Y'Y'/"7/ / / / / 
 
- 
 
- 
 
- 
 
- 
 
- 
 
Lftae hs.t. 
------- 
 
i 
 
/ // ///////// 
 
/, 
 
-/r ..r.'/)+/.-/:r // 
 
/// 
/// 
 
/Vi'O l'r/ //// 
 
//// ////////// 
 
/ ///////////// 
/ / / / / / / -1.~/ / / 
 
//// //. //// 
 
/// //// 
 
32 
 
 MIDDLE FLINT AREA 
 
- POPULATION TRENDS AND PROJECTIONS - 
 
1 
 
\ 
 
1960 87,355 
 
1970 86,778 
 
1980 92 ,651 
 
1984 94,200 
 
1990 
101,386 * 
 
2000 
110,392 * 
 
Source: U. S. Bureau of the Census -population counts for 1960, 1970 and 1980 and 1984 population estimates. 
* Population projections prepared by State Office of Planning and Budget 
 
- POPULATION CHANGES - 
 
1960 - 1970 1970 - 1980 1980 - 1984 1980 - 1990 1980 - 2000 
 
Persons 
 
577 
 
5,87 3 
 
1,549 
 
8 '7 35 17,741 
 
* * 
 
Percent 
 
.7 
 
6.8 
 
1.7 
 
9-4 19.1 
 
* * 
 
* Population projections prepared by State Office of Planning and Budget 
 
- ANALYSIS - 
 
The 1980 census recorded the first population increase in the eight county Middle Flint Area since 1920. Most of this increase occurred in the more developed sections while the "least developed" Census County Divisions (CCDs) continued to lose population. Areawide projections for the balance of the century suggest a growth rate slightly higher than that usually expected from natural birth and death rates. 
 
The two CCDs recording the greatest amount of absolute growth were Americus and 
 
Cordele, the two most heavily developed CCDs in the eight county Area. However, 
 
while these two CCDs recorded the greatest absolute growth, the Cities of 
 
Americus and Cordele recorded population increases which, at less than 2%, were 
 
among the lowest in the Area. On the other hand, that group of cities second 
 
largest in population (1 ,600 - 5 ,000) experienced growth rates in the 20% 
 
range. The majority of this group of cities is located in CCDs which also 
 
) 
 
experienced populatiou increases. 
 
) 
 
Most of the growth projected for the balance of the century will occur in those 
 
four counties (Crisp, Dooly, Macon and Sumter) located in the southeastern half 
 
of the Area. These counties currently possess the bulk of that development 
 
which has occurred in the Area to date and this trend is expected to continue. 
 
Development of U. S. 19 through Taylor, Schley and Sumter Counties into a four 
 
lane highway will undoubtedly open Taylor and Schley to more developement. 
 
However, most of this development will probably help these two counties 
 
maintain their ranking as developing counties within the Area rather than 
 
significantly improve their position among the eight counties. The same could 
 
be said for development of the Fall Line Freeway and its impact on Marion and 
 
Taylor Counties. 
 
33 
 
 MIDDLE GEORGIA AREA 
 
POPULATION CHANGE 1970 - 1980 
by Census County Divisions 
Macon 
 
II Over 2,000 persons 
 
II Over 1,000 persons 
 
El 500 999 persogs 
 
[ ]. 
 
0 - 499 persons 
 
[] Decline 
 
Warner Robins 
PROJECTED POPULATION INCREASES 1980 - 2000 by county 
Ill Over 10,000 persons 
JtJ 5,000-9,999 persons 
IIJ 1,000-4,999 persons 
 
 1960 226 , 963 
 
i1I DDLE GEORGIA /\REA 
 
POPULATION TRENOS AND PRO,JECTIONS 
 
19 70 
 
1980 
 
1984 
 
1990 
 
259 , 511 
 
295 , 239 
 
309 , 700 
 
323 , 030 * 336 , 265+ 
 
20 00 
352 , 620 * 379 , 513+ 
 
Source s : U. S . Bureau of Census , Census of Populatio n 1960 - 1980 , 1984 Population P.sti1nates . 
 
I?OPIJLA'I'[ON CHANG8S 
 
Persons 
 
Percent 
 
1~60 1970 1980 1980 - 
 
1970 1980 
1~84 
1990 
 
1990 - 2000 
 
32 , 548 35 , 72B 14 , 452 27 , 791* 41 , 026+ 29 , 590 43 , 248+ 
 
14 . 34 13 .7 6 
4 . 89 9 . 41* 13 . 90+ 9 . 16* 12 . 86+ 
 
*Population projections prepared by Middle Ge orqia APDC . +Populati o n estimates pre pare d by Office of Planninq and Budget . 
 
Analysis : 
The two counties which have the larqest current populations and which are expe cted to continue to increase in population are t3ibb and Houston . By 2000 , they each are expected to have a population increase of over l 0 , 000 persons . Macon is having and will possible continue to have a decrease in population as suburba n areas continue to draw from the urban ~ore . Warner Robins is expected to also experience some urban decline ns more people move to the suburban areas . The reasons for this suburban mome n tum are varied , but are in many ways tied to the economy . The rural areas of these t wo co u nties are experiencing moderate growth . 
i-1uch of the past and future growth of the surrounding counties in the ~1iddle Georgia area is the result of increased economic opportunity in Bibb and Houston cou n ties . The econo mies oE Crawford, ~1onroe and Jones counties have benefited from the economic growth in ~1acon . North Peach County has grown and is expected to continue to qrow , due to industr y in Houston County ; however , the urban are a of Port Valley has declined and is expected to continue to decline at a slow rate . 
 
35 
 
 NORTH GEORGIA AREA 
 
.J ~- / ?~r-J",....-;-7-:,...,.-J":r T.;'.?;i:.-;:;;;;r77-r_1~ 
 
I 
 
C MfA 
 
// 
 
/// 
 
/// /, /// // 
 
,; /~,/ / / ,/ 
 
/ /' /// . / ./ . / / j///////////// .  
 
Jt--t-H'-+-+f, 
:f.~)&--l+-&,+.w_+tV-n...../'->4L-.:.~-,.~.' - 
 
' 
_, 
/ 
 
//.// / / 
/ //// 
// // // // // 
 
// 
~'/ /-.:' 
 
// / /////,/ , 
 
L//.'//.///-L//.-//:..//~// 
 
/ 
.. , 
 
/ . ... 
 
/ 
// 
 
/ /~./../'/.t.~ ./ A. /."-"~''/ / / /:-),. / / /"'J"..,.'Yt. 
 
X ' ('- 
 
" 
 
'": r-' 
 
;~- 
 
:.:d1 /:.  ,/ / ;1 /I 
 
//// t 1.)' / / / / / / 
 
'.'/HlH)f.ly-/7.( . / ' ..... 
 
I !,',~ ~ , / 
 
. 
 
/ /~/riY))/, // // // // // // / / 
 
/ (.A / N).I' / / \ 
Jl!-1"/ / / ).. 
 
~ ~~~~~ ~~ ~~~~~ 
 
t'- . / / / / ' / / / / 'X / / / / / / / ( 
 
t:-JY.-Hi!-+1~+-~-  
 
.. _._ 
 
'_ ,-41.' _1.//  
 
1 . ///./ ' / / / / Y / / / / / / / ..../, .,.' '. // // // // )l. // // // // / /f 
 
, / / / . H-tlr+-~,.;..../_> /' / /' ' 
t-f-~.lO-.o.:.r'-: 
 
H~1,H..-~~-I\ 
 
/ 
I 
 
/ . / / /  ..:..t:-../...., 
 
/ f : 
 
. , / / / / / r't.C \ ') I'U//Af"/' / 
. // / . // 
 
/ / 
/ / 
 
Nt / / / 
///;>// v>/-ovV 
 
C' 
POPUlATION cHANGE 
* (by c E Ns u s sub A REA) 
1970 - 1980 
 
, 
 
'7-~v~5//-;:-]: ~/ /~K/ 
 
/ /) 
 
 
,/ / / 1 / // / ' / / 
 
t- 
 
,.. / / / / .~ r.",'r / ..-: - 
 
~..... 
'/ / /// , 
 
,~ //,~/ .//_,.(' 
 
'l/(?"r'X/7/7/ ')l 
 
2000 OR MORE PERSONS 
 
f-/ --: t,. 
 
!!>o.o!~ 
 
I 000 TO I 999 PERSONS 
 
D 
 
I TO 999 PERSONS -I 000 TO 0 PERSONS 
 
* CHEROKEE COUNTY 8Y CENSUS TRAT 
WHITFIELD COUN-TY BY BLOCK NUMBERING AREA OTHER COUNTIES BY COUNTY CENSUS DIVISION 
 
m - 
 
ESTIMATED POPULATION INCREASES 
I 980 - 2000 (by COUNTY) 20000 - PLUS PERSONS 
I 0000 - 20000 PERSONS 
5000 - I 0000 PERSONS 
0 - 5000 PERSONS 
 
36 
 
 NORTH GEORGIA AREA POPULATION TRENDS AND PROJECTIONS 
 
1960 
 
1970 
 
1980 
 
1984 
 
1990 
 
2000 
 
107,002 
 
131,086 
 
174,664 
 
191,500 
 
245,114 * 217,044 + 
 
369,729 * 
257,526 + 
 
Sources: U.S. Bureau of Census for 1960, 1970 and 1980 population counts and 1984 population estimates. 
 
* Population projections prepared by North Georgia APDC 
+ Population projections prepared by State Office of Planning and Budget 
 
POPULATION CHANGES 
 
Persons 
 
1960-1970 1970-1980 1980-1984 1980-1990 
1980-2000 
 
24,084 43,578 16,836 
70,450 * 
42,380 + 
195,065 * 
82,862 + 
 
* Based on North Georgia APDC projections 
+ Based on State Office of Planning and Budget projections 
 
Percent 
22.5% 33.2% 9.6% 
40.3 % * 
24.3 % + 
111.7 % * 
47.4% + 
 
Analysis: Throughout the period of analysis, North Georgia has consistently grown faster than the State average. Growth within the Area has been unevenly distributed. In the first-half of the analysis period, Whitfield County growth led the Area. In the second-half growth in Cherokee County accelerated while Whitfield slowed to about the Georgia average. This latter pattern is expected to continue to the next 15 years. Four of the six counties will exceed the State average growth. Whitfield \'lill be near the average growth rate and only Fannin will lag the State. 
Growth in Cherokee is controlled directly by Metro-Atlanta growth with Pickens and Gilmer Counties beginning to feel the effects as close-in but still rural retreats. Growth in Whitfield and Murray is controlled by economic factors peculiar to the carpet industry and bearing little if any relationship to either Atlanta or Chattanooga growth. Fannin has an extremely thin economic base and will grow primarily by how well it meets the needs of the retirement market. 
 
37 
 
 NORTHEAST GEORGIA AREA POPULATION CHANGE, 1970 - 1980 
(By Census County Division) 
 
0 
 
I 
 
10 
 
MLII 
 
 Ovef 4,000 pertan~ 
QD 1,000 - ),999 pen.ont 
EJ 2,000 - 2,999 perSGI1I 
 
EJ.t,OOO - 1I 999 peftanl 
0 o - 999 periCinl 
 
ESTIMATED POPULATION INCREASES, 1980 - 2000 (By County) 
 
,_ '."J"'" ' 
.Over 14,000 pertan~ , 
an 10,500 _ 1),999 pen.ont 
 1,~ - 10,4" pertan~ 
(J.-',500 - 6,999 pertan~ 
0 0 - ::1,4, pertan~ 
38 
 
 llllft'IIIAST GIORGI! lRil POPULlTIOR TRBIDS liD PJnJBC1'IOIS 
 
1960 
 
1970 
 
1980 
 
19~ 
 
1990 
 
2000 
 
163,612 
 
192,941 
 
233,230 
 
245,300 
 
270,3871 306,640 276, 100.. 333,300.. 
 
SOURCES: u.s. Bureau of the Census for 1960, 1970 and 1980 
population counts and 1984 population estimates. *Population projections prepared by State Office of 
Planning and Budget. 
Population projections prepared by Northeast Georgia 
Area Planning and Development Commission. 
 
POPULlTIOR CBUGES 
 
Persons Peroent 
 
1960-1970 1970-1980 1980-1984 1980-1990 
1980-2000 
 
29,329 40,289 
12,070 
37,1571 42,870.. 
73,410 100,070.. 
 
17.9 20.9 5.2 
15.9' 18.4 
31.5 42.9.. 
 
Analysis: 
 
The population of Northeast Georgia has been growing steadily since 
1960. During the 1960's the area grew by almost 30,000 persons and over 40,000 in the 1970's. In the ten-county area, Clarke County led the growth in number of persons with 9,321 more residents than it had in the Census count of 1970; however, Oconee County had the highest rate of growth, a 57 percent increase. Elbert County had the lowest percentage of increase (8.7), and Greene, the fewest number of new residents (1,179). 
 
The Census estimates for the year 1984 showed a continuing increase of 5.2 percent for the region. While Barrow County showed the greatest gain in the number of residents (2, 746), Oconee County had the highest percentage of increase with 14.3. Elbert County, at the other end of the scale, had both the lowest rate of increase (1.3 percent) and the fewest number of new residents (242). 
 
During the 1970's, the rata of increase for the Northeast Georgia area was 20.9 percent, however individual Census County Divisions varied from a low of 3.2 percent in Oglethorpe County (Maxeys Division) to 102.8 percent in Walton County (Jersey Division). There were also dramatic differences within individual counties. The Census County Division of Social Circle increased by 11.8 percent (388 persons) as compared with the above-mentioned Jersey Division which had 2,380 new residents. Since the region is divided into both urban and rural areas, the numbers are somewhat misleading. In Clarke County the Athens Division increased by only 9.6 percent or over 5,200 residents during the 1970's. The Bogart Division in Clarke showed a 96.7 percent increase, but gained fewer than half the number of residents (2,422) as compared with the Athens Division. 
 
39 
 
 OCONEE AREA 
 
POPULATION CHANGE 
 
1970 
 
1980 
 
BY CENSUS COUNTY DIVISION 
 
~ 
~ ~- 
 
~ 
 
over 1,000 persons 
 
~ 
 
500 to 999 persons 
 
8 
 
0 to 499 persons 
 
om -149 to 0 persons 
 
~ 
 
more than -150 persons 
 
ESTIMATED POPULATION INCREASES 
 
1980 
 
2000 
 
BY COUNTY 
 
over 5,000 persons 2,500 to 4,~99 persons 0 to 2,499 persons 
40 
 
 1960 94,177 
 
OCONEE AREA POPULATION TRENDS AND PROJECTIONS 
 
1970 92,013 
 
1980 99,870 
 
1984 104,800 
 
1990 115,637* 
 
2000 133,696* 
 
Sources: U.S. Bureau of the Census for 1960, 1970, and 1980 population counts and 1984 population estimates. 
*Population projections prepared by the State Office of Planning and Budget. 
 
POPULATION CHANGES 
 
, 
 
Persons 
 
Percent 
 
1960 - 1970 1970 - 1980 1980 - 1984 1980 - 1990 1980 - 2000 
 
- 2,164 
7,857 4,930 15, 767'~ 
28,896* 
 
-2.3 8.5 4.9 
15.8* 27.6* 
 
*Based on State Office of Planning and Budget projections 
 
Analysis: 
The population of the Oconee Area decreased by some 2,164 persons, 2.3 percent, between 1960 and 1970. This reversed between 1970 and 1980 resulting in an increase of 7,857 persons or 8.5 percent. A slightly higher rate of increase was realized during the period from 1980 to 1984. 
The estimated 1990 population of 115,63J, as well as the estimated 2000 population of 133,696, are projected at' a rate that is almost double the 1970 to 1980 rate. The average increase per year will be around 1.5 percent per year. 
Development in the Oconee Area will be concentrated in and around the major municipalities in the area. The greatest future concentrations of industrial development growth will be centered in the industrial parks of Eatonton, Milledgeville, and Sandersville. The largest future concentrations of commercial development will be along U.S. highway 441 between Milledgeville and Eatonton and along Georgia Highway 15 in Sandersville and Tennille. Future residential growth areas will be centered along the shores of Lakes Oconee and Sinclair in Baldwin, Hancock, and Putnam Counties. 
41 
 
 SOUTH GEORGIA AREA POPULATION CHANGE 
1970 - 1980 (by census county 
division) 
~ Over 5,000 persons 
 
rrrrmrnn 2,000 to 4,999 persons 
 
"l 
 
~ 500 to 1,999 persons 
 
i 
 
i 
 
D 0 to 499 persons 
 
I ' 
 
R'I I ' 
. ---.. ' 
- -.1...- 
I 
-, ECHOLS ..___ 
---\ ~ ' 
-----------------L' --- 
 
ESTIMATED POPULATION INCREASES 
1980 - 2000 (by county) 
 
- 
 
15,000 to 19,999 
 
~ 10,000 to 14,999 
 
D 0 to 9,999 
 
, --- ECHOLS\ ..___ 
\ 
' -4-2-----------------L' ___ 
 
 1960 150,165 
 
1970 156,780 
 
South Georgia Area Population Trends and Projections 
 
1980 185,553 
 
1984 191,500 
 
1990 211,386* 
 
2000 235,857* 
 
Sources: U. S. Bureau of the Census for 1960, 1970 and 1980 population counts, and 1984 population estimates. 
 
* Population projections prepared by State Office of Planning and Budget. 
 
Population Changes 
 
Persons 
 
Percent 
 
1960-1970 1970-1980 1980-1984 *1980-1990 *1980-2000 
 
6,615 28,773 
5,947 25,833 50,304 
 
4.4 18.4 3.2 13.9 27.1 
 
* Based on State Office of Planning and Budget projections. 
 
Analysis: 
 
As noted in the introduction to this study, the ten county South Georgia area is undergoing significant changes in its economic structure. These changes can be clearly linked to the population changes that have occurred and are projected to occur in the major periods of time under study: 1960-1970, 1970-1980, and 1980-2000. The 1960-1970 period was a transition period between the region's original agricultural based economy and its new industrial based economy. During this period, five of the ten counties experienced declines in their population as farm labor moved to the larger urbanized areas of the state seeking new employment. In contrast, the next decade between 1970-1980 was the first period since the 1930s that all ten counties within the region experienced an overall increase in population. This change can be directly attributed to the reversal of the outmigration in the previous period as new industry moved into the area and became established. The period 1980-2000 is projected to be a continuation of this growth, although at a slower rate, as factors such as strong economic development, improved transportation systems, and the popularity of the region's climate and lifestyle continue to attract new population growth. 
 
Overall, the South Georgia area experienced an 18.4% increase in actual population from 1970-1980; this compares favorably with the overall increase in the United States population of 11.5%, and with Georgia's population increase of 19.0% for the same period. As illustrated by the maps on the facing page, leading the way in population growth in terms of number of persons from 1970-1980 were the counties of Lowndes, Tift, and Ben Hill followed by Berrien, Brooks, Cook, Irwin, Turner, Lanier, and Echols, respectively. For the period 1980-2000, the leading counties will be Lowndes, Tift, and Ben Hill followed by Brooks, Berrien, Cook, Turner, Irwin, Lanier, and Echols, respectively. An  analysis of the projected population changes and areas of growth and development for each county is presented in the next part of this report. 
 
43 
 
 SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AREA POPULATION CHANGE 1910 - 1980 
 
.! 
 
_.,Y 
 
~; 
 
L ~' 
 
.. - - 
 
I 
~ 
 
I 
 
"' J ' 
 
OVER 4,000 PERSONS 
 
Fl 
LJ 
liiiii1 
D 
 
3,000 TO 3,999 PERSONS 2,000 TO 2,999 PERSONS 1,000 TO 1,999 PERSONS 0 TO 999 PERSONS 
 
\ 
 
0 
 
\ 
 
HOMERVIU..[ 
 
" .' -' \, 
 
. r _. -"' .. ' 
C rL1 I N C H 
 
~. I 
 
I --..L...--L __ 
 
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AREA ESTIMATED POPULATION INCREASES 
1980 - 2000 
 
) I 
 
~~ ~ 
 
OVER 7,000 PERSONS 3,500 TO 6,999 PERSONS 
 
I.<CJ 0 TO 3,499 PERSONS 
 
 SOUTHEM1T GEORGIA AREA POPULATION THENDS AND PROJECTIONS 
 
1960 98,146 
 
1970 97,771 
 
1980 114,195 
 
1984 117,600 
 
1990 128,949 
 
2000 143,765 
 
Sources: U.S., 1960, 1970, and 1980 population counts and 1884 population estimates 
Population Projections-Office of Planning and Budget 
 
POPULATION CHANGES 
 
Persons 
 
Percent 
 
1960-1970 
 
-375 
 
-0.4 
 
1970-1980 
 
16,424 
 
16.8 
 
1980-1984 
 
3,405 
 
3.0 
 
1980-1990 
 
14,754 
 
12.9 
 
1980-2000 
 
29,570 
 
25.S 
 
ANALYSIS: 
 
The Southeast Georgia area experienced an overall decrease in population during the 1960's. This decrease in population can be attributed to an out-migration of the population seeking employment and educational opportunities. Most of those persons leaving the area were under 30 years old. This age group would normally be entering the area's work force. 
During the 1970's, this trend reversed with population growth occurring in each of the area's eight counties. Major factors which contributed to this reversal in population trends were the availability of jobs and the expansion of post-secondary educational opportunities. 
The population of Southeast Georgia continued to 
increase from 1980 to 1984. Most of this growth Occurred in Pierce, Brantley, and Coffee Counties. A more detailed analysis of each of these counties follows. 
The population of Southeast Georgia is expected to 
continue to increase. Growth is expected to occur in those areas which have had substantial economic growth and surface transportation construction. Population increases are expected in those areas near trade and employment centers and military installations. Overall growth of the area in the future will depend largely on economic development and the retelltion of existing industries and commercial businesses. 
 
45 
 
 SOUTHWEST GEORGIA AREA POPULATION CHANGE 1970. 1980 
BY COUNTY CENSUS DIVISION 
Over 4,000 persons 1,000 to 3,999 persons 500 to 999 persons 0 to 499 persons Less than 0 persons (negative) 
ESTIMATED POPULATION INCREASE 1980.2000 BY COUNTY 
Over 25,000 persons 10,000 to 24,999 persons 5,000 to 9,999 persons 2,000 to 4,999 persons 0 to 1,999 persons Less than 0 persons (negative) 46 
 
 SOUTHWEST GEORGIA AREA POPULATION TRENDS AND PROJECTIONS 
 
1960 281,290 
 
1970 285,295 
 
1980 321,449 
 
1984 328,500 
 
1990 366,537. 
 
2000 417,888. 
 
Sources: U.S. Bureau of the Census for 1960, 1970 and 1980 population counts and 1984 estimates. 
 
 Population projections prepared by State Office of Planning and Budget. 
 
POPULATION CHANGES 
 
1960-1970 1970-1980 1980-1984 1980-1990* 1980-2000* 
 
Persons 
4,005 36,154 
7,051 45,088 96,439 
 
Percent 
1.4 12.7 
2.2 14.0 30.0 
 
 Based on State Office of Planning and Budget projections. 
 
Analysis: 
 
As indicated, the period 1960-1970 was a no-growth period. Total net growth was only 4005 or an increase of 1.4 percent for the 10-year period. Ten of the 14 counties lost population during this period. Only Dougherty and Lee experienced significant growth with Seminole and Thomas registering small increases. Dougherty increased by 13,595 during this period- an 18.4 percent increase which together with Lee, a bedroom community to Albany, offset the losses in the rural counties. 
 
The decade 1970-80 saw a reversal of this trend with an increase of 36,154 persons or a 12.7 percent increase for the area. Twelve of the counties showed significant growth during the period. Only the two most rural counties, Baker and Calhoun continued to show decreases. 
 
The period 1980-84 has reverted somewhat back to the slower growth rate of the 1960-70 period and the slowed growth rate of the late 1970's. High unemployment rates, serious farm problems, high interest rates, low investment and other problems have stagnated the economy. This together with the impact of lower birth rates, has reduced the growth. Fairly rapid growth, of the area as a whole, is projected to 2000 by OPB. 
 
47 
 
 I"! 
 
1 
 
48 
 
 MAJOR INFLUENCES ON REGIONAL CHANGE AND DEVELOPMENT AND MAJOR TRENDS TAKING PLACE 
The following is taken from the summaries of and, in a few cases, the introductions to the "Population Trends" reports prepared by the APDCs. The information, as presented, is either taken word for word from those reports or else closely parapharases the original wording. In simplified form, the major influences on growth and the ways in which that growth is taking place is presented, by APDC region. 
Altamaha Georgia Southern 
o The area is predominantly rural in nature. 
o The greatest population increases are apparently taking place in locations just outside city limits. 
o Future population growth will most likely occur near municipalities and probably along or near existing transportation routes. 
o Important growth influences in the area include Plant Edwin I. Hatch in Appling County, Georgia Southern College in Statesboro, Hazlehurst Mills in Hazlehurst, the Georgia State Prison complex in Tattnall County, ITT Rayonier in Wayne County, and Fort Stewart, lying just outside the area, in 
neighboring Liberty County. Interstate 16 and u.s. 341 are 
also major growth influences on the area. 
Atlanta Regional Commission 
o A high rate of population growth is expected to continue in future years. 
o No significant physical barriers exist that might impede future growth and development in the region. 
o Growth has occurred in all quadrants of the region although the large majority has taken place in the northern portion. 
o In future years, at least through the first decade of the next century, the northern portion of the region is expected to attract over one-half of the region's growth; however, the southern portion will likely capture an increasing percentage of this growth. 
49 
 
 ~I 
Central Savannah River o The metropolitan Augusta area is expected to continue its strong 
growth. o Nearby rural areas adjacent to the metropolitan area such as 
Burke, McDuffie and Lincoln Counties will share in this growth, provided good transportation access is maintained. o In the outlying rural areas, larger towns that serve as magnets for industrial and retail firms can expect moderate rates of growth. o The ability of local communities to retain their existing industries and attract new industries will have an affect on future development. o Another factor that will influence the rate and location of development will be the routes of the proposed Fall Line Freeway (Augusta to Columbus) and the Augusta-Savannah Highway. o If the Tri-County Water System for Columbia, Lincoln and McDuffie Counties is created and if a water treatment and distribution system is built, the system would open up new areas of each county for development. 
Chattahoochee-Flint o Major growth areas will be the largest municipalities: 
Carrollton, Newnan and LaGrange. o Residentially, the main growth will be in the rural areas 
surrounding the major service centers. o Area development will have a continued taxing effect on avail- 
able water supplies and local sewer systems and therefore local governments should continue to upgrade and maintain the existing infrastructure and undertake constructive planning for the development of adequate facilities in expectation of future growth. o The increase of population and the number of commercial and industrial establishments will necessitate control of land use in all counties so as to assure quality development that is harmonious with quality living in the area. 
50 
 
 Coastal 
o The completion of Interstate 95 and its subsequent replacement of businesses along U.S. 17 has helped to divert/accelerate population and economic growth away from corporate city limits and into heretofore undeveloped unincorporated areas of counties via interstate highway interchanges. 
o The growth centers around Fort Stewart and Kings Bay will continue to sustain population growth with increases in the Fort Stewart area currently leveling off while the Kings Bay area is expected to reach its accelerated growth period during 1980-2000, especially after the Navy Base is completed in the mid 1990s. 
o In the future, other population increases and growth areas in the region will begin to face limitations caused by the unique pattern of land ownership present in coastal Georgia, i.e., commercial forest areas, wetlands and marshes, and State and federal wildlife management areas make up 93 percent of the region's total land area. 
o Conflicts between competing land uses, congestion, increasing public service demands, and the preservation of prime farm land are each major topics of concern confronting residents and local governments throughout the region. 
o Accelerated regional population growth will have major ramifications on the region's natural resources and public services systems, necessitating proper long-range planning in order to safeguard the regional quality of life as well as to insure accommodations for beneficial economic development. 
Coosa Valley 
o The geographic setting of the region, with proximity to such metropolitan areas as Atlanta, Birmingham and Chattanooga, combined with access to major transportation networks, produce a positive effect on the economy of the region and consequently on population growth. 
o Future population growth will not be evenly distributed throughout the region, with certain areas experiencing slow economic and population expansion. 
o The fastest growing counties (Catoosa, Bartow and Paulding) will have to find methods for controlling growth and for financing the required public services demanded by its citizens. 
o The challenge in the slower growing counties (Dade, Haralson, Polk and Chattooga) will be one of economic development. 
51 
 
 Georgia Mountains 
o Population growth has resulted from such factors as the natural environment, extensions of State Routes 365 and 400, the trend from urban to rural migration, and the expanding metropolitan Atlanta area. 
o Since 1960, the retirement population in the region has increased. In 1980, the percentage of persons 60 years and older living in the Georgia Mountains area was two and one-half percent greater than the State percentage, with senior citizens representing more than 20 percent of the total population in Rabun, Towns and Union Counties, mountainous rural counties which are conducive to retirement. 
o Seasonal housing has increased in counties adjacent to Lake Lanier, especially Hall, Forsyth and Dawson counties, resulting in an increased population during the spring and summer months. 
o The population growth and residence patterns in the area will likely continue to be influenced by the recent extensions of State Routes 365 and 400, both of which terminate in the area, and by Interstate 85. The area is fortunate to have a road network which has been a positive catalyst to the region's development. 
o Additional expenditures for transportation will be necessary to offer the potential for future development to the more isolated counties in the region. 
Heart of Georgia 
o Some counties in the area do not have very much growth potential at the present time. 
o A major influence on future development is the existence of active industrial development authorities in the area. 
o Residential growth depends on new industry locating in the area. 
o The most likely locations for new development are along the I-16 corridor and in some of the larger towns. 
Lower Chattachooche 
o Major population growth will most likely be concentrated in Muscogee and Harris Counties and to some degree in Randolph County. 
o Between 1980 and 2000, the area is projected to experience twice the growth that occurred in the previous two decades, a result of a bolstering Columbus economy. 
52 
 
 o The economy of Columbus is now and is projected to continue its diversification, a trend that is becoming increasingly true for the rural counties, particularly the southern counties. 
o Leadership in the rural counties is becoming more organized and directed in its resolve to improve economic conditions. 
o The rural counties are assessing their available resources and are providing more and more services geared to meet internal and external demand. 
o Overall population growth for the area, in concert with projected economic increases, presents a healthier, more vital economy for the entire region. 
Mcintosh Trail 
o The factor having the most profound influence on growth and development in the area is that of its proximity to the Atlanta metropolitan area - especially Hartsfield International Airport. 
o Expanded job markets with corresponding higher salaries have attracted people to the metro area to work, but many have chosen the more rural counties in the Mcintosh Trail area for their residences. This factor heads the list in explaining why Fayette County, in the year 2000, is predicted to experience an incredible 1,348% increase over its 1960 population. 
o If the development of the Atlanta region becomes concentrated southward, Spalding County, as well as Fayette and Henry Counties, will likely experience dramatic growth due to the influence of the metro area moving closer. 
Middle Flint 
o It was not until 1970 that manufacturing became the major employment sector in the area, replacing agriculture. The area is continuing to develop a manufacturing/industrial economic base, with the area competing relatively successfully with other sections of the state and nation for skilled workers in manufacturing and the retail trades. 
o Employment opportunities have attracted new residents to the area's towns and cities. 
o Industrialization of the area should be enhanced with development of the proposed Fall Line Freeway running east-west through its northern extremes and with the four-laning of U.S. 19 running north-south through the heart of the area. 
53 
 
 o As the area continues to experience industrial growth, other sectors of the economy will develop, providing more employment opportunities which will help retain natives of the area and help attract new residents. 
o Until further major economic diversification takes place, the greatest population increases will occur in and around Americus and Cordele and in those other cities and areas in the region which experienced growth during the past decade. 
Middle Georgia 
o One pattern which has emerged as a result of the area's population growth is the development which has taken place around the urban cores of Macon and warner Robins. 
o More and more subdivisions with increasingly expensive real estate are being developed as middle and upper income people move away from urban areas into the suburban and rural areas of all seven Middle Georgia counties. The predominant reasons for this pattern seem to be the increasing urban tax rates, the increased popularity of the suburban lifestyle, and the existence of more suburban industrial parks. 
o The Warner Robins Air Logistics Center at Robins Air Force Base has created a new local need for defense-related industries which are tied not only to the WRALC but to other defense-related centers throughout the southeast. This industry is expected to produce more jobs in the future. 
o Although the population of the city of Macon is expected to continue a slow decline, efforts are being made to stabilize and possibly reverse this trend through revitalization of the central business district, the restoration of the older residential sections of the inner city, and the development of in-town industrial parks. 
o While the counties surrounding the more urban areas are benefiting from suburban development, there are also problems which these smaller, traditionally under-populated areas have encountered, such as that of providing increased public services for persons originally from more urban areas, who expect such services. 
North Georgia 
o The area has seen consistently high growth since 1960. This growth has been unevenly spread around the area's six counties. 
o The traditional agricultural base of the area has for the most part declined or at best remained static as other economic sectors grow. 
54 
 
 o Growth in manufacturing, retailing and services as well as the expansion of the Atlanta metropolitan area have been major factors in the population increases in the North Georgia area. 
o Rapid expansion of water systems, starting in the mid-seventies, has contributed to .scattered development and caused difficulty in providing other public services to those developed areas. 
o There is concern regarding the long-term impact which some of the new developments will have on the environment of the area, particularly regarding the possibility of severe sewerage problems occurring. 
o The scattered development pattern and character of new immigrants to the area are creating increasing calls for the provision of urban services, with new sophistication in the delivery of such public services and the operation of government affairs being demanded faster than adaptations are occurring. 
o Cherokee County will be almo&t completely developed in its southern third by the year 2000. The proposed outer perimeter for Atlanta should be under construction or rapidly approaching construction by then, with development along this new corridor only slightly less intense than that along the existing I-285 over the last 20 years. Controls to guide this development must be in place before 2000, if it is not to get out of hand. 
Northeast Georgia 
o The percentage of the population residing in rural areas in Northeast Georgia has been declining since 1960. 
o As the Atlanta metropolitan area continues to grow, it is inevitable that the Northeast Georgia region will expand as well. The western portions of Walton and Barrow Counties are already experiencing growth, due to an expanding metropolitan Atlanta. 
o Residential development is occurring in Clarke County and spilling over into Oconee, Jackson and Madison Counties where taxes are lower and land parcels larger. 
o While Morgan, Greene, Oglethorpe and Elbert Counties continue to be predominantly rural, the outmigration of past decades has ceased and a moderate increase in population has been experienced since the 1970s. 
o It is inevitable that as Northeast Georgia becomes more urbanized, the remaining rural areas will become more densely populated. 
o Development around Lake Oconee is and will continue to impact Greene and Morgan Counties. 
55 
 
 l 
o The Richard B. Russell Lake and Dam will impact Elbert County. 
o Industrial development along the I-85 corridor has already begun and will likely continue. The easy accessibility supplied by both the Interstates and numerous highways traversing the region, coupled with lower land prices, will make the area extremely attractive for industrial development in the years to come. 
Oconee 
o The population of the rural areas is increasing almost twice as fast as that of the cities. 
o The rural population gain can be partially attributed to the location of Lakes Jackson, Oconee and Sinclair. The availability of thousands of residential lots along the shores of the lakes have resulted in a substantial amount of residential development. The tax bases of the adjacent counties should receive substantial boosts as development takes place. 
o Growth in the area has been around established economic centers and major transportation routes with the greatest growth occurring along U.S. Highway 441 between Milledgeville and Eatonton, around Lake Sinclair, and along Georgia 15 between Sandersville and Tennille. The greatest growth within the area at the present time is occurring between Milledgeville and Eatonton near Lake Sinclair. 
o Future growth is expected between Milledgeville and Eatonton (U.S. 441 North) and between Sandersville and Tennille (Ga. 15). 
o Two factors affecting the future development of Washington and Wilkinson Counties are: (1) the existence of kaolin throughout these counties which increases the potential for growth in the smaller communities located within their boundaries, and (2) the construction of the Fall Line Freeway which will connect Augusta and Columbus and will traverse the two counties. 
South Georgia 
o The three major factors that will affect growth and development in the South Georgia area are: (1) the location of I-75 and "Corridor Z"; (2) Moody Air Force Base in Lowndes County, and (3) public officials' attitudes toward growth and expansion. 
o No location within the area is more than 45 miles from I-75, which gives the region direct access to the prime growth areas of central Florida and Atlanta, both of which are within a four hour drive. Because of I-75, industrial and manufacturing facilities are expected to increase in the area due to I-75 being a major accessible transportation artery. Also, the location of I-75 will continue to attract the tourist trade as the area becomes better known as a stopover point for travelers to Florida. 
56 
 
 o Corridor z will pass through four counties in the area: Ben Hill, 
Turner, Irwin and Tift. It will give the area direct access to the ports in Brunswick and to the major markets in the midwest. Corridor Z can be expected to encourage industrial location to the South Georgia area and to stimulate the region's economy. Corridor Z will also be instrumental in the provision of ample employment opportunities and will thereby stimulate the future development of smaller urban centers near the major metropolitan areas and the small rural communities presently existing within the boundaries of the corridor. 
o The continued growth of Moody Air Force Base in northern Lowndes County also will have a major impact on future growth of the area. If the base receives additional appropriations for new contruction and expansion, the number of support personnel and families moving into the area will continue to impact the housing market in Berrien, Lanier and Lowndes Counties as well as influence the amount of commercial growth in these areas. 
o Area public officials are continuing their efforts to encourage industrial growth in the South Georgia area, the various chambers of commerce are working together to encourage regional business development, and the APDC is continuing to build its regional economic development program. 
Southeast Georgia 
o In the late 1960s and early 1970s, the area began to expand its economy. The additional jobs which were created encouraged the population to remain in the area. 
o Coffee County has continued to attract industry with new plants employing 100+ persons having located in Douglas, Broxton and other areas of the County and with a large distribution warehouse just completed which will employ 500+ persons. 
o Waycross has become a trade center for the area with Ware County leading the area in employment in retail sales and service industries. 
o Future growth in Bacon County and also in the rest of the area could be greatly influenced by the construction of Lake Alma. 
o Several transportation improvements are expected to have a positive impact on the area's growth: the four-laning of U.S. 82/84 (Corridor Z) will connect the area to Interstate Highways 75 and 95, providing a link with the port of Brunswick and the Golden Isles; other future four-laning projects include U.S. 441, which will link Douglas and Coffee County to Corridor Z, and U.S. 1 from Waycross to Folkston, which will give Waycross four-laned access all the way to the port of Jacksonville and the Jacksonville International Airport. 
57 
 
 o The further development of the Naval Submarine Base at Kings Bay in Camden County is expected to influence growth in Brantley and Charlton Counties. Most of this growth will be residential. 
Southwest Georgia 
o The general area is agriculturally oriented. With the exception of Albany and Dougherty County, much of the economic activity is in someway related to agriculture and agribusiness. 
o Dougherty County has served since the 1960s as the major growth center of the area. During the last ten years or so, manufacturing growth has slowed and is being replaced by growth in the commercial and service industries. 
o Four other important trade centers include Thomasville (Thomas County), Moultrie (Colquitt County) , Bainbridge (Decatur County) , and Cairo (Grady County). 
o With the exception of the previously mentioned five counties, there is very little economic activity in the area other than farming and agribusiness. 
o The heavy reliance on agriculture, in view of the current farming situation, is a problem. This impact has rippled through the economy, and, together with general economic problems such as high interest rates, has really placed the area in a rather dismal economic slump that has been underway for sometime and appears likely to continue. 
o Manufacturing, or at least manufacturing of the type that is suited to Southwest Georgia, is also declining and therefore the area must rely on other sectors such as wholesale and retail trade and services. 
o Unfortunately, some areas in the region have not yet developed a good manufacturing base on which to build, and with a stagnant economy and cutbacks in federal funds for public investments, local governments are becoming even less prepared to compete for new business and development. 
58 
 
 Appendix A County Population Trends 
An Example 
59 
 
 Numerical Change 
 
BALDWIN COUNTY 
Population Change 1970- 1980 
 
Percent Change 
 
~ Over 1,000 persons 
 
ITilJ 0 to 999 persons 
 
0 
 
0 to -2,000 persons 
 
~ Over 40 percent 
 
!III] 0 to 40 percen-t 
 
0 
 
-10 to 0 percent 
 
Future Growth And Development 1985-2000 
 
R L:..:J 
** 
<><> 
 
Areas which are substantially developed 
Areas which are experiencing substantial commercial/industrial development now and also for the next two years 
Areas which are experiencing substantial residential development now and also for the next two years 
Areas which will most likely experience substantial commercial and industrial growth and development by the year 2000 
Areas which will most likely experience substantial residential growth and development by the year 2000 
60 
 
 1960 34,064 
 
BALDWIN COUNTY POPULATION TRENDS AND PROJECTIONS 
 
1970 34,240 
 
1980 34,686 
 
1984 37,900 
 
1990 41,301* 
 
2000 49,552* 
 
Sources: U.S. Bureau of the Census for 1960, 1970, and 1980 population counts and 1984 population estimates. 
*Population projections prepared by the State Office of Planning and Budget. 
 
POPULATION CHANGES 
 
Persons 
 
Percent 
 
1960 - 1970 1970 - 1980 1980 - 1984 1980 - 1990 1980 - 2000 
 
176 446 3, 214 
6,615>~ 
14,866* 
 
0.5 1.3 9.3 19.1* 42.8* 
 
*Based on State Office of Planning and Budget projections 
 
Analysis: 
The population of Baldwin County increased only slightly between 1960 and 1970, and between 1970 and 1980. Gains of 176 persons, 0.5 percent, and 446 persons, 1.3 percent, were reported respectively for the periods. An increase of 3,214 persons, 9.3 percent, between 1980 and 1984 are reported. 
The estimated 1990 population of 41,301 and the estimated 2000 population of 49,552 are projected at a yearly rate of increase of around 2.0 percent per year. 
Recent growth and development has been concentrated in the northern part of the county, primarily along and adjacent to U.S. Highway 441. Future growth and development is expected to continue to be along this highway and along the Lake Sinclair shoreline. Commercial development will take place along U.S. 441 and residential development will take place behind the commercial development. 
 
61 
 
 62 
 
 Appendix B Area Planning and Development Commissions 
Addresses, Telephone Numbers and Map 
63 
 
 AREA PLANNING AND DEVELOPMENT COMMISSIONS 
 
3 GEORGIA IDUNI'AINS AREA PIANNIN:; AND DEVELOPMENI' CCMITSSION 
1010 Ridge Road Post Office Box 1720 Gainesville, Georgia 30503 Dr. Sam F. Dayton, Executive Director 404/536-3431 
 
4 ATLANTA RffiiONAL CCM1ISSION 
100 Edg~ Avenue, N. E., Suite 1801 Atlanta, Georgia 30335 Harry W=st, Executive Director 404/656-7700 
 
1 COOSA VALLEY AREA P~IN3 AND DEVEI..DPMENI' CCNMISSION 
Jackson Hill Drive Post Office Drawer H 
Rome, Georgia 30161 
C. D. Rarrpley, Executive Director 404/295-6485 
2 NORTH GIDRGIA AREA PLANNIN3 AND DEVELOPMENT CCM-1ISSION 
503 West Waugh Street Dalton, Georgia 30720 George Sutherland, Executive Director 404/272-2300 
 
5 IDRTHEAST GIDRGIA AREA PIANNIN3 AND DEVELOPMENI' CCMMISSION 
305 Research Drive Athens, Georgia 30610 Clinton Lane, Executive Director 404/548-3141 
6 CHATTAHOOCHEE-FLINI' AREA PLANNING AND DEVELOPMENT CC!-1M.ISSION 
6 Shenandoah Boulevard Post Office Box 2308 
Newnan, Georgia 30264 David Barrow, Executive Director 
404/253-8521 
7 M::INTOSH TRAIL AREA PLANNIN3 AND DEVELOPMENI' CQ.ffiSSION 
Post Office Dra-wer A Barnesville, Georgia 30204 Lanier Boatwright, Executive Director 404/358-3647 
8 MIDDLE GEORGIA AREA PLANNIN3 AND DEVELOP!-!ENI' CCMMISSION 
600 Grand Building I-1acon, Georgia 31201 Jcures C. Tonn, Executive Director 912/744-6160 
 
64 
 
 9 OCONEE AREA PLANNIN:; AND 
DEVELOPMENT C0-1M.ISSION 
Heritage Road 
Post Office Box 707 Milledgeville, Georgia 31061 J. E. Gentry, Executive Director 912/453-5327 
10 CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER AREA PI..ANNIN:; AND DEVELOPMENT CCM-1ISSION 
2123 Wrightsboro Road Post Office Box 2800 Augusta, Georgia 30904-0800 
Tim F. Maund, Executive Director 
404/737-1823 
11 I..aVER CHATTAHcxx::HEE AREA PLANNING AND DLVELOPMENI' CCMUSSION 
930 Second Avenue Post Office Box 1908 Columbus, Georgia 31994 
Ron Starnes, Executive Director 
404/324-4221 
1 2 MIDDlE FLINI' AREA PLANNIN:; AND DEVELOPMENT CCMUSSION 
203 East College Street 
Post Office Box 6 
Ellaville, Georgia 31806 
Bobby L. Lo.ve, Executive Director 
912/937-2561 
1 3 HEARl' OF GEORGIA AREA PLANNING AND DEVELOPMENT c:x:M1ISSION 
501 oak Street East:nan, Georgia 31023 
Nick Cabero, Executive Director 
912/374-4771 
 
4 ALTAMAHA GEDRGIA SOUTHERN AREA PLANNING 1 AND DEVELOPMENT CCMM.ISSION 
505 W. Parker Street Post Office Box 328 Baxley, Georgia 31513 
Ted Fortino, Executive Director 
912/367-3648 
15 SOUThWEST GEDRGIA AREA PLANNING AND DEVELOPMENT CCMITSSION 
Broad Street 
Post Office Box 346 Camilla, Georgia 31730 
Carroll C. Unden-K>Od, Executive Director 
912/336-5616 
16 SOOTH GEDRGIA AREA PLANNING AND DEVELOPMENI' CCMUSSION 
327 West Savannah Avenue Post Office Box 1223 Valdosta, Georgia 31601 
Hal A. Davis, Executive Director 
912/333-5277 or 5281 
17 SOU'I'HEAST GEDRGIA AREA PLANNING AND DEVELOPMENT CCMUSSION 
3243 Harris Road Post Office Box 2049 waycross, Georgia 31502 
Nash Williams, Executive Director 
912/285-6097 
1 8 COASTAL AREA PLANNIN:; AND DEVELOPMENT C0-1MISSION 
Post Office Drawer 1917 Brunswick, Georgia 31521 
Vernon D. Martin, Executive Director 
912/264-7363 
 
65 
 
 Area Planning and Development Commission 
 
Appendix c 
Population Trends and Projections for Georgia's Area Planning and Development Commissions 1960 - 2000 
 
1960 
 
p 0 p uL AT I 0 N 
 
1970 
 
1980 
 
1984 
 
1990 
 
2000 
 
Altamaha Georgia Southern Atlanta Regional Commission 
 
Central Savannah River Chattahoochee Flint 
 
Coastal Coosa Valley Georgia Mountains Heart of Georgia Lower Chattahoochee 
 
Mcintosh Trail Middle Flint Middle Georgia 
 
(jl 
 
(jl 
 
North Georgia 
 
Northeast Georgia 
 
Oconee South Georgia Southeast Georgia Southwest Georgia 
 
110,642 1,044,401 
271,866 137,622 
281,323 267,269 169,686 103,762 215,360 
132,375 87,355 
226,963 
107,002 
163,612 
94,177 150,165 
98,146 281,290 
 
121,004 1,434,676 
302,200 146,995 
298,846 302,739 192,598 101,474 232,396 
152,953 86,778 
259,511 
131,086 
192,941 
92,013 156,780 
97,771 285,295 
 
140,245 1,779,131 
350,388 173,366 
349,233 355,183 244,012 111,042 235,242 
208,555 92,651 
295,239 
174,664 
233,230 
99,870 185,553 114,195 321,449 
 
144,600 1,955,000 
368,800 184,900 
375,200 362,800 263,600 111,300 241,100 
233,000 94,200 
309,700 
191,500 
245,300 
104,800 191,500 117,600 328,500 
 
156,610 2,191,053 2,228,528* 
412,940 207,649 207,307* 417,544 394,035 284,262 120,608 257,180 
281,824 101,386 336,265 323,030* 217,044 245,114* 270,387 276,100* 115,637 211,386 128,949 366,537 
 
170,800 2,548,632 2,846,483* 
482,418 235,676 248,647* 485,896 421,292 316,794 129,147 282,021 284,961* 380,017 110,392 379,513 352,620* 257,526 369,729* 306,640 333,300* 133,696 235,857 143,765 417,888 
 
State of Georgia 
 
3,943,116 
 
4,587,930 
 
5,463,105 
 
5,837,000 
 
6,462,313 
 
7,422,594 
 
* Population projection prepared by the Area Planning and Development Commission. 
 
Note: 
 
State totals do not equal the sum of the numbers of all the APDCs due to minor adjustments in the data as presented by some APDCs. 
 
Sources: 
 
U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1960, 1970 and 1980 Censuses of Population and 1984 Estimates of the Population; the Georgia Office of Planning and Budget, State Data Center, "Population Projections for Georgia Counties, 1990 and 2000"; and Area Planning and Development Commission projections for 1990 and 2000, indicated by an asterisk. 
 
J 
 
 ~ 
 
Appendix D Population Changes in Georgia's Area Planning and Development Commissions 
1960 - 2000 
 
Area Planning and Development Commission 
 
1960 to 1970 Persons Percent 
 
Altarnaha Georgia Southern 
 
10,362 
 
Atlanta Regional Commission 390,275 
 
9.4 37.4 
 
Central Savannah ~iver Chattahoochee Flint 
 
30,334 9,373 
 
11.2 6.8 
 
Coastal Coosa Valley Georgia Mountains Heart of Georgia Lower Chattahoochee 
 
17,523 35,470 22,912 -2,288 17,036 
 
6.2 13.3 13.5 -2.2 
7.9 
 
0'1 Mcintosh Trail 
-....] 
Middle Flint Middle Georgia 
 
20,578 -577 
32,548 
 
15.5 
- o. 7 
14.3 
 
North Georgia 
 
24,084 
 
22.5 
 
Northeast Georgia 
 
29,329 
 
17.9 
 
Oconee South Georgia Southeast Georgia Southwest Georgia 
 
-2,164 6,615 -375 4,005 
 
-2.3 4.4 
-0.4 1.4 
 
State of Georgia 
 
644,814 
 
16.4 
 
p 0 p u L AT I 0 N 
 
c HANGE 
 
1970 to 1980 Persons Percent 
 
1980 to 1984 Persons Percent 
 
1980 to 1990 
 
Persons 
 
Percent 
 
19,241 344,455 
48,188 26,371 
50,387 52,444 51,414 
9,568 2,846 
 
15.9 24.0 
15.9 17.9 
16.8 17.3 26.7 
9.4 1.2 
 
4,355 175,869 
18,412 11,534 
25,967 7,617 
19,588 - 258 5,858 
 
3.1 9.9 
5.3 6.6 
7.4 2.1 7.4 -0.2 2.5 
 
16,365 411,922 449 ,397* 
62,552 34,283 33,941* 68,311 38,852 40,250 
9,566 21,938 
 
11.7 23.2 25.3* 17.9 19.8 19.6* 19.5 10.9 16.5 8.6 9.3 
 
56,602 5,873 
35,728 
43,578 
40,289 
7,857 28,773 16,424 36,154 
 
37.0 6.8 
13.8 
33.2 
20.9 
8.5 18.4 16.8 12.7 
 
24,445 1,549 
14,452 
16,836 
12,070 
4,930 5,947 3,405 7,051 
 
11.7 1.7 4.9 
9.6 
5.2 
4.9 3.2 3.0 2.2 
 
73,269 8,735 
41,026 27,791* 42,380 70,450* 37,157 42,870* 15,767 25,833 14,754 45,088 
 
35.1 9.4 
13.9 9.4* 
24.3 40.3* 15.9 18.4* 15.8 13.9 12.9 14.0 
 
875,175 
 
19.1 
 
373,895 
 
6.8 
 
999,208 
 
18.3 
 
1980 to 2000 Persons Percent 
 
30,555 769,501 1,067 ,352* 132,030 62,310 75,281* 
136,663 66,109 72,782 18,105 46,779 49,719* 
171,462 17,741 84,274 57,381* 82,862 
195,065* 73,410 
100,070* 28,896 50,304 29,570 96,439 
 
21.8 43.3 60.0* 37.7 35.9 43.4* 39.1 18.6 29.8 16.3 19.9 21.1* 82.2 19.1 28.5 19.4* 47.4 111. 7* 31.5 42.9* 27.6 27.1 25.9 30.0 
 
1,959,489 
 
35.9 
 
Note: Sources: 
 
* Derived from population projection prepared by the Area Planning and Development Commission. 
State figures do not equal the sum of the numbers of all the APDCs due to minor adjustments in the data as presented by some APDCs. 
Data based on U.S. Bureau of the Census, 1960, 1970 and 1980 Censuses ~f Population and 1984 Estimates of the Population; the Georgia Office of PlaLning and Budget, State Data Center, "Population Projections for Georgia Counties, 1990 and 2000"; and Area Planning and Development Corr~ission projections for 1990 and 2000, indicated by an asterisk.